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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4_OAauYfPwE

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“Kuwait: The government is expected to arrest and deport nearly 100,000 expatriates who are registered with counterfeit companies, Arabian Business reported 19 June, citing a report from Al Watan daily. According to the report, several businesses have been issued commercial licenses but are not involved with business in the country. As of 2008, expatriates comprised 69 percent of Kuwait’s total population.

It is probably premature to evaluate this development, but this looks like a backlash against the large Iranian expatriate population in Kuwait which voted overwhelmingly for Ahmadi-Nejad. No more remittances/informal subsidies from Kuwait to Iran.

End of NightWatch for 19 June.

The eventual overthrow will not be led by Mousavi or Rafsanjani. Their goal is to correct the heresy of Khamenei, Ahmadi-Nejad and the Revolutionary Guards who back them. They want to restore a revolution that technology has bypassed.

Readers might note the regime failed to use religion to stop the demonstrations. Like the communists, it used guns and clubs to keep itself in power. Still the events reinforced the lesson that the guys with the most and biggest guns always win in the short term. Authoritative regimes never learn and never change.

The young people of the technology generation in Iran have little need for the corrupt, leadership and crabbed theology of Rafsanjani and Mousavi and of Khamenei and Ahmadi-Nejad. Overthrow of Khamenei and his cretins will require new leaders who enlarge on Khomeini’s vision, if they do not discard it altogether and conjure a new one. They will go underground after one or two more spasms in Tehran which will serve to reinforce that the regime is less legitimate than the Shah.

There is no more uprising for now. The images of psychopathic Iranian Basiji goons kicking and beating university students in helpless positions on the ground show that the devout ayatollahs have produced a regime that is morally no better than the Chinese communists during Tian An Men or the North Koreans … on good days.

End of NightWatch for 22 June.

http://www.afcea.org/mission/intel/nightwatch.asp