This in my inbox just now, from info@barackobama.com:
Friend —
If the general election were held today, President Obama would lose to Mitt Romney — according to the latest poll from Washington Post-ABC News.
And then there’s this, from today’s Times:
Obama’s Rating Falls as Poll Reflects Volatility
Despite improving job growth and an extended Republican primary fight dividing his would-be opponents, President Obama is heading into the general election season on treacherous political ground, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.
At a time of rising gas prices, heightened talk of war with Iran and setbacks in Afghanistan, Mr. Obama’s approval rating dropped substantially in recent weeks, the poll found, with 41 percent of respondents expressing approval of the job he is doing and 47 percent saying they disapprove ”” a dangerous position for any incumbent seeking re-election.
Just thought some of you might need a little cheering up (though of course there’s a good distance yet ‘twixt cup and lip).
7 Comments
Thus far, I see no reason to budge from my long-held prediction that we’ve got another four years of Obama ahead of us. The polls can say what they want right now, but I don’t think predictions of any sort are warranted until we’re nearer to election time and the respective bases have been energized.
OK, so I contradict myself. It happens. Perhaps I should have expressed myself differently:
“The polls can say what they want right now, but I don’t think predictions of a Romney victory are warranted…”
Two words: counting; hatching.
But, thanks for trying, Malcolm.
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Quite so. Cup and lip.
Lip and ear.
Sorry to be a buzzkill here. Today’s polling shows Obama with a 54-42 lead over the Inconstant One and a 57-39 lead over Pastor Santorum, with a 50% approval rating.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-14/romney-leads-republican-rivals-while-trailing-obama-in-pew-poll.html
It’s foolhardy to hang your head on a single survey – but other polls taken a few weeks ago showing Obama with a 50% approval rating suggest that the two which you cite are outliers. Given the lack of a credible Republican nominee – and a nasty competition among the contenders, which increases negatives for each of them – you might as well brace yourself for another four years of His Awesomeness.
Obama’s opposum.