This question has taken over Twitter once again:
The correct answer seems perfectly obvious to me. What say you?
This question has taken over Twitter once again:
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
— Tim Urban (@waitbutwhy) April 24, 2026
The correct answer seems perfectly obvious to me. What say you?
9 Comments
Push the red button. You survive in either case.
I’m no hero Malcolm, but I hope I’m not a barbarian either. I would press the blue button. (But then, it’s much easier to be an altruist as a middle-aged bachelor.)
G.,
Yes, of course.
A logically equivalent rephrasing, from elsewhere on X:
Also:
You’re the last person to participate in this game; everyone else has voted already. You’re handed a box with a button on it by a man with a gun pointed at you. You can either walk away safely, or press the button. If you press the button, and fewer than half of everybody else has pressed it too, you will be shot immediately. (In other words, you can either opt into this insane game or not.) What would you do?
Frankly, I find this so exasperating that at this point I’m inclined to press the red button if only to have a chance of eliminating those who would press the blue one.
(Sorry, Jason! But I actually don’t think you — or any other sane or normal person — would really press the blue one, if the stakes were genuine.)
Why would anyone participate in such a crazy scheme, when they can just say no?
It’s like a trolley problem, but with nobody on the track, and saying that if enough of us go and get in front of the train, we might be able to block it safely with our bodies. But all we have to do is not go down onto the track in the first place!
See also this:
https://x.com/MarkChangizi/status/2048366336309375061
I suppose the framing is everything. If there were a third button that just said “opt out”, I’m sure most people would just press that. But that is logically the same as the red button.
Indeed, there isn’t even a need for the red button at all: either you press blue to opt in, or you don’t.
To be fair, the solution — NOBODY should even consider pressing blue, which (obviously!) means nobody dies and the game is harmlessly shut down — puts at risk, I suppose, people of limited agency (such as small children, and some other sorts), who might push blue despite there being such a transparently available way to short-circuit the whole evil scheme. And I suppose there might be some who would go for blue just to try to rescue them.
Was that your moral intuition, Jason? (I meant no offense, by the way, with my earlier comment, which was admittedly, perhaps a little harsh.)
Yet another framing:
“Anyone who presses red, lives. If everyone presses red, everyone lives. People who refuse to press red will die unless more than half refuse to press red. Which button would you press?”
One last thing:
If you are inclined to press Blue, does the calculus change if the threshold for Blue-presser-survival isn’t just that a majority must press Blue, but 99%? Why?
I’ll admit Malcolm that my logic might be half-baked and fuzzy, but yes it is something like you suggest: since it’s likely there would be at least a minority of “blue” pushers (indeed, hypothetically millions across the globe), I couldn’t in good conscience even acquiesce in their unjust murder by hitting “red.” It’s the principle of the matter, something akin to the perhaps especially Catholic idea that certain acts are illicit regardless of proportionality or enlightened self-interest. I say this ironically as one who struggles to believe in God, much less Christ, yet it does strike me as intuitive that certain transcendent notions must come before biological survival. But again, as you not unreasonably indicate, this may be wishful thinking on my part.
Simone Weil: “One must always side with justice, that fugitive from the winning camp.”