Sunday Salmagundi

Sorry — no time for a post today. Some links:

Natural selection in action.

A Chinese guide to the West, c. 250 A.D.

Sheep and bull.

Japan is just… different.

— Steve Sailer on American exceptionalism.

Postcard from Mars.

— BHO vs. BHO, from VDH.

Murder in America.

If only they’d stayed off his lawn…

A Three-Pipe Problem

Our friend Kevin Kim has just worked his way through all of Arthur Conan Doyle’s Sherlock Holmes adventures, and has a comprehensive review. Go read it here.

Fools Rush In

Here’s retired general Robert H. Scales on a war the military doesn’t want:

By no means do I profess to speak on behalf of all of our men and women in uniform. But I can justifiably share the sentiments of those inside the Pentagon and elsewhere who write the plans and develop strategies for fighting our wars. After personal exchanges with dozens of active and retired soldiers in recent days, I feel confident that what follows represents the overwhelming opinion of serving professionals who have been intimate witnesses to the unfolding events that will lead the United States into its next war.

They are embarrassed to be associated with the amateurism of the Obama administration’s attempts to craft a plan that makes strategic sense. None of the White House staff has any experience in war or understands it. So far, at least, this path to war violates every principle of war, including the element of surprise, achieving mass and having a clearly defined and obtainable objective.

Meanwhile: John Kerry has announced that the House of Saud and other Arab oligarchs will pay us to take out Assad. Is this what we’ve come to? Mercenary hit-men in the ancient Sunni-Shi’ite blood feud? They take out their checkbooks and we do the dirty work?

Pat Buchanan asks the same question, here.

Ice-Nine

That’s what prions are: ice-nine for the brain.

Fog Of War

I was all set to put up a link to today’s NightWatch analysis, but noticed that the indefatigable JK beat me to it in a comment on our previous post. Here it is again, nevertheless.

I haven’t selected any excerpts to reproduce here — I urge all of you to follow the link and read the whole thing. In brief: there is a great deal more uncertainty about all of this than you might have been led to believe. Open-source reports (see here, for example) cast significant doubt on the story we’ve been hearing from Mr. Kerry et al.

The dog that I don’t hear barking in all of this is Samantha Power, who — unless water now flows uphill, the planets have reversed their courses, the Mets are headed for the World Series, and the Republican Party is a doughty garrison of rock-ribbed conservatives — is working the President’s ear like Grima Wormtongue on this one. There has hardly been any mention of her in the press, but let there be no doubt that she sees this chance to hit Syria the way Michael Moore might look at a lasagna.

The Good Guys

Meet our new comrades. See here (cannibalism) and here (shelling a hospital with some sort of gas) and here (attacking Christians) and here (beheadings).

Hop in, boys! We’re off to teach that cad Assad to fight like a gentleman.
 

Don’t Let The Door Hit Ya Where The Electrified Razor-Wire Fence Shoulda Bit Ya

With a tip of the hat to a tweet by hbd* chick, here’s an idea from Israel: banning “remittances” by illegal aliens (or, as they call them in Zion, “infiltrators”):

Interior Minister Gid’on Saar signed regulations, Monday, that make it illegal for someone who illegally infiltrated the country to send money out of the country. The goal of the measures are to make the infiltrators leave with what they accumulated instead of regularly sending it out to their countries of origin.

Under the regulations, an illegal infiltrator can only take money or property out upon leaving the country. The regulations were approved by the Knesset Interior Affairs and Environmental Protection Committee last week, and are scheduled to go into effect on Friday.

To get to this point, however, one has first to embrace a curious notion: that for people to enter your country illegally, underbid natives for jobs that would otherwise pay higher wages, and then to siphon off to a foreign economy most of whatever they earn, is something that a nation might have a legitimate interest in discouraging.

Learning Disability

Industrial-grade unwisdom from the National Review:

Any strike shouldn’t be a pinprick or necessarily a one-off but part of a broader, longer-term plan to topple Assad and defeats [sic] his allies. This means strengthening elements of the Syrian opposition we can trust, with arms and training; it means crafting and leading an international coalition committed to a post-Assad Syria; it means staying engaged beyond the next few weeks.

“Elements of the Syrian opposition we can trust.”

“Crafting and leading an international coalition.”

Hoo-boy.

The rest here.

This And That

Spiffy map-making from the Smithsonian.

— The New York Times on the “dismal science“.

Fence-building bugs.

— Derb takes on “Uncle” Tim Wise on the mathematics of race and crime.

— And while we are at it: here’s Ron Unz on the same subject.

— That STEM crisis you’re always hearing about doesn’t exist.

— Charles Cooke on misunderstanding the Second Amendment.

— From Victor Hanson, some Dark Enlightenment-style musings on the limitations of democracy.

— The late stages of terminal oikophobia.

Faint Heart Ne’er Won… Anything At All, Really

Mark Steyn:

The problem with the American way of war is that, technologically, it can’t lose, but, in every other sense, it can’t win.

Here.

Falling Rock Zone

Here.

The Rich Get Their Ice In The Summer

Oh dear: it seems that there is so much more ice in the Arctic this summer (up by 60%!) that yachts are getting stuck.

Story here.

Nerve Gas, Or Undetonated Thermobaric Ordnance?

With a hat tip to commenter ‘ScaniaBoy’, here is a very interesting assessment of the alleged CW attack in Syria.

Then And Now

Writing at Taki’s, John Derbyshire marks the anniversary of Martin Luther King’s greatest oration by contrasting a world of genuine obstacles with a modern-day retreat into magical thinking. Here.

The Black Budget

From the Washington Post. Hat tip: Edward Snowden.

The Road To Damascus

This Syria business certainly seems to have everyone’s attention, if not approval.

NightWatch‘s John McCreary had this to say last night (I’ve highlighted some key passages):

Syria: Update. The mainstream media headlines with slight variations predict that an attack against Syrian targets by US missiles could occur as early as Thursday. The UK and France are lobbying hard for action because of the alleged chemical attack.

Special Comment: Numerous pundits and experts have expounded on the need for the US to take action, the consequences of inaction, and the potential for a US attack to generate a regional conventional war. Curiously, they have not mentioned the probability of Iranian-instigated terrorist attacks in the US.

NightWatch has little to add to all that “wisdom,” but prefers to comment on matters not covered.

Feedback from one of the finest analysts alive provided a reminder that the “bugs and gas” (biological and chemical warfare) lobby in US intelligence contains fine people who get few opportunities to shine. That’s because of the limits of intelligence on bugs and gas. Next to nukes (nuclear weapons) they are the most protected weapons a country, such as Syria and North Korea, has.

As a result, studies of national capabilities and stock piles of bugs and gas are notoriously suspect, but err on the side of caution because a little goes a long way. As a result, the record of predictive accuracy tends to be poor. That record includes the inaccurate judgments about various weapons of mass destruction in Iraq in 2003.

The detection of actual use of bugs and gas agents and of the specific agents used, as during the last year of the Iran-Iraq War, is even harder. It always requires reliable and competently educated and specially trained investigators on the ground at the site. Actual use cannot be inferred from radio intercepts or any other indirect or remotely collected information source.

A second observation derives from the Russian use of a chemical agent in 2002 when Chechen terrorists held more than 700 Russian hostages in a Moscow theater. The Russians used a crowd suppression agent that killed 116 people, but enabled 650 to be rescued. The agent is not banned by the Geneva convention on chemical warfare.

If the Syrians used such an agent, which can be delivered by mortars and artillery as well as aircraft, there would be no international legal justification for attacking Syria based on the Geneva convention. It would not have been violated. The possibility that a non-banned substance was used makes it all the more urgent that competent investigators inspect the sites to identify the agent as well as the culprit.

A third observation is that the use of lethal gas is notoriously and inherently dangerous, often depending on the weather and the delivery system. It can blow back, in some instances, for miles. That is why military forces do not use it.

A fourth observation from Feedback from chemical warfare experts is that lethal gas kills effectively. There are no large numbers of people left alive but suffering. Victims die by the thousands. Survivors are few, if any. That is the lesson of Iraq’s use of such weapons at Hallabjah against the Kurds and later against the Iranians. Casualty reports from Syria are precisely opposite of the lethality pattern in a chemical weapon attack.

A fifth observation is that US media have given Syrian forces more than enough warning to enable them to protect themselves and their weapons. Leaks about US attack plans represent either monumental incompetence in operational security or a deliberate effort to tip off the Syrians for arcane political purposes.

In either event, the leaks ensure that Syrian military forces will suffer no significant damage from a US attack. An attack under these conditions must be considered entertainment for the benefit of the international press instead of a serious military operation.

As for Syrian defense capabilities, Syria has a respectable integrated air defense system, but the Israelis have defeated it thrice in the past year. It poses no serious impediment to a missile or air attack except to the unwary or unlucky.

Syria has supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles that have a range of 300 nm. Syria will use them if it can acquire the US destroyers off its coast.

As for the value of limited punitive strikes, Syria already has shown that it can withstand limited, genuinely surgical, punitive attacks by the Israeli air force. The Israelis have attacked three times in the past 18 months and the Syrians have not retaliated. Apparently that is because the Israeli attacks have had no demonstrable impact on Hizballah’s operations or Syria’s prosecution of the fight against the opposition.

Syria is in an existential battle. Surgical, pin prick NATO attacks are trivial compared to the prospect of Syrian forces destroying the rebel concentrations east of Damascus. This means Syria might not retaliate for a US attack, but just continue to prosecute the fight. Iran and Lebanese Hizballah are the more dangerous sources of retaliation.

As for ripple effects, Iran is so heavily invested in the survival of the government in Syria that US and NATO planners must plan for retaliatory attacks in Western Europe, in the US, in the Persian Gulf states and everywhere the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps Quds Force has a presence. Iran’s responses will depend on the damage inflicted on Syria.

Concerning leading from behind, American audiences apparently are not aware that in Libya and in Mali, Western European air forces were unable to sustain combat flight and logistics operations without comprehensive US support, from intelligence to mission planning to all types of resupply. Some US military personnel are resentful because they received so little recognition for so much effort to compensate for European NATO lack of capabilities.

The notion of leading from behind is a political and media myth. NATO is incapable of sustaining any but the most elementary level of air combat for a minimal amount of time without comprehensive US support. That means the feel-good notion of a coalition of the willing is actually a cover term for US military operations with minimal NATO help for window dressing. This is not a criticism, it is a fact of European economics.

The blogger DiploMad has reposted an item, originally written at the time of our Libyan engagement, that remains relevant (with minor substitutions, provided by me at no extra charge) to this adventure as well. It includes the following:

President Obama has said Qaddafi Assad must go. OK. So we’re going to target him? Apparently not, except when we do, but not really. Have we gone bear hunting with the idea of wounding the bear? Who are the rebels? Does anybody really know? Who’s in charge of the rebels? Anybody? What are their goals? The US wants to pass command and control, so to whom? Will it be NATO? Who provides the bulk of NATOs resources and capabilities? One guess, and the answer is not the UK, France, Italy, or Spain . . . It’s a bit like arguing whether a Ford is better than a Mercury. Same factory, folks. Will it be some other harebrained scheme for collective control that will leave the US with the responsibility but not the authority? No answers, so instead we have bombing.

Above all, however, the administration has not defined our interests. What was so pressing about Libya Syria to excuse the manner in which we got involved? Aren’t the people leading the charge into the Libyan Syrian desert the same ones who spent years deriding the idea of a threat from Saddam? No answers, so instead, we have bombing.

Obama and his hopeless coterie must understand that war must form part of a policy, it is not just mindless, bored vandalism. Meanwhile, we will just keep bombing until we think of something to do . . ..”

“Mindless, bored vandalism” seems about right. At the very least, I’ll say this: if that is not what’s happening here — if there is in fact some coherent, grand design behind this petulant outburst — we have yet to see any evidence of it.

Go Git ‘Em, Cowboy!

It’s strange how quiet the Left seems to be as we rush, without Congressional approval, toward military action against Syria. (Not everyone on the Left, mind: I find myself agreeing with, of all people, Dennis Kucinich on this one.)

The Long War Journal‘s blog, Threat Matrix, asks some pertinent questions, here. Among them:

3. Is there a possibility that the Aug. 21 attack was an accidental hit — of chemical stocks belonging to either the regime or the rebels — by the undisputed massive regime bombardment in the area at the time? It is known that the regime has been frequently moving its chemical weapons to keep them out of rebel hands, and it is also known that rebel fighters, including al Qaeda-linked groups, have sought and reportedly had access to chemical weapons. The Al Nusrah Front is known to have pursued chemical weapons; credible reports of the group plotting to conduct sarin and mustard gas attacks have emerged from Iraq and Turkey over the past several months.

Sharpest of all are questions 5 and 6:

5. Is there a way to rule out the possibility, given the timing of the Aug. 21 attack, that it could have been perpetrated by rebel groups seeking to draw the US into a military intervention against the Assad regime?

6. The regime has much to lose by mounting chemical weapon attacks, and especially while UN inspectors are in country and the world’s eyes are turned toward Syria. Why now? Is the basic vagueness of the US’s accusation due to a Western decision that now is the time to intervene militarily, regardless of who perpetrated the attack, since there is clearly a very distinct danger of the spread of chemical warfare in the region at this point?

I’ve wondered all along about this: why would Assad, who already outguns the rebels, risk triggering exactly the punitive response he seems about to receive?

In an essay published earlier today, Victor Davis Hanson remarked:

We are now in a surreal landscape in which the Left urges action on suspicion of WMD use, citing the humanitarian issues involved, the larger concerns of the civilized world, and U.S. strategic interests. U.N. weapon inspectors are not allowed in. There is good evidence that Assad is lying about his use of WMD or at least trying to mislead in some fashion not altogether discernible. Where are Joe Wilson, Hans Blix, and Mohamed ElBaradei when we need them?

Where the Syrian WMD came from or where they are stored is still a mystery, given that we were assured long ago by opponents of the Iraq War that Saddam did not pose a threat and thus his WMD stockpiles, if they ever existed, did not go to Syria on the eve of that war.

Yep, it’s ten years on, and everybody’s just switched jerseys. Big wheel keep on turnin’, Mideast keep on burnin’.

Meanwhile, Turkish correspondent Ilhan Tanir just tweeted:

I am talking to a friend in Aleppo now. He says, everybody expect US to hit ISIS (Al Qaida linked group) as well Assad targets. Interesting.

“Interesting”, indeed! Attacking both sides, I have to admit, does have a certain appeal. (Obliterating both sides, much more so.) But of course, each side is already working hard to obliterate the other, without our lifting a finger, so why not just let them take care of it themselves? (Do keep in mind that those Tomahawk missiles can cost upwards of a million taxpayer bucks a pop. That kind of money could buy a lot of condoms, folks.)

Perhaps the idea is to kill everybody but those Islamic “moderates” we’re always hearing about, so that they can repopulate and pacify the region. I suppose it’s something like the idea that everything presently existing in the Universe is just the tiny, asymmetrical residue that was left over after all the matter and antimatter annihilated each other right after the Big Bang.

So what the hell, it’s worth a try, I guess. Anyway, with such enlightened statesmen at the helm, what could go wrong?

Potpourri

We’re still a week or two away from resuming normal operations here at waka waka waka; all of our staff are on holiday, and our offices are shuttered, both here and abroad. We invite you to browse our archive, or to try the “View a Random Post” link at upper right.

To boldly go.

Well, whaddya know!

That sinkhole in Louisiana.

And here’s another expanding sinkhole.

Thomas Sowell on Egypt.

Eros and dance in Western civilization, then and now. Stick a fork in us, we’re done.

Related: “why aliens won’t talk to us“.

A close shave.

Antimatter from bananas.

This And That

Delta Airlines says Obamacare will cost it $100,000,000 next year alone.

Daniel Pipes on the Obama administration’s gormless foreign policy. (Just the tip of the iceberg. Let’s not forget, in 2016, who was running State through all of this.)

A sensible item on Russia’s goals in Syria and the Mideast.

The Lester Dent Pulp Paper Master Fiction Plot.

— A new board game.

Biology, sex, culture, and pitch.

Historic photos, colorized. (If #11 doesn’t give you the willies, nothing will.)

The doctor won’t see you now.

— Our pal Mangan on atheism as maladaptation. (See also here, from a few years back.)

Suppuration Of Powers

I’m impressed by a young Oxonian by the name of Charles C. W. Cooke, who writes for National Review and other outlets. Although Mr. Cooke may even still be in his twenties, he is wise (and conservative, but I repeat myself) beyond his years.

Here’s a piece that he published today over at NRO, on “living legislation”. By this Mr. Cooke refers to the writing of laws that are not specifically prescriptive or prohibitive in nature, but are instead mere grants of power to the Executive Branch. Combine this with the unprecedented disregard this President has for the faithful execution of the law, and you have made possible government by executive caprice: the hallmark, as Christopher Hitchens (and others) have pointed out, of tyranny.

Bludgers

Here are some fascinating mug-shots from 1920’s Australia. The first thing I noticed was how well-dressed everyone was. They may have been thieves and grifters, but at least they looked like grown-ups.

Breathe The Free Air Again, My Friend

My! Even Maureen Dowd has had enough of the Clintons. With luck, by 2016, we all will have.

Move Over, Colombian Weasel

In case you missed it, there’s a new mammal, which doesn’t happen much these days.

Dark Matter

If you wish to follow what’s being called the “Dark Enlightenment” — a reactionary center-of-gravity whose core ideas include skepticism of radical egalitarianism and of democracy itself — you should have this blog, and this one, on your reading list.

On Self-Defense

Here’s an interesting item from Sam Harris: a round-table discussion of self-defense and the law.

One thing I learned: California is a really terrible place to have to defend yourself. It sounds as insane as Britain, almost.

Service Notice

It’s August, the weather here in Wellfleet is warm and pleasant, and so it’s time to give the glowing screen a rest for a few weeks, and recharge the “little grey cells”. I’ve got a lot of reading to catch up on, and there are ponds* that need swimming in, oysters that must be gathered and consumed, waves that need watching, and of course drinks that must be had.

With all of that to see to, things may go a bit quiet around here. We’ll get back to normal early next month.

* Crystal-clear, sandy-bottomed glacial kettle ponds, that is.

Ooops!

My goodness, I’m getting sloppy lately. I gave the wrong link in the previous post (now fixed). Apologies to all.

The link I meant to post is here. (Same bloody song.)

P.S. See also the internal power of the late Xingyi master David Chan, here and here. This is the real deal, folks. (Thanks to reader John D., who posted the first of these links at an old post of ours today.)

Not Too Shabby

I’ve been too busy to post much of anything at the moment, so for now, just a quick martial-arts link: a little Hung-Gar jam from a capable-looking practitioner.

What this fellow is doing here is a conglomeration of forms from what appears to be the Lam Sai Wing branch of our system. There’s some Fu Hok (Tiger Crane Double Form) in there, as well as some bits & pieces of the Fook Fu section of the Gung Ji Fook Fu (Subduing the Tiger in “I” Pattern).

The music, which is all too familiar to anyone who practices Hung family kung fu, is known as “General Kwan’s Mandate”. I’ve heard this piece a thousand times; it is played all the time at kung-fu demonstrations, and as far as I know, it is the only piece of music that any Hung-Gar school has ever been aware of. (God, I’m sick of this tune.) You will also notice the cheesy, whip-like sound effects that accompany each movement; the people that make these movies just can’t help themselves, I think.

As for the kung fu, though, it’s a pretty good example of what Hung Gar is supposed to look like. (I think this fellow doesn’t sit far enough back in his cat stances, but I shouldn’t nit-pick.)

Whom The Gods Would Destroy

Sometimes, scientific research leads to conclusions that are starkly at odds with ordinary experience, with common sense, and with the received wisdom of the ages.

Not so here, however: a new study from the UK finds a correlation between ethnic diversity (“lower own-group density”) and psychosis.

From the abstract:

Results

For every ten percentage point reduction in own-group density, the relative odds of reporting psychotic experiences increased 1.07 times (95% CI 1.01”“1.14, P = 0.03 (trend)) for the total minority ethnic sample. In general, people living in areas of lower own-group density experienced greater social adversity that was in turn associated with reporting psychotic experiences.

Conclusions

People resident in neighbourhoods of higher own-group density experience ”˜buffering’ effects from the social risk factors for psychosis.

In this past Sunday’s post I remarked on “the patently hallucinatory idea ”” among the most audacious assaults on simple common sense that have ever found their way into a mainstream social ideology ”” that diversity itself is always a great social blessing, and so the more of it the better.” This pernicious misbelief, maintained in willful defiance of both the sorrowful lessons of history and the daily tide of current events, seems more and more a form of psychosis itself.

Steven Pinker On Scientism

Steven Pinker has just published an article that seemed to be getting a lot of attention earlier today. His essay is a rejoinder to the claim, made by many in the humanities, that scientifically minded secular types are besotted by “scientism”, which is nothing more than a new form of faith masquerading as pure rationality.

I’ll disclose up front that I’m a big fan of Pinker’s. He’s an independent thinker of exceptional intelligence, a diligent researcher, and a gifted writer. He’s not afraid to defy the Cathedral’s thought police (as he did, for example, when Lawrence Summers faced the fury of the Inquisition for raising a perfectly reasonable question about women in science), and his landmark book The Blank Slate struck a mighty blow against the Left’s denial of human nature.

Let me say also that I am myself a Godless infidel, raised by two agnostic scientists (my parents used to joke that they had me baptized, and kept my younger brother as a control), and that I am also, along with most scientists, a philosophical materialist. I think that the scientific method of inquiry, as perfected in the high civilization of the West, is perhaps the apex of ten thousand years of human achievement. It has, as Dr. Pinker points out, transformed the human world, and has already given humanity a degree of comfort, abundance, and control of nature that would have seemed miraculous just a few centuries ago. It is the gift that keeps on giving.

But my own militant “scientism” has been tempered in recent years by some highly intelligent and articulate contrary voices. In particular, I am indebted to Dr. William Vallicella for demonstrating how sturdily and coherently the opposing worldview can defend its position, and for pointing out the philosophical sloppiness that characterizes so much of modern secular polemics.

Pinker’s essay, although it is beautifully written (and a rousing pep-talk for the home team), is surprisingly weak. It pops off at a collection of strawmen, such as “the belief that members of the occupational guild called “science’ are particularly wise or noble”, but fails to address with precision the most pertinent criticism — namely that the “scientistic” worldview assumes for itself plenary coverage of all the world’s phenomena, inappropriately commingling facts and values, and issuing promissory notes for persistent mysteries while dismissing out of hand other, philosophically defensible accounts. Indeed, in Pinker’s confidence (which he shares with Sam Harris) that morality itself can be placed on a purely scientific footing — that we really can derive “ought” from “is” — he exhibits exactly the sort of faith, and philosophical confusion, that engendered so many complaints about “scientism” in the first place.

I’ve been working long hours today, and while I did take the time to read Pinker’s essay, I’ve had no time to prepare an detailed response. I did, however, run across an excellent riposte, by Ross Douthat, that made some of the points that had been taking shape in my own mind. In particular, Mr. Douthat nails Pinker with precision on the illicit move from traditional morality to “scientistic” utilitarianism. You can read Douthat’s piece here.

Finally, I’ll mention that in his scientism essay, Professor Pinker slips in a dig about the still-controversial idea of group selection. I’m in the opposing camp on this one, but I’ll let it slip by for now. If you want to read a detailed and lively debate on that issue, beginning with an essay by Dr. Pinker, you can have a look here.

Just Another Day In The Dar al-Harb

As you may recall, during the last election cycle a staple of the Obama campaign was the braggadocious assertion that “Osama is dead, and Detroit is alive.” Our mortal enemies of the past fourteen centuries were now, we were assured, “decimated”, and “on the run”.

How things change! If we take “Osama” to be a synecdoche for al-Qaeda, then it now seems, unfortunately, that both of these statements are false. Moreover, given that the State Department has advised all citizens of the civilized world to be on the lookout for an imminent and horrific assault, which might happen anytime and anywhere, and given also that we are shuttering diplomatic outposts around the world, it could be plausibly argued that it is we, not al-Qaeda, who are “on the run”.

Apparently, the threat has something to do with “implanted explosives”, as DEBKA explains here.

Meanwhile, the “workplace violence” trial of Nidal Hasan is underway at last. (This is good, because we’ve been paying his salary ever since his lethal spree, way back in November 2009.)

Also, it seems Pamela Geller and Robert Spencer will be appealing their ban on entering the U.K. Good luck with that, guys.

The peeling bumper stickers I see around Wellfleet notwithstanding, it seems difficult to avoid the conclusion that global jihad is proceeding nicely, along both its strategic paths: the more sensational, but ultimately less dangerous, terrorist approach favored by al-Qaeda and its affiliates, and the far more worrisome dawa blueprint preferred by such “moderate” institutions as the Muslim Brotherhood, CAIR, ISNA, OIC, and their useful idiots in the Western ruling elites. Good cop, bad cop.

Let’s just hope our diversity doesn’t become a casualty!

Go Not Gently

Perhaps the most spectacular self-delusion of the modern liberal mind — a mind that prides itself in being “reality-based”, and on “restoring science to its rightful place” — is the cognitive dissonance required to tune out the realities of human biodiversity. On the one hand, the science proceeds apace; on the other, the terrifying power of taboo and social opprobrium effectively prevents any reference to it in polite society. (Just ask Jason Richwine, for example, who was sacked and disgraced without a single person, as far as I am aware, even bothering to criticize his work on its scientific merits.)

The immigration debate, for example, is framed always either in purely economic terms, or in terms of “fairness” — which, depending on which side you choose, might mean “fairness” to those who came here legally, or to those who didn’t but ought to be allowed in anyway.

What goes mostly unquestioned by either side, however, is the patently hallucinatory idea — among the most audacious assaults on simple common sense that have ever found their way into a mainstream social ideology — that diversity itself is always a great social blessing, and so the more of it the better.

Well, it certainly isn’t better in terms of the evolutionary fitness of related populations that historically inhabit a stable geographic homeland. For such ethnic groups it is, in fact, the numerical equivalent of a drastic curtailment of the birth-rate, and can lead to extinction.

This is the subject of a paper by Frank Salter, of the Max Planck Institute, that would, but for the cognitive dissonance lately mentioned, be at the center of the ongoing debate about immigration. It isn’t.

The paper, which was published in 2002, is called Estimating Ethnic Genetic Interests: Is It Adaptive to Resist Replacement Migration?

Here’s the abstract:

Analyses of the costs and benefits of immigration have not considered the dependence of an ethny’s reproductive fitness on its monopoly of a demarcated territory.
Global assays of human genetic variation allow estimation of the genetic losses incurred by a member of a population when random fellow ethnics are replaced by immigrants from different ethnies. This potential loss defines an individual’s ethnic genetic interest as a quantity that varies with the genetic distance of potential immigrants. W. D. Hamilton showed that self-sacrificial altruism is adaptive when it preserves the genetic interests of a population of genetically similar individuals. Ethnic genetic interest can be so large that altruism on behalf of one’s ethny”””˜ethnic nepotism’””can be adaptive when it prevents replacement. It follows that ethnies usually have an interest in securing and maintaining a monopoly over a demarcated territory, an idea consonant with the universal nationalism of Bismarck and Woodrow Wilson.

It will already be clear why you haven’t seen much of this on MSNBC, or even Fox News. The paper begins (for this excerpt I have added emphasis and removed some references, which you can read in the original):

Does ethnic competition over territory pay off in terms of reproductive fitness? The question is barely raised in contemporary analyses of population, even when discussing the costs and benefits of immigration on such a scale that it is appropriately called ”˜replacement migration.’ Perhaps the idea that humans have reproductive interests does not occur to most social scientists after almost a century of that tradition separating itself from the biological sciences. Whatever the cause, analysts behave as if the only interests humans have are ”˜proximate,’ such as economic and physical security, rather than ”˜ultimate,’ in the form of genetic continuity. Thus it is implied that immigration on any scale is acceptable so long as it raises aggregate income or makes life more interesting.

A little further on:

Which modern events affect ethnic genetic interests? This interest is ultimately a matter of population size, which can be directly reduced through warfare, genocide, and the loss of limiting resources such as territory. The fact that a 30 percent loss of population is a 30 percent loss of ethnic genetic interest is obvious. But competition can have powerful effects without any behavior that is aggressive in the usual sense of the word. The prime example in the contemporary world is peaceful migration between states and high rates of reproduction by one ethnic group within multi-ethnic states. Like the bands and tribes in which humans evolved, states are territorially based and act to police their borders. The special quality of a defended territory is that it insulates a population from the vicissitudes of demographic disturbances in the metapopulation, namely the connected phenomena of uneven population growth and migration. When an ethny controls the borders of a territory that is large enough to support the population, loss of fitness relative to other ethnies is not necessarily fatal; it need not lead to replacement. A decimated, defeated, or impoverished population can quickly recover if it retains control of its territory, but a large-scale influx of genetically distant immigrants has the potential permanently to reduce the genetic interests of the original population. Territory adequately defended guarantees continuity and the chance to ride out a temporary downturn in numbers relative to other populations. The territorial component of the tribal strategy was so fundamental in Homo sapiens’ evolutionary past that it has become deeply imbedded as a psychological need.

Salter continues:

Loss of fitness within one’s own territory robs the native ethny of the time needed to recover numbers, mobilization, or organization, all contributing to a loosening of the ties between political leadership and ethny. Since in modern societies the state has come to replace traditional tribal institutions, loss of state sponsorship is likely further to undermine mobilization and organization. In a competitive world an ethny’s loss of ability to mobilize and organize as a self-interested group is tantamount to loss of fitness.

Mass migration between diverse populations combined with the existence of collective goods in wealthy societies such as low cost medical support and other forms of welfare have produced effective ethnic competition within many Western states. For example the founding European-derived ethnies of the United States, Canada, Australia, Britain and some other Western societies are declining as proportions of the overall population due to periods of liberal immigration policy from the 1960s. These challenges are real enough for majorities, but minorities have usually fared worse, as diaspora peoples have discovered through the centuries. Not to control a territory creates risks of repeated group subjugation, displacement, and marginalization. For all of past human experience and still today, territory is a resource for maintaining ethnic genetic interests in the long run.

This is all consonant with what was, until very recently indeed, obvious to all — for the simple reason that this is how nature works, and so has manifested itself with indefatigable regularity throughout history, always and everywhere. Fish gotta swim, and birds gotta fly — and population groups must look after their genetic interests, or go extinct.

Nevertheless, in this brave new world, it is heresy of downright Albigensian quality, and so you won’t hear this being brought up on the Senate floor anytime soon. But is it true?

The foregoing qualitative argument might be plausible, but only a quantitative analysis will allow us to assess whether, and under which circumstances, immigration harms native populations’ genetic interests to a significant degree. Such an analysis requires clarification of territorial carrying capacity and the quantification of ethnic kinship.

Ah, the data. If we are genuinely interested in “restoring science to its rightful place”, readers, then this is where the rubber meets the road. Read the rest of Salter’s paper here. It will require you to concentrate your attention, but will be well worth your time, I think.

Update

A reader pointed out to me that comments had apparently been closed on the previous post. This was not intentional. Comments are welcome, as always.

Small World

Note: I’ve taken down this post for now, in order to rewrite it. Feel free to email me about it: malcolm [at] malcolmpollack.com.

Seek, And Ye Shall Be Found

Details here.

Excluded Middle

It seems the moderate center of just about everything is vanishing. A decades-long process of political electrophoresis has pulled us all, it seems, to one pole or the other; the mediating layers of civil association that were the heart of American life in Tocqueville’s day are withering, leaving the atomized and deracinated citizen standing alone before the Leviathan; and the middle class, despite being the ostensible object of the President’s tenderest affections, has no place at either the table or the trough.

Regarding that last, here’s Victor Davis Hanson, with a newly published essay.

Sugar Daddy

We note with continuing satisfaction that Mayor Bloomberg’s big-soda ban has been nullified once again in the courts, this time on appeal. (Our reaction to the original ruling is here.)

The issue here is personal responsibility. Implicit in this ban is the idea that it is the proper role of the State to intervene in the choices of its citizens when the citizens themselves cannot be trusted to choose wisely. But this is nothing more or less than the State assuming the relation of a parent to a child. If it is indeed the case that certain of our citizens are so incapable of adult judgment that they must be treated as children in this regard, then for consistency’s sake they ought to be assumed to be children in other respects as well, and declared wards of the State: incompetent to vote, to enter into contractual obligations, or to assume the other rights and privileges of adulthood. For the Mayor simply to assume on a whim this paternalistic role with regard to all of the adults under his jurisdiction, however, is an unjustifiable abridgment of the rights of the free citizens who hired him — as the courts, twice, have rightly observed.

Jonah Goldberg On Politics And Meaning

I’m back from Southern California (always a relief) and will be getting back to normal operation around here shortly.

For tonight, here’s a longish excerpt from Jonah Goldbergs’ most recent ‘G-File’ newsletter, in which he looks at the differences between conservative and liberal sex scandals in light of what he considers to be essential differences between the liberal and conservative political phenotype.

Brother Jim Geraghty has some worthwhile thoughts on why Democratic wives seem to put up with this stuff more than Republican ones do. In fairness, I think the data are more mixed. After all, last I checked, Mrs. Larry Craig was standing by her husband.

But there do seem to be enough instances to generalize a little, and it does seem to be the case that liberal lechers tend to be more bullying or predatory in their sexual appetites — interns, random teens on the web, groupies, etc. And that their wives are more forgiving of it. Bill Clinton took advantage of a worshipful and immature intern. John F. Kennedy literally pimped out a young girl. His brother Ted would make waitress sandwiches with Chris Dodd. As for Al Gore, I dunno. Maybe he had two guinea pigs named Chakra. One was already running free but the other was trapped under his towel. So when he demanded that the masseuse “Release my second chakra!” he didn’t mean anything untoward by it, he was just concerned about the animal’s welfare.

…As for the reason liberals’ wives stick with it, again, making a sweeping generalization will get you into trouble, but the conservative adulterers do seem to have more traditional affairs. The most discussed example is Mark Sanford who simply fell in love with someone else and his wife, rightly, refused to stand by him like a Hillary or a Huma.

I don’t think there’s any single explanation for this disparity. But I think the most important or at least interesting one is the different sociologies of the Right and the Left. Most Republican politicians tend to be normal business or professional guys who decide to get into politics later in life. I think Ron Johnson is a perfect example: a decent, hardworking, successful businessman who saw how terribly Washington was running things and decided to leave the plastics business and go do his part. (Note: I in no way am suggesting that Johnson has been anything other than faithful to his wife. My only point is that his is a fairly typical Republican story.)

In other words, Republican politicians tend to come from a normal background for a fairly successful person. Ironically, I don’t necessarily mean that in a normative sense. I just mean that if you make a life for yourself outside the realm of politics, you probably don’t consider politics all that important. Even if you catch the bug for it later in life, the moral, cultural, and philosophical stanchions holding your life together — family, church, community, business, sports, the military, hunting, Comic-Con whatever — are either outside of politics or don’t feel politicized to you.

But as I’ve written in about every third G-File for a couple years now, liberalism acts more like a religion. There are no natural boundaries between the political and the personal. Politics is not only where you do meaningful things, it’s where you find meaning itself (hence Hillary Clinton’s “Politics of Meaning”). It’s the cause and the limelight all at once. According to liberals like the Clintons and Obama, civil society is just another word for government, because “government is us.”

For some liberals to leave politics means to move into the darkness, into a void bereft of meaning. Anthony Weiner strikes me as exactly that kind of person. Politics is everything to him. Well, that and junk-tweeting. A normal person would be perfectly content to go back to the non-political world and find meaning — perhaps far greater meaning — outside of politics. But when everything is political where can you go? People like Weiner and Huma Abedin are like Richard Gere in An Officer and a Gentleman yelling “I’ve got nowhere else to go!”

That was always the key to understanding the Clintons. Politics was and is their everything. Asking them to leave politics is like asking a fish to leave the ocean or a samurai to take up needlepoint. Whatever else was going on in their marriage, it was subordinate to politics because for their whole lives, everything was subordinate to politics. So, of course, the Clinton’s marriage was a “political marriage” at least insofar as everything is political. When you have a traditional religious marriage the rules of the bond are, well, traditional and religious. When you have a political marriage, when it’s a political partnership and part of your brand, the traditional and religious commitments have to at least share space with the political considerations. And for some people — the Clintons — the politics is more important. To the extent we can speak about someone else’s marriage, I think it’s reasonable to assume the same is true for the Weiners.

This seems reasonable to me. On the conservative view, government is a necessary evil, to be tightly laced up and watched with a wary eye. Because of this politics is far less likely to be seen as a higher calling, and so the basis of one’s self-definition, for the Right than the Left (although of course both conservatives and liberals alike are human, and so tempted by power).

The exception to this is when conservative politics becomes a matter of righteous resistance — which for many it is now doing. But a Resistance, once formed, is ad hoc: once it has succeeded, its agents resume their normal lives. Liberalism, by contrast, is infinite.

Call Of Nature

Here is a haunting, oddly beautiful video about Aokigahara, the “suicide forest” at the foot of Fuji-san.

After watching this, I remembered a haiku I had written, years ago.

Service Notice

Out in Southern California for a few days, visiting my ancient and ailing dad. Posting if time permits.

Pre-Cover

Here’s an unfamiliar version of an all-too-familiar tune.

Veritas. Schmeritas.

Here’s an essay by Victor Davis Hanson on lying. Worth your time.

Enlightened Statesmen Will Not Always Be At The Helm

I’m not one to wallow in salacious gossip, but when it comes to the detestable liberal jackass and odious sexual deviant Anthony Weiner, I’ll make an exception.

New examples of his dark obsession have just come to light, in a series of prurient exchanges between the disgraced former Congressman and a 22-year-old woman. You can read about it here.

We understand that in these interactions Mr. Weiner used a rakish nom de verge: “Carlos Danger”. (Two felicitous anagrams for this have just come to mind: Cradles Organ, and Rag Cleans Rod.)

This horrid little man is now running for mayor of New York City, and may even be leading in the polls. Mock him.

Fists

In the days since the Zimmerman verdict, I’ve had a lot of conversations with liberal friends* in which they complain about the use of lethal force against the “unarmed” Trayvon Martin. Most of these people have no experience whatsoever with the use of hands, elbows, and forearms as weapons, and imagine that nothing really serious can come of it. (In their own case, they’re probably right.)

Let me assure you: when you know what you’re doing, your hands can kill. Learn more here.

 
* Yes, I have liberal friends. There’s more to life than politics. Where I live, if you don’t have liberal friends, you aren’t going to have many friends.

The Wealth Of Nations

Here’s an item that I missed when it was published in 2011: a study correlating the IQ of nations with per-capita GDP. The results are unsurprising.

Hawkmoths Jam Bat Radar With Bursts Of Ultrasonics From Their Genitals

Here.

Hat tip: John D.

The Parasite Outgrows Its Host

Mark Steyn on Detroit, which is scrounging around for assets to liquidate:

What else is left to sell? Windsor has already offered to buy Detroit’s half of the Detroit/Windsor tunnel, perhaps to wall it up. With bankruptcy temporarily struck down, we’re told that “innovation hubs” and “enterprise zones” are the answer. Seriously?

In my book “After America,” I observe that the physical decay of Detroit ”” the vacant and derelict lots for block after block after block ”” is nothing compared with the decay of the city’s human capital. Forty-seven percent of adults are functionally illiterate, about the same rate as the Central African Republic, which at least has the excuse that it was ruled in the ’70s by a cannibal emperor.

Why would any innovator open a business in a Detroit “innovation hub”? Whom would you employ? The illiterates include a recent school board president, Otis Mathis, which doesn’t bode well for the workforce a decade hence.

One has to conclude that Detroit’s Democratic Party makes a far more comprehensive wrecking crew than Emperor Bokassa ever did. No bombs, no invasions, no civil war, just liberal politics day in, day out.

Americans sigh and say, “Oh, well, Detroit’s an outlier.” It’s an outlier only in the sense that it happened here first.

Read the rest here.

Honor Thy Father

From an article on today’s ruling by Ingham County Circuit judge Rosemary Aquilina, who has blocked Detroit’s bankruptcy filing:

“It’s cheating, sir, and it’s cheating good people who work,’ the judge told assistant Attorney General Brian Devlin. “It’s also not honoring the (United States) president, who took (Detroit’s auto companies) out of bankruptcy.’

Aquilina said she would make sure President Obama got a copy of her order.

“I know he’s watching this,’ she said, predicting the president ultimately will have to do something to make sure existing city workers’ pension agreements are honored.

Perhaps there is some valid legal basis for this ruling; I haven’t read the arguments in the case. What leaves me gobsmacked is the suggestion, by a judge in an American courtroom, that “not honoring” Barack Obama — whom the winsome Ms. Aquilina evidently expects to come riding the rescue upon a silver steed, carrying bales of taxpayer dollars with which to insulate Detroit from the consequences of its decades of vile corruption, public-sector extortion, and ruinous folly — is grounds for intrusion by the courts.

To see the august face of Justice, click the link above. Some days I really miss Lawrence Auster.

Canary In The Coal Mine

Detroit, once a great American city, is filing for bankruptcy.

Draw your own conclusions; I’m not going to spell this one out for you.

Pretty Much Deities

The NBA’s New Orleans Hornets are changing their name. They are going to become the Pelicans, and apparently many of their fans think the new moniker doesn’t sound fearsome enough.

They ought to know better, says Deadpsin’s Barry Petchesky. He has written a lusty defense of the pelican’s ferocity, including the sentence “The pelican might be the world’s best-designed killing machine.” He has also embedded several videos amply confirming the pelican’s viciousness. It is one nasty bird.

Longtime readers will recall that we noted the pelican’s savagery right here in these pages, way back in 2006.

Read Petchesky’s article here. (Warning: NSFW.)