Project Westford

Here’s a Cold War scheme I’d never heard about, until our own JK sent me this link: a Saturn-like ring around the Earth, made of little copper wires.

How Can This Be?

For you chessplayers: a pretty puzzle, from Susan Polgar. Here.

Texting While Driving

Here’s the comedian Louis C.K., with some remarkably insightful remarks on the popularity of smart-phones and the human condition.

Blaise Pascal said: “All of man’s misfortune comes from one thing, which is not knowing how to sit quietly in a room’. We would rather see, or do, almost anything rather than be forced to look inside ourselves.

We have more ways to distract ourselves today than any generation of humans has ever had, and we seize them eagerly, and with increasing desperation. As a result, entire civilizations are drifting into oncoming traffic.

Links

Not of this Earth?

— Steve Sailer on amnesty and fertility.

New book on the way about the Matthew Shepard story.

— A great Burgess Shale website. Drill down for the animations.

— Speaking of exotic fauna, longtime readers may remember our mentioning the tardigrade, here and here. Now, an amazing photo, here.

— And if that weren’t enough: dinosaur feathers!

— Upscale vending machine.

Nice digital graphics.

— From the one and only Lileks: Starfish Hitler.

— Feeling the need to “give something back”? Go crowdsource some plankton.

Yikes!

— Hail to thee, blithe spirit.

Weird snakes.

What’s in a name?

Theoi.

“Is this America?”

Intrastate Income Inequality, 1977-2012

Cleverly displayed, using animated maps. Here.

Jim Geraghty On Gun Control And Mass Shootings

In his daily newsletter, Morning Jolt, political commentator Jim Geraghty posts a response to a question from NPR on “what kind of debates the country should have after a mass-shooting tragedy”. *

I’m reproducing Mr. Geraghty’s answer in full, below, because I think it is forthright and sensible.

Read More »

Step Right Up

Sam Harris has issued a $20,000 challenge to anyone who can refute his claim to have placed morality on a thoroughly scientific, Utilitarianist footing. (Not a merely descriptive footing, that is: a normative one: a beneficent blend of biology and Bentham.)

I might have to take a go at this myself.

See also Harris’s initial responses to his critics, here.

Meanwhile, Ross Douthat adds some penetrating comments of his own, here. His concluding remarks are on the money, I think:

I have no problem, and nor should anyone, with Harris declaring that he favors a particular moral system, defining its terms to the best of his ability, and then explaining why he thinks scientific inquiry can help us maximize the end that system privileges. If you know what moral ends you’re driving at, then clearly science can be of assistance in your quest; the idea that the two spheres of inquiry never overlap is obscurantist and silly. But he would be much more persuasive on that narrower point if gave up on the broader one, and reconciled himself to the fact that his style of utilitarianism is not the self-evident and scientific foundation for all sensible moral inquiry that he believes it to be.

Though in that case he would also be out $20,000.

Liberals vs. Liberty

Jonah Goldberg has posted a tart essay on the Left’s conceit that it is they, not conservatives, who stand on the side of personal liberty.

We read:

Alleged proof for this amusing myth (or pernicious lie; take your pick) comes in the form of liberal support for gay marriage and abortion rights, and opposition to a few things that smack of what some people call “traditional values.’

The evidence disproving this adorable story of live-and-let-live liberalism comes in the form of pretty much everything else liberals say, do, and believe.

Social liberalism is the foremost, predominant, and in many instances sole impulse for zealous regulation in this country, particularly in big cities. I love it when liberals complain about a ridiculous bit of PC nanny-statism coming out of New York, L.A., Chicago, D.C., Seattle, etc. ”” “What will they do next?’

Uh, sorry to tell you, but you are “they.’ Outside of a Law and Order script ”” or an equally implausible MSNBC diatribe about who ruined Detroit ”” conservatives have as much influence on big-city liberalism as the Knights of Malta do.

Seriously, who else do people think are behind efforts to ban big sodas or sue hairdressers for charging women more than men? Who harasses little kids for making toy guns out of sticks, Pop Tarts, or their own fingers? Who wants to regulate the air you breathe, the food you eat, and the beverages you drink? Who wants to control your thermostat? Take your guns? Your cigarettes? Heck, your candy cigarettes? Who’s in favor of speech codes on campuses and “hate crime’ laws everywhere? Who’s in favor of free speech when it comes to taxpayer-subsidized “art’ and pornography (so long as you use a condom, if liberals get their way) but then bang their spoons on their high chairs for strict regulations when it comes to political speech? Who loves meddling, finger-wagging billionaires like Michael Bloomberg when they use state power and taxpayer money to herd, bully, and nudge people but thinks billionaires like the Koch brothers who want to shrink government are the root of all tyranny?

Right. And when it comes to taking control, let’s not forget toilets, light bulbs, and a whole lot more. Pretty much everything, in fact, except sex, drugs and the border.

Read the whole thing here.

Carry On

Encouraging news from Illinois. Here.

P And ~P

A sine qua non for the modern liberal ideologue is a flair for living comfortably in a state of cognitive dissonance. This is made necessary by the internal contradictions of his worldview, and by its frequent, and calamitous, collisions with the social, political, economic, cultural, mathematical, and biological realities of the actual world. The California legislature has now given us an excellent example of this, in which two features of a recently passed bill stand in direct and obvious contravention to one another.

The new law, Assembly Bill 60, stipulates that illegal aliens may now acquire driver’s licenses. It requires journeyman cognitive dissonance merely to think this a good idea in the first place (as opposed to an unfolding of the consequences of prior bad ideas), but what takes real virtuosity is to reconcile the two provisions stipulating, on the one hand, that the new licenses will carry distinguishing markings indicating the bearer’s “undocumented” status, and on the other, that prospective employers must not use these markings as a basis for discrimination when hiring.

Consider:

A) Illegal aliens do not have Social Security numbers, which an employer needs for tax compliance.

B) If a job applicant presents one of these new licenses to a prospective employer, it establishes, then, with legal certainty, that any Social Security number the applicant may give will be fraudulent.

The law thus requires that the employer keep these propositions well apart from one another at all times — an easy thing, perhaps, for a left-wing Assemblyman to manage, but a formidable challenge for a normally functioning mind.

For employers in California, there is no avoiding one or the other prongs of this fork. When presented, by a job applicant, with one of these new illegal-alien licenses, they must either hire the fellow knowing that they become complicit in a Social Security fraud, or discriminate — which is, as we know, the Omega point of evil in the modern world. Both are illegal.

We hear often lately of “anarcho-tyranny“, in which those who comply with the law are brought under stricter and stricter control, gradually squeezed dry, and finally ground to dust, while those who simply ignore it are at greater and greater liberty. Just today I heard a splendid example on the radio.

“Have you been foreclosed on recently?” the announcer asked. “If so, then your mortgage may have been satisfied in full! Just call this number…”

The idea appears to be that, some people having been foreclosed on too aggressively, a class-action suit had been brought forward, with the result that the mortgages in question have been dismissed. Meanwhile, however, those chumps who just ground along at their dreary job, or jobs, dutifully making their payments every month, are in just as deep as ever.

On the other hand the applicant, who violates our national sovereignty by his mere presence, enjoys the blithe protection of the very state whose laws he disregards. One party, the job-creating citizen, is coerced into criminality, as he tries in good faith to comply with the suffocating web of obligations the State ensnares him with; the other, the alien infiltrator, violates the law of his own free choice, and is rewarded for it.

A Moment Of Silence, Please

I note with real sorrow the passing of Ray Dolby, who gave my generation of recording engineers a priceless gift: quiet recordings on analog tape. That may not sound like much, but let me tell you, friends — it was.

Two Tweets

From Charles Cooke (@charlescwcooke):

The Russian president just trolled an embarrassed United States in its paper of record on September 11th. Everything I love is dead.

From Iowahawk:

Putin now just basically doing donuts in Obama’s front yard.

They’re talking, of course, about this.

This Thing All Things Devours

OK, enough about Syria.

Here’s the video we’ve all been watching, a frame a day, in the mirror. Fantastic.

Paved With Good Intentions

Good point from Stanley Kurtz just now at the Corner:

This speech was a close reflection of [U.N. ambassador Samantha] Power’s views. The overwhelming emphasis was on humanitarian goals, with a brief, secondary, and noticeably weak effort to buttress that case with talk about threats to our interests.

Power’s core argument is that American foreign policy has historically “refused to take risks’ for humanitarian ends. Power chastises American leaders for declining to “invest the military, financial, diplomatic, or domestic political capital’ necessary to prevent massacres. U.S. officials, she complains, consistently “play up the futility, perversity, and jeopardy of any proposed intervention.’

Well, drawing a humanitarian red line in conformity with Power’s goals has brought us face-to-face with the prospect of a genuinely futile and counterproductive intervention. The president’s speech tonight failed to persuade that the risks mooted in our debates over Syria are not in fact grave. Obama’s line about taking humanitarian steps when it’s merely a matter of “modest effort and risk’ comes straight out of Power’s work. Unfortunately, the risks in Syria are far from modest…

A foreign policy that intentionally subordinates traditional calculations of strategic interest to humanitarian ends will inevitably sacrifice our strategic interests. And having lost strategic position, our ability to sustain humanitarian ends, insofar as we can do so consistently with out interests, will be correspondingly reduced. This is what happened in Libya and Syria when we put Power’s policies into practice. So not only are we now facing a substantial reduction of our influence in the Middle East and the rise of Russia in our place, but the Syrians are unlikely to give up their chemical weapons in the end.

All of this follows logically from Power’s theories. Move humanitarianism to the center of our foreign policy at the expense of traditional strategic concerns, and strategic disaster follows. In the end, that means more humanitarian problems, not less.

Humanitarian interventionism has been tested in the Middle East and found wanting.

The Goldilocks War

Some takeaways from the President’s speech just now:

1) Assad has achieved moral equivalence with Hitler, but we will leave him in power.

2) It is morally imperative that we use our incomparable military power to set an example here, so that despots the world over will never again dare to use gas to do their slaughtering. Therefore we must strike hard; no “pinpricks” for us. The world must fear our wrath!

2a) No “boots on the ground”, though. Jeez, somebody could get hurt.

3) If we degrade the Assad regime’s assets with some serious, non-pinpricky bombing, it will weaken al-Qaeda too! That’s because it actually strengthens al-Qaeda when Assad slaughters them en masse with poison gas and then doesn’t get bombed afterwards by us. Betcha didn’t know that.

4) Anyway, I’ve decided that we’ll do nothing for now, because maybe confiscating poison gas a few weeks after it’s been deployed against a dictator’s own people is a pretty good way to go, too. We’re just going to check that out for a while, and we’ll get back to you. But don’t forget: wrath!

5) People on the left are totally into freedom and dignity, and really hate to see children (did I mention children?) writhing and dying on the floor. (From gas, anyway. Kind of “meh” otherwise.)

6) My “friends” on the right, on the other hand, mostly just like blowing shit up. (That’s the difference between good folks like us and people “on the right”, by the way — in case, like me, you had never actually met or spoken to any of them until very recently.) This means they can get on board, too! Something for everyone here, folks.

Peace In Our Time!

Hey, whaddya know. Looks like:

a) Our “credibility”, and incontrovertible moral imperatives, don’t require us to bomb Syria after all;

b) Our “incredibly small” strike — described as being equal, in its fearsomeness, to making Assad eat Cheerios with a fork instead of a spoon — might not be about to send its blunt and puissant “message” to blackguards and evildoers the world over;

c) U.N. “hocus-pocus“, however annoying, is nevertheless preferable to Congressional “joke’s-on-POTUS”;

d) The Houyhnhnms of our foreign-policy Justice League — whose hippo*-cratic oath seems to begin with “First, do some harm” — have, in the event, been well and truly pwned by that nasty little Yahoo, Mr. Putin.

* From the Greek ‘hippos (ίππος)’ = ‘horse’, of course, of course.

It’s sad, it must be said, to see such a farce play out on the world stage — but then again, as Oscar Wilde remarked: “One must have a heart of stone to read the death of little Nell without laughing.”

Let the spin begin! (It will all turn out to have been a master-stroke by the Lightworker, I expect.)

Sunday Salmagundi

Sorry — no time for a post today. Some links:

Natural selection in action.

A Chinese guide to the West, c. 250 A.D.

Sheep and bull.

Japan is just… different.

— Steve Sailer on American exceptionalism.

Postcard from Mars.

— BHO vs. BHO, from VDH.

Murder in America.

If only they’d stayed off his lawn…

A Three-Pipe Problem

Our friend Kevin Kim has just worked his way through all of Arthur Conan Doyle’s Sherlock Holmes adventures, and has a comprehensive review. Go read it here.

Fools Rush In

Here’s retired general Robert H. Scales on a war the military doesn’t want:

By no means do I profess to speak on behalf of all of our men and women in uniform. But I can justifiably share the sentiments of those inside the Pentagon and elsewhere who write the plans and develop strategies for fighting our wars. After personal exchanges with dozens of active and retired soldiers in recent days, I feel confident that what follows represents the overwhelming opinion of serving professionals who have been intimate witnesses to the unfolding events that will lead the United States into its next war.

They are embarrassed to be associated with the amateurism of the Obama administration’s attempts to craft a plan that makes strategic sense. None of the White House staff has any experience in war or understands it. So far, at least, this path to war violates every principle of war, including the element of surprise, achieving mass and having a clearly defined and obtainable objective.

Meanwhile: John Kerry has announced that the House of Saud and other Arab oligarchs will pay us to take out Assad. Is this what we’ve come to? Mercenary hit-men in the ancient Sunni-Shi’ite blood feud? They take out their checkbooks and we do the dirty work?

Pat Buchanan asks the same question, here.

Ice-Nine

That’s what prions are: ice-nine for the brain.

Fog Of War

I was all set to put up a link to today’s NightWatch analysis, but noticed that the indefatigable JK beat me to it in a comment on our previous post. Here it is again, nevertheless.

I haven’t selected any excerpts to reproduce here — I urge all of you to follow the link and read the whole thing. In brief: there is a great deal more uncertainty about all of this than you might have been led to believe. Open-source reports (see here, for example) cast significant doubt on the story we’ve been hearing from Mr. Kerry et al.

The dog that I don’t hear barking in all of this is Samantha Power, who — unless water now flows uphill, the planets have reversed their courses, the Mets are headed for the World Series, and the Republican Party is a doughty garrison of rock-ribbed conservatives — is working the President’s ear like Grima Wormtongue on this one. There has hardly been any mention of her in the press, but let there be no doubt that she sees this chance to hit Syria the way Michael Moore might look at a lasagna.

The Good Guys

Meet our new comrades. See here (cannibalism) and here (shelling a hospital with some sort of gas) and here (attacking Christians) and here (beheadings).

Hop in, boys! We’re off to teach that cad Assad to fight like a gentleman.
 

Don’t Let The Door Hit Ya Where The Electrified Razor-Wire Fence Shoulda Bit Ya

With a tip of the hat to a tweet by hbd* chick, here’s an idea from Israel: banning “remittances” by illegal aliens (or, as they call them in Zion, “infiltrators”):

Interior Minister Gid’on Saar signed regulations, Monday, that make it illegal for someone who illegally infiltrated the country to send money out of the country. The goal of the measures are to make the infiltrators leave with what they accumulated instead of regularly sending it out to their countries of origin.

Under the regulations, an illegal infiltrator can only take money or property out upon leaving the country. The regulations were approved by the Knesset Interior Affairs and Environmental Protection Committee last week, and are scheduled to go into effect on Friday.

To get to this point, however, one has first to embrace a curious notion: that for people to enter your country illegally, underbid natives for jobs that would otherwise pay higher wages, and then to siphon off to a foreign economy most of whatever they earn, is something that a nation might have a legitimate interest in discouraging.

Learning Disability

Industrial-grade unwisdom from the National Review:

Any strike shouldn’t be a pinprick or necessarily a one-off but part of a broader, longer-term plan to topple Assad and defeats [sic] his allies. This means strengthening elements of the Syrian opposition we can trust, with arms and training; it means crafting and leading an international coalition committed to a post-Assad Syria; it means staying engaged beyond the next few weeks.

“Elements of the Syrian opposition we can trust.”

“Crafting and leading an international coalition.”

Hoo-boy.

The rest here.

This And That

Spiffy map-making from the Smithsonian.

— The New York Times on the “dismal science“.

Fence-building bugs.

— Derb takes on “Uncle” Tim Wise on the mathematics of race and crime.

— And while we are at it: here’s Ron Unz on the same subject.

— That STEM crisis you’re always hearing about doesn’t exist.

— Charles Cooke on misunderstanding the Second Amendment.

— From Victor Hanson, some Dark Enlightenment-style musings on the limitations of democracy.

— The late stages of terminal oikophobia.

Faint Heart Ne’er Won… Anything At All, Really

Mark Steyn:

The problem with the American way of war is that, technologically, it can’t lose, but, in every other sense, it can’t win.

Here.

Falling Rock Zone

Here.

The Rich Get Their Ice In The Summer

Oh dear: it seems that there is so much more ice in the Arctic this summer (up by 60%!) that yachts are getting stuck.

Story here.

Nerve Gas, Or Undetonated Thermobaric Ordnance?

With a hat tip to commenter ‘ScaniaBoy’, here is a very interesting assessment of the alleged CW attack in Syria.

Then And Now

Writing at Taki’s, John Derbyshire marks the anniversary of Martin Luther King’s greatest oration by contrasting a world of genuine obstacles with a modern-day retreat into magical thinking. Here.

The Black Budget

From the Washington Post. Hat tip: Edward Snowden.

The Road To Damascus

This Syria business certainly seems to have everyone’s attention, if not approval.

NightWatch‘s John McCreary had this to say last night (I’ve highlighted some key passages):

Syria: Update. The mainstream media headlines with slight variations predict that an attack against Syrian targets by US missiles could occur as early as Thursday. The UK and France are lobbying hard for action because of the alleged chemical attack.

Special Comment: Numerous pundits and experts have expounded on the need for the US to take action, the consequences of inaction, and the potential for a US attack to generate a regional conventional war. Curiously, they have not mentioned the probability of Iranian-instigated terrorist attacks in the US.

NightWatch has little to add to all that “wisdom,” but prefers to comment on matters not covered.

Feedback from one of the finest analysts alive provided a reminder that the “bugs and gas” (biological and chemical warfare) lobby in US intelligence contains fine people who get few opportunities to shine. That’s because of the limits of intelligence on bugs and gas. Next to nukes (nuclear weapons) they are the most protected weapons a country, such as Syria and North Korea, has.

As a result, studies of national capabilities and stock piles of bugs and gas are notoriously suspect, but err on the side of caution because a little goes a long way. As a result, the record of predictive accuracy tends to be poor. That record includes the inaccurate judgments about various weapons of mass destruction in Iraq in 2003.

The detection of actual use of bugs and gas agents and of the specific agents used, as during the last year of the Iran-Iraq War, is even harder. It always requires reliable and competently educated and specially trained investigators on the ground at the site. Actual use cannot be inferred from radio intercepts or any other indirect or remotely collected information source.

A second observation derives from the Russian use of a chemical agent in 2002 when Chechen terrorists held more than 700 Russian hostages in a Moscow theater. The Russians used a crowd suppression agent that killed 116 people, but enabled 650 to be rescued. The agent is not banned by the Geneva convention on chemical warfare.

If the Syrians used such an agent, which can be delivered by mortars and artillery as well as aircraft, there would be no international legal justification for attacking Syria based on the Geneva convention. It would not have been violated. The possibility that a non-banned substance was used makes it all the more urgent that competent investigators inspect the sites to identify the agent as well as the culprit.

A third observation is that the use of lethal gas is notoriously and inherently dangerous, often depending on the weather and the delivery system. It can blow back, in some instances, for miles. That is why military forces do not use it.

A fourth observation from Feedback from chemical warfare experts is that lethal gas kills effectively. There are no large numbers of people left alive but suffering. Victims die by the thousands. Survivors are few, if any. That is the lesson of Iraq’s use of such weapons at Hallabjah against the Kurds and later against the Iranians. Casualty reports from Syria are precisely opposite of the lethality pattern in a chemical weapon attack.

A fifth observation is that US media have given Syrian forces more than enough warning to enable them to protect themselves and their weapons. Leaks about US attack plans represent either monumental incompetence in operational security or a deliberate effort to tip off the Syrians for arcane political purposes.

In either event, the leaks ensure that Syrian military forces will suffer no significant damage from a US attack. An attack under these conditions must be considered entertainment for the benefit of the international press instead of a serious military operation.

As for Syrian defense capabilities, Syria has a respectable integrated air defense system, but the Israelis have defeated it thrice in the past year. It poses no serious impediment to a missile or air attack except to the unwary or unlucky.

Syria has supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles that have a range of 300 nm. Syria will use them if it can acquire the US destroyers off its coast.

As for the value of limited punitive strikes, Syria already has shown that it can withstand limited, genuinely surgical, punitive attacks by the Israeli air force. The Israelis have attacked three times in the past 18 months and the Syrians have not retaliated. Apparently that is because the Israeli attacks have had no demonstrable impact on Hizballah’s operations or Syria’s prosecution of the fight against the opposition.

Syria is in an existential battle. Surgical, pin prick NATO attacks are trivial compared to the prospect of Syrian forces destroying the rebel concentrations east of Damascus. This means Syria might not retaliate for a US attack, but just continue to prosecute the fight. Iran and Lebanese Hizballah are the more dangerous sources of retaliation.

As for ripple effects, Iran is so heavily invested in the survival of the government in Syria that US and NATO planners must plan for retaliatory attacks in Western Europe, in the US, in the Persian Gulf states and everywhere the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps Quds Force has a presence. Iran’s responses will depend on the damage inflicted on Syria.

Concerning leading from behind, American audiences apparently are not aware that in Libya and in Mali, Western European air forces were unable to sustain combat flight and logistics operations without comprehensive US support, from intelligence to mission planning to all types of resupply. Some US military personnel are resentful because they received so little recognition for so much effort to compensate for European NATO lack of capabilities.

The notion of leading from behind is a political and media myth. NATO is incapable of sustaining any but the most elementary level of air combat for a minimal amount of time without comprehensive US support. That means the feel-good notion of a coalition of the willing is actually a cover term for US military operations with minimal NATO help for window dressing. This is not a criticism, it is a fact of European economics.

The blogger DiploMad has reposted an item, originally written at the time of our Libyan engagement, that remains relevant (with minor substitutions, provided by me at no extra charge) to this adventure as well. It includes the following:

President Obama has said Qaddafi Assad must go. OK. So we’re going to target him? Apparently not, except when we do, but not really. Have we gone bear hunting with the idea of wounding the bear? Who are the rebels? Does anybody really know? Who’s in charge of the rebels? Anybody? What are their goals? The US wants to pass command and control, so to whom? Will it be NATO? Who provides the bulk of NATOs resources and capabilities? One guess, and the answer is not the UK, France, Italy, or Spain . . . It’s a bit like arguing whether a Ford is better than a Mercury. Same factory, folks. Will it be some other harebrained scheme for collective control that will leave the US with the responsibility but not the authority? No answers, so instead we have bombing.

Above all, however, the administration has not defined our interests. What was so pressing about Libya Syria to excuse the manner in which we got involved? Aren’t the people leading the charge into the Libyan Syrian desert the same ones who spent years deriding the idea of a threat from Saddam? No answers, so instead, we have bombing.

Obama and his hopeless coterie must understand that war must form part of a policy, it is not just mindless, bored vandalism. Meanwhile, we will just keep bombing until we think of something to do . . ..”

“Mindless, bored vandalism” seems about right. At the very least, I’ll say this: if that is not what’s happening here — if there is in fact some coherent, grand design behind this petulant outburst — we have yet to see any evidence of it.

Go Git ‘Em, Cowboy!

It’s strange how quiet the Left seems to be as we rush, without Congressional approval, toward military action against Syria. (Not everyone on the Left, mind: I find myself agreeing with, of all people, Dennis Kucinich on this one.)

The Long War Journal‘s blog, Threat Matrix, asks some pertinent questions, here. Among them:

3. Is there a possibility that the Aug. 21 attack was an accidental hit — of chemical stocks belonging to either the regime or the rebels — by the undisputed massive regime bombardment in the area at the time? It is known that the regime has been frequently moving its chemical weapons to keep them out of rebel hands, and it is also known that rebel fighters, including al Qaeda-linked groups, have sought and reportedly had access to chemical weapons. The Al Nusrah Front is known to have pursued chemical weapons; credible reports of the group plotting to conduct sarin and mustard gas attacks have emerged from Iraq and Turkey over the past several months.

Sharpest of all are questions 5 and 6:

5. Is there a way to rule out the possibility, given the timing of the Aug. 21 attack, that it could have been perpetrated by rebel groups seeking to draw the US into a military intervention against the Assad regime?

6. The regime has much to lose by mounting chemical weapon attacks, and especially while UN inspectors are in country and the world’s eyes are turned toward Syria. Why now? Is the basic vagueness of the US’s accusation due to a Western decision that now is the time to intervene militarily, regardless of who perpetrated the attack, since there is clearly a very distinct danger of the spread of chemical warfare in the region at this point?

I’ve wondered all along about this: why would Assad, who already outguns the rebels, risk triggering exactly the punitive response he seems about to receive?

In an essay published earlier today, Victor Davis Hanson remarked:

We are now in a surreal landscape in which the Left urges action on suspicion of WMD use, citing the humanitarian issues involved, the larger concerns of the civilized world, and U.S. strategic interests. U.N. weapon inspectors are not allowed in. There is good evidence that Assad is lying about his use of WMD or at least trying to mislead in some fashion not altogether discernible. Where are Joe Wilson, Hans Blix, and Mohamed ElBaradei when we need them?

Where the Syrian WMD came from or where they are stored is still a mystery, given that we were assured long ago by opponents of the Iraq War that Saddam did not pose a threat and thus his WMD stockpiles, if they ever existed, did not go to Syria on the eve of that war.

Yep, it’s ten years on, and everybody’s just switched jerseys. Big wheel keep on turnin’, Mideast keep on burnin’.

Meanwhile, Turkish correspondent Ilhan Tanir just tweeted:

I am talking to a friend in Aleppo now. He says, everybody expect US to hit ISIS (Al Qaida linked group) as well Assad targets. Interesting.

“Interesting”, indeed! Attacking both sides, I have to admit, does have a certain appeal. (Obliterating both sides, much more so.) But of course, each side is already working hard to obliterate the other, without our lifting a finger, so why not just let them take care of it themselves? (Do keep in mind that those Tomahawk missiles can cost upwards of a million taxpayer bucks a pop. That kind of money could buy a lot of condoms, folks.)

Perhaps the idea is to kill everybody but those Islamic “moderates” we’re always hearing about, so that they can repopulate and pacify the region. I suppose it’s something like the idea that everything presently existing in the Universe is just the tiny, asymmetrical residue that was left over after all the matter and antimatter annihilated each other right after the Big Bang.

So what the hell, it’s worth a try, I guess. Anyway, with such enlightened statesmen at the helm, what could go wrong?

Potpourri

We’re still a week or two away from resuming normal operations here at waka waka waka; all of our staff are on holiday, and our offices are shuttered, both here and abroad. We invite you to browse our archive, or to try the “View a Random Post” link at upper right.

To boldly go.

Well, whaddya know!

That sinkhole in Louisiana.

And here’s another expanding sinkhole.

Thomas Sowell on Egypt.

Eros and dance in Western civilization, then and now. Stick a fork in us, we’re done.

Related: “why aliens won’t talk to us“.

A close shave.

Antimatter from bananas.

This And That

Delta Airlines says Obamacare will cost it $100,000,000 next year alone.

Daniel Pipes on the Obama administration’s gormless foreign policy. (Just the tip of the iceberg. Let’s not forget, in 2016, who was running State through all of this.)

A sensible item on Russia’s goals in Syria and the Mideast.

The Lester Dent Pulp Paper Master Fiction Plot.

— A new board game.

Biology, sex, culture, and pitch.

Historic photos, colorized. (If #11 doesn’t give you the willies, nothing will.)

The doctor won’t see you now.

— Our pal Mangan on atheism as maladaptation. (See also here, from a few years back.)

Suppuration Of Powers

I’m impressed by a young Oxonian by the name of Charles C. W. Cooke, who writes for National Review and other outlets. Although Mr. Cooke may even still be in his twenties, he is wise (and conservative, but I repeat myself) beyond his years.

Here’s a piece that he published today over at NRO, on “living legislation”. By this Mr. Cooke refers to the writing of laws that are not specifically prescriptive or prohibitive in nature, but are instead mere grants of power to the Executive Branch. Combine this with the unprecedented disregard this President has for the faithful execution of the law, and you have made possible government by executive caprice: the hallmark, as Christopher Hitchens (and others) have pointed out, of tyranny.

Bludgers

Here are some fascinating mug-shots from 1920’s Australia. The first thing I noticed was how well-dressed everyone was. They may have been thieves and grifters, but at least they looked like grown-ups.

Breathe The Free Air Again, My Friend

My! Even Maureen Dowd has had enough of the Clintons. With luck, by 2016, we all will have.

Move Over, Colombian Weasel

In case you missed it, there’s a new mammal, which doesn’t happen much these days.

Dark Matter

If you wish to follow what’s being called the “Dark Enlightenment” — a reactionary center-of-gravity whose core ideas include skepticism of radical egalitarianism and of democracy itself — you should have this blog, and this one, on your reading list.

On Self-Defense

Here’s an interesting item from Sam Harris: a round-table discussion of self-defense and the law.

One thing I learned: California is a really terrible place to have to defend yourself. It sounds as insane as Britain, almost.

Service Notice

It’s August, the weather here in Wellfleet is warm and pleasant, and so it’s time to give the glowing screen a rest for a few weeks, and recharge the “little grey cells”. I’ve got a lot of reading to catch up on, and there are ponds* that need swimming in, oysters that must be gathered and consumed, waves that need watching, and of course drinks that must be had.

With all of that to see to, things may go a bit quiet around here. We’ll get back to normal early next month.

* Crystal-clear, sandy-bottomed glacial kettle ponds, that is.

Ooops!

My goodness, I’m getting sloppy lately. I gave the wrong link in the previous post (now fixed). Apologies to all.

The link I meant to post is here. (Same bloody song.)

P.S. See also the internal power of the late Xingyi master David Chan, here and here. This is the real deal, folks. (Thanks to reader John D., who posted the first of these links at an old post of ours today.)

Not Too Shabby

I’ve been too busy to post much of anything at the moment, so for now, just a quick martial-arts link: a little Hung-Gar jam from a capable-looking practitioner.

What this fellow is doing here is a conglomeration of forms from what appears to be the Lam Sai Wing branch of our system. There’s some Fu Hok (Tiger Crane Double Form) in there, as well as some bits & pieces of the Fook Fu section of the Gung Ji Fook Fu (Subduing the Tiger in “I” Pattern).

The music, which is all too familiar to anyone who practices Hung family kung fu, is known as “General Kwan’s Mandate”. I’ve heard this piece a thousand times; it is played all the time at kung-fu demonstrations, and as far as I know, it is the only piece of music that any Hung-Gar school has ever been aware of. (God, I’m sick of this tune.) You will also notice the cheesy, whip-like sound effects that accompany each movement; the people that make these movies just can’t help themselves, I think.

As for the kung fu, though, it’s a pretty good example of what Hung Gar is supposed to look like. (I think this fellow doesn’t sit far enough back in his cat stances, but I shouldn’t nit-pick.)

Whom The Gods Would Destroy

Sometimes, scientific research leads to conclusions that are starkly at odds with ordinary experience, with common sense, and with the received wisdom of the ages.

Not so here, however: a new study from the UK finds a correlation between ethnic diversity (“lower own-group density”) and psychosis.

From the abstract:

Results

For every ten percentage point reduction in own-group density, the relative odds of reporting psychotic experiences increased 1.07 times (95% CI 1.01”“1.14, P = 0.03 (trend)) for the total minority ethnic sample. In general, people living in areas of lower own-group density experienced greater social adversity that was in turn associated with reporting psychotic experiences.

Conclusions

People resident in neighbourhoods of higher own-group density experience ”˜buffering’ effects from the social risk factors for psychosis.

In this past Sunday’s post I remarked on “the patently hallucinatory idea ”” among the most audacious assaults on simple common sense that have ever found their way into a mainstream social ideology ”” that diversity itself is always a great social blessing, and so the more of it the better.” This pernicious misbelief, maintained in willful defiance of both the sorrowful lessons of history and the daily tide of current events, seems more and more a form of psychosis itself.

Steven Pinker On Scientism

Steven Pinker has just published an article that seemed to be getting a lot of attention earlier today. His essay is a rejoinder to the claim, made by many in the humanities, that scientifically minded secular types are besotted by “scientism”, which is nothing more than a new form of faith masquerading as pure rationality.

I’ll disclose up front that I’m a big fan of Pinker’s. He’s an independent thinker of exceptional intelligence, a diligent researcher, and a gifted writer. He’s not afraid to defy the Cathedral’s thought police (as he did, for example, when Lawrence Summers faced the fury of the Inquisition for raising a perfectly reasonable question about women in science), and his landmark book The Blank Slate struck a mighty blow against the Left’s denial of human nature.

Let me say also that I am myself a Godless infidel, raised by two agnostic scientists (my parents used to joke that they had me baptized, and kept my younger brother as a control), and that I am also, along with most scientists, a philosophical materialist. I think that the scientific method of inquiry, as perfected in the high civilization of the West, is perhaps the apex of ten thousand years of human achievement. It has, as Dr. Pinker points out, transformed the human world, and has already given humanity a degree of comfort, abundance, and control of nature that would have seemed miraculous just a few centuries ago. It is the gift that keeps on giving.

But my own militant “scientism” has been tempered in recent years by some highly intelligent and articulate contrary voices. In particular, I am indebted to Dr. William Vallicella for demonstrating how sturdily and coherently the opposing worldview can defend its position, and for pointing out the philosophical sloppiness that characterizes so much of modern secular polemics.

Pinker’s essay, although it is beautifully written (and a rousing pep-talk for the home team), is surprisingly weak. It pops off at a collection of strawmen, such as “the belief that members of the occupational guild called “science’ are particularly wise or noble”, but fails to address with precision the most pertinent criticism — namely that the “scientistic” worldview assumes for itself plenary coverage of all the world’s phenomena, inappropriately commingling facts and values, and issuing promissory notes for persistent mysteries while dismissing out of hand other, philosophically defensible accounts. Indeed, in Pinker’s confidence (which he shares with Sam Harris) that morality itself can be placed on a purely scientific footing — that we really can derive “ought” from “is” — he exhibits exactly the sort of faith, and philosophical confusion, that engendered so many complaints about “scientism” in the first place.

I’ve been working long hours today, and while I did take the time to read Pinker’s essay, I’ve had no time to prepare an detailed response. I did, however, run across an excellent riposte, by Ross Douthat, that made some of the points that had been taking shape in my own mind. In particular, Mr. Douthat nails Pinker with precision on the illicit move from traditional morality to “scientistic” utilitarianism. You can read Douthat’s piece here.

Finally, I’ll mention that in his scientism essay, Professor Pinker slips in a dig about the still-controversial idea of group selection. I’m in the opposing camp on this one, but I’ll let it slip by for now. If you want to read a detailed and lively debate on that issue, beginning with an essay by Dr. Pinker, you can have a look here.

Just Another Day In The Dar al-Harb

As you may recall, during the last election cycle a staple of the Obama campaign was the braggadocious assertion that “Osama is dead, and Detroit is alive.” Our mortal enemies of the past fourteen centuries were now, we were assured, “decimated”, and “on the run”.

How things change! If we take “Osama” to be a synecdoche for al-Qaeda, then it now seems, unfortunately, that both of these statements are false. Moreover, given that the State Department has advised all citizens of the civilized world to be on the lookout for an imminent and horrific assault, which might happen anytime and anywhere, and given also that we are shuttering diplomatic outposts around the world, it could be plausibly argued that it is we, not al-Qaeda, who are “on the run”.

Apparently, the threat has something to do with “implanted explosives”, as DEBKA explains here.

Meanwhile, the “workplace violence” trial of Nidal Hasan is underway at last. (This is good, because we’ve been paying his salary ever since his lethal spree, way back in November 2009.)

Also, it seems Pamela Geller and Robert Spencer will be appealing their ban on entering the U.K. Good luck with that, guys.

The peeling bumper stickers I see around Wellfleet notwithstanding, it seems difficult to avoid the conclusion that global jihad is proceeding nicely, along both its strategic paths: the more sensational, but ultimately less dangerous, terrorist approach favored by al-Qaeda and its affiliates, and the far more worrisome dawa blueprint preferred by such “moderate” institutions as the Muslim Brotherhood, CAIR, ISNA, OIC, and their useful idiots in the Western ruling elites. Good cop, bad cop.

Let’s just hope our diversity doesn’t become a casualty!

Go Not Gently

Perhaps the most spectacular self-delusion of the modern liberal mind — a mind that prides itself in being “reality-based”, and on “restoring science to its rightful place” — is the cognitive dissonance required to tune out the realities of human biodiversity. On the one hand, the science proceeds apace; on the other, the terrifying power of taboo and social opprobrium effectively prevents any reference to it in polite society. (Just ask Jason Richwine, for example, who was sacked and disgraced without a single person, as far as I am aware, even bothering to criticize his work on its scientific merits.)

The immigration debate, for example, is framed always either in purely economic terms, or in terms of “fairness” — which, depending on which side you choose, might mean “fairness” to those who came here legally, or to those who didn’t but ought to be allowed in anyway.

What goes mostly unquestioned by either side, however, is the patently hallucinatory idea — among the most audacious assaults on simple common sense that have ever found their way into a mainstream social ideology — that diversity itself is always a great social blessing, and so the more of it the better.

Well, it certainly isn’t better in terms of the evolutionary fitness of related populations that historically inhabit a stable geographic homeland. For such ethnic groups it is, in fact, the numerical equivalent of a drastic curtailment of the birth-rate, and can lead to extinction.

This is the subject of a paper by Frank Salter, of the Max Planck Institute, that would, but for the cognitive dissonance lately mentioned, be at the center of the ongoing debate about immigration. It isn’t.

The paper, which was published in 2002, is called Estimating Ethnic Genetic Interests: Is It Adaptive to Resist Replacement Migration?

Here’s the abstract:

Analyses of the costs and benefits of immigration have not considered the dependence of an ethny’s reproductive fitness on its monopoly of a demarcated territory.
Global assays of human genetic variation allow estimation of the genetic losses incurred by a member of a population when random fellow ethnics are replaced by immigrants from different ethnies. This potential loss defines an individual’s ethnic genetic interest as a quantity that varies with the genetic distance of potential immigrants. W. D. Hamilton showed that self-sacrificial altruism is adaptive when it preserves the genetic interests of a population of genetically similar individuals. Ethnic genetic interest can be so large that altruism on behalf of one’s ethny”””˜ethnic nepotism’””can be adaptive when it prevents replacement. It follows that ethnies usually have an interest in securing and maintaining a monopoly over a demarcated territory, an idea consonant with the universal nationalism of Bismarck and Woodrow Wilson.

It will already be clear why you haven’t seen much of this on MSNBC, or even Fox News. The paper begins (for this excerpt I have added emphasis and removed some references, which you can read in the original):

Does ethnic competition over territory pay off in terms of reproductive fitness? The question is barely raised in contemporary analyses of population, even when discussing the costs and benefits of immigration on such a scale that it is appropriately called ”˜replacement migration.’ Perhaps the idea that humans have reproductive interests does not occur to most social scientists after almost a century of that tradition separating itself from the biological sciences. Whatever the cause, analysts behave as if the only interests humans have are ”˜proximate,’ such as economic and physical security, rather than ”˜ultimate,’ in the form of genetic continuity. Thus it is implied that immigration on any scale is acceptable so long as it raises aggregate income or makes life more interesting.

A little further on:

Which modern events affect ethnic genetic interests? This interest is ultimately a matter of population size, which can be directly reduced through warfare, genocide, and the loss of limiting resources such as territory. The fact that a 30 percent loss of population is a 30 percent loss of ethnic genetic interest is obvious. But competition can have powerful effects without any behavior that is aggressive in the usual sense of the word. The prime example in the contemporary world is peaceful migration between states and high rates of reproduction by one ethnic group within multi-ethnic states. Like the bands and tribes in which humans evolved, states are territorially based and act to police their borders. The special quality of a defended territory is that it insulates a population from the vicissitudes of demographic disturbances in the metapopulation, namely the connected phenomena of uneven population growth and migration. When an ethny controls the borders of a territory that is large enough to support the population, loss of fitness relative to other ethnies is not necessarily fatal; it need not lead to replacement. A decimated, defeated, or impoverished population can quickly recover if it retains control of its territory, but a large-scale influx of genetically distant immigrants has the potential permanently to reduce the genetic interests of the original population. Territory adequately defended guarantees continuity and the chance to ride out a temporary downturn in numbers relative to other populations. The territorial component of the tribal strategy was so fundamental in Homo sapiens’ evolutionary past that it has become deeply imbedded as a psychological need.

Salter continues:

Loss of fitness within one’s own territory robs the native ethny of the time needed to recover numbers, mobilization, or organization, all contributing to a loosening of the ties between political leadership and ethny. Since in modern societies the state has come to replace traditional tribal institutions, loss of state sponsorship is likely further to undermine mobilization and organization. In a competitive world an ethny’s loss of ability to mobilize and organize as a self-interested group is tantamount to loss of fitness.

Mass migration between diverse populations combined with the existence of collective goods in wealthy societies such as low cost medical support and other forms of welfare have produced effective ethnic competition within many Western states. For example the founding European-derived ethnies of the United States, Canada, Australia, Britain and some other Western societies are declining as proportions of the overall population due to periods of liberal immigration policy from the 1960s. These challenges are real enough for majorities, but minorities have usually fared worse, as diaspora peoples have discovered through the centuries. Not to control a territory creates risks of repeated group subjugation, displacement, and marginalization. For all of past human experience and still today, territory is a resource for maintaining ethnic genetic interests in the long run.

This is all consonant with what was, until very recently indeed, obvious to all — for the simple reason that this is how nature works, and so has manifested itself with indefatigable regularity throughout history, always and everywhere. Fish gotta swim, and birds gotta fly — and population groups must look after their genetic interests, or go extinct.

Nevertheless, in this brave new world, it is heresy of downright Albigensian quality, and so you won’t hear this being brought up on the Senate floor anytime soon. But is it true?

The foregoing qualitative argument might be plausible, but only a quantitative analysis will allow us to assess whether, and under which circumstances, immigration harms native populations’ genetic interests to a significant degree. Such an analysis requires clarification of territorial carrying capacity and the quantification of ethnic kinship.

Ah, the data. If we are genuinely interested in “restoring science to its rightful place”, readers, then this is where the rubber meets the road. Read the rest of Salter’s paper here. It will require you to concentrate your attention, but will be well worth your time, I think.

Update

A reader pointed out to me that comments had apparently been closed on the previous post. This was not intentional. Comments are welcome, as always.

Small World

Note: I’ve taken down this post for now, in order to rewrite it. Feel free to email me about it: malcolm [at] malcolmpollack.com.