The Frog And The Scorpion

By now you will have heard about the murderous attack on a Christmas market in Magdeburg, Germany, by a Saudi doctor who had been living in the country for years.

I’ve said this before, and I’ll say it again: allowing mass Muslim immigration is the stupidest and most irreversibly self-destructive thing that any Western nation can do.

Don’t Be Tedious

To argue productively requires some agreement on fundamentals. All theorems must rest on axioms.

Oscar Wilde famously said “It is absurd to divide people into good and bad. People are either charming or tedious.”

To harangue others about first principles can never be anything but tedious. (It will certainly never be productive, because arguments, to be developed, must rest on self-evident premises.) Why do it?

Breaking The Spell

Do you feel life flowing back into America’s veins? What we are seeing everywhere, both abroad and at home, is the relief of a world that has suffered terribly over the past four years from from the vacuum created by a feeble United States.

This doesn’t mean that the road just ahead isn’t rocky and steep. But it always was; now, at least, we may have the strength to climb it.

The Way It Is

“There are three kinds of people: those who see; those who see when they are shown; and those who cannot see.”

– Leonardo

Riddle Me This!

From time to time I get email alerts from Quora, a website where users post questions and others answer them. Occasionally the answers are of excellent quality. Here’s an example of a good one.

The question, which vexed me all my adult life (though less so lately), was this:

Does mathematics actually exist in the universe or is it simply a human construct?

Here, in full, is the answer given by one Josh Anderson, who lives in Penang, Malaysia. (Bold text and italics are reproduced as they appeared in the original. I’ve also added a link to Wigner’s famous essay.)

In his famous essay The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics in the Natural Sciences, the Nobel Prize winning physicist Eugene Wigner wrote that the correspondence between pure mathematics and the natural world was “something bordering on the mysterious.” “There is,” he said “no rational explanation for it.”

It makes sense to say that basic mathematics was developed to describe things in the everyday world. We can understand the origin of things like counting and addition and how to calculate area. However, as Wigner goes on to argue, this simple explanation fails to account for so much of what we see.

The work of professional mathematicians often involves incredible ingenuity and extraordinary feats of logic. Some theorems and proofs take years to work out. And yet, astonishingly, many of the most brilliant and insanely abstract concepts turn out to model real world phenomena perfectly. They fit like lock and key.

Consider for a moment just how extraordinary this is. We have this set of things our minds seem to have produced in an abstract, non-physical realm of ideas. And we have another category or set of things we’ll call “things the universe does.”

Then, as history unfolds, we discover that there is exact correspondence between various mathematical concepts and the “things the universe does.” There’s a kind of remarkable overlap between what’s going on in our minds and what’s going on out there. And very often the math was worked out long before we went looking out in the world for a fit.

To quote Wigner, “It’s difficult to avoid the impression that a miracle confronts us here.”

This is remarkable. The things the universe appears to be doing at the level of physics is mirrored in the mathematical realm. The universe, it seems, is behaving in accordance with the products of mind.

Is mathematics something humans invented?

If you answer yes, how did something that is purely an artifact of mind get out there in the wild? How does it make it into the very fabric of the external world?

Around every corner in physics we find concepts no one thought would ever show up in the familiar world. But they do. Crazy, non-intuitive principles and things no one ever dreamed would leave the pages of mathematics journals turn out to be exactly what is needed to describe what the world is doing.

You could almost put this into a syllogism:

Premise one: Mathematical entities are the products of mind.

Premise two: The universe behaves according to mathematical entities.

Conclusion: Therefore, the universe behaves according to the products of mind.

But maybe we’ve got this all wrong. Maybe mathematical entities are not actually produced by our minds . Yet, if we change our story and accept that mathematics is somehow really out there, really existing in a humanity-independent way, we still have not managed to escape from this conclusion. In fact, if it’s discovered and not invented, the mystery is even more profound.

Now we have this realm of abstract ideas and relationships, an infinite logical landscape which we have direct access to through our minds. And yet, while non-physical, somehow this realm guides the behavior of things in the physical world.

It seems inescapable. Something mind-like is running the world, providing the framework, the tracks for physical reality to run on.

Einstein himself struggled to explain how this could be: “How is it that mathematics, being after all a product of human thought, is so admirably appropriate to the objects of reality? Is human reason then, without experience, merely by taking thought, able to fathom the properties of real things?”

If anyone in history had a right to comment on this issue it was Einstein. He, relying more or less entirely on thought-experiments, was able to unlock some of the best kept secrets of the universe. He himself found this astonishing, saying famously “The most incomprehensible thing about the world is that it is comprehensible.” Why should what’s really out there have corresponded meaningfully to what was going on in his mind?

Einstein spoke reverently, even religiously, of the experiences he had in beholding the “radiant beauty” that shone forth when he sought to peer into the mysteries of the universe. He was satisfied, he said, with a sense of the “marvelous structure of existence” and his “humble attempt to understand even a tiny portion of the Reason that manifests itself in nature.”

Speaking of mathematics in particular, he wrote:

“Pure mathematics is, in its way, the poetry of logical ideas. …In this effort toward logical beauty, spiritual formulas are discovered necessary for the deeper penetration into the laws of nature.”

The more you think about it, the more remarkable it becomes. How is it that, with little more than some deep reflection, a man sitting alone in a Swiss patent office was able to grasp the profoundest secrets of space and time? What does it say about the universe that pure thought is able to disclose many of its deepest enigmas?

The philosopher David Wood brings this into sharp focus:

“Before you knew that the universe is governed by elegant mathematical equations, would you have had reason to await that? Would you expect the universe to be like that? Of course not. Mathematics is a language. The universe is operating according to language. This should not be at all surprising for those who believe in God. It should be horrifying to atheists, because that is the last thing you should expect.”


For a look at the role mind plays in life see the following: Josh Anderson’s answer to Is it possible to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that intelligence was required to create life?

Pretty good, no?

Justice, For A Change

I was happily surprised to hear this afternoon that Daniel Penny has been acquitted of charges related to the death of Jordan Neely, the homeless madman whom Penny bravely subdued as Neely was menacing riders on the F train in New York last year.

It is a sign of our degraded times that Penny was charged at all, rather than hailed as the hero he was. I hope he can put his life back together after this.

I must say that I’m sorry also for poor Jordan Neely, who was clearly mentally ill, and should never have been on that train in the first place. We really don’t seem to do much of anything right at all these days.

Alas, we should not be surprised if this isn’t the end at all for Mr. Penny. A case like this is the perfect “lawyer’s ramp”, and I’m sure swarms of them are already circling around Mr. Neely’s family looking to spin up a civil suit.

The Camel’s Nose

It’s official: the most common name for baby boys born in England and Wales is now Muhammad.

The fertility rate among Muslims in Blighty is close to 3 children per woman, while the rate for actual Brits is below 2. (Replacement-level fertility is 2.1 children per woman.)

For centuries — and most recently, in the memories of those still living — the doughty British have defended their island home against conquest by force of arms. But where jihad by the sword would, even now, surely have failed, Islam has found a subtler, but equally effective weapon: jihad by obstetrics.

Britain, like the rest of de-Christianized Europe, is a cut flower. Was this inevitable? It’s tempting for me to conclude, as I suggested fifteen years ago, that this is the necessary consequence of post-Enlightenment secularism, and the corrosive nihilism that scientific materialism carries as its psychological payload. Why fight for your nation and people if you can’t justify their existence on austerely rationalist grounds? What makes natalism worth the trouble if nothing has any intrinsic meaning anyway?

‘Tis A Pity

Anybody who’s been paying attention will have noticed the increasing normalization of what used to be called “prostitution”. In these sophisticated times we are expected to regard it simply as “sex work”, a career like any other, whose practitioners we should consider every bit as respectable as secretaries, waitresses, cashiers, cab drivers, hotel clerks, or members of Congress (though that latter comparison is, I suppose, nothing new).

Here’s a question: given that “sex work” is now just another ordinary job, and given also that unemployment benefits usually require that recipients be actively seeking, and willing to accept, whatever jobs they can find, does this mean that a young woman who finds herself laid off at the factory, and collecting unemployment, must now accept a position as a whore if an offer comes along? If not, why not?

Post-Mortem

The House Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Pandemic has just released its 557-page final report. The whole thing is here, but virologist Robert Malone has provided a summary at his Substack website.

Hint: it’s bad. This is a story not only of massive government incompetence — although there was plenty of that — but also of willful malfeasance, corruption, lying, and manipulation on a titanic scale, at a cost in lives, prosperity, and human misery that makes it one of the greatest crimes in Western political history. In particular, the ruthless suppression of safe, inexpensive and widely available early-stage treatments such as hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin alone caused hundreds of thousands — or more likely millions — of easily avoidable deaths.

People should go to prison for this. (To learn more you should read, at the very least, Peter McCullough’s book The Courage To Face COVID-19, and Robert Kennedy Jr.’s The Real Anthony Fauci. They will make your blood boil.)

Is Something Cooking?

How many of you think we are going to get all the way to January 20th without some kind of radically disruptive “black swan” event? (The obvious candidate right now seems to be war with Russia — which our Imperial Court and its European vassals seem hell-bent on bringing about — but there are all sorts of other possibilities we might imagine, as well as all the ones we can’t).

Just wondering.

Happy Thanksgiving

Enjoy the holiday, everybody. We have much to be thankful for this year.

The Days Just Ahead

Former General Mike Flynn — who knows a thing or two about what the entrenched Washington oligarchy is capable of, and willing to do — has posted a threat-assessment of the risks we face between now and Inauguration Day.

Read it here.

Stephen Wolfram On AI And Irreducible Complexity

Following on my previous — and alarmist — post about AI, I think I should add some further remarks about what may or may not be possible.

Back in 2014 I wrote a post, as part of a linked series on free will and determinism, about the idea of what the English scientist Stephen Wolfram has called “computational irreducibility” (which is also sometimes called “algorithmic incompressibility”). Simply put, it draws a distinction between two subsets of deterministic systems: those whose behavior are describable by simplifying formulas that can be used, by taking their initial conditions as inputs, to predict their future state, and those for which no such reduction is possible.

An example of the former is the movement of two bodies under mutual gravitational attraction, such as a planet and its moon, or the earth and a ballistic projectile. Given the masses of the two, and their initial positions and velocities, it is possible to calculate their positions for any future time.

A good example of the latter is what Wolfram examined at length in his book A New Kind Of Science (which I labored through when it came out in 2002): the behavior of “cellular automata“, simple systems whose behavior is defined by a small set of rules, but for which, given the system’s state at time t, the only way of determining its precise configuration at time t+n is actually to iterate over every step between t and t+n. Chaotic systems, such as weather and turbulent flow, are of this kind. So is biological evolution

I’m mentioning this because I’ve just watched a conversation between Wolfram and physicist Brian Greene about all of this, and how it relates to AI. A key point in this conversation is the idea that the algorithmic simplifications of science simply don’t apply do many, or even most, of the systems we are interested in. There is no quicker way, no shortcut, for predicting the future state of such systems than simply letting them run, and seeing what they do. This limitation, Wolfram says, is a limitation in principle that even a superintelligence must confront, one that even a vastly superhuman insight into workings of computationally irreducible systems will be unable to overcome.

It is far beyond my powers (or anybody’s, I imagine) to say just how limiting this constraint — that some kinds of predictions must always be achieved by brute computational force, rather than reductive simplifications — will be on AI’s ascent toward apotheosis. In practical terms, when considering the disruptive and transformative effects of AI on human life, it may mean very little. Your guess is as good as mine.

The interview is fairly short; less than 45 minutes. You can watch it here.

Brake Failure

Here is a link to a detailed survey of the current status of AI research, including a clear-eyed assessment of what we should expect in the near future.

I won’t lie: I find this extremely alarming. The linked report makes it very clear that we are just a few years away from creating entities that are not just more intelligent than we are, but vastly so; and that we can no more predict what such an intelligence will be capable of, or what it will choose to do, than a mouse or a fish would be capable of understanding and predicting the motives and strategies and actions of a human being.

The report also makes clear that this is inevitable, because the development of these systems has now become an arms-race. Whoever wields this power (insofar as it can be controlled at all, once it really gets going) will have an insuperable advantage over those who don’t — and so the only rational strategy for nations or other agents who don’t want to be on the losing side of that equation is to push the research forward as aggressively as possible. So they will.

The time-horizon, also, is terribly short: a decade at most, but almost certainly much less, because there is a cascading effect as intelligent systems themselves begin to design their successors.

This is going to be a rupture in human history unlike any that has come before — even the end, perhaps, of history being driven by humans at all — and what leaps from every page of this document (despite the author’s wholly unconvincing declarations of optimism scattered throughout) is the fact that nobody has the slightest idea what’s going to happen, and there’s no way to slow down.

Am I over-reacting here? Frankly, I have never been so worried about anything in my life, and I think most people are just blithely chugging along, with no real inkling of what’s about to overtake them.

The Iron Law Of Oligarchy

RFK on Ukraine:

Can The Fever Have Broken?

In the runup to the election I said how worried I was about rising conflict between the two warring American social and political factions once the winner had been determined. I thought it likely, barring massive fraud, that Trump would win, and I thought that if that happened the seething Left would stage massive chimpouts in every Blue city.

That hasn’t happened. Instead, it actually seems that there is some sort of sea change underway, and that we may actually in fact have passed peak Wokeness. Instead of taking a knee during the National Anthem, sports figures are now doing the “Trump Dance” on the field. Public figures, such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, are now dropping pronouns from their social-media profiles. The prominent anti-Trump media personality Joe Scarborough has even gone to Mar-a-Lago to kiss the ring.

To be sure, there’s a long way to go yet. There is still the inauguration to get through, and there may still be some sort of surprise in store (World War III, for example.) It’s awfully hard to believe that such people as Chuck Schumer and Jamie Raskin are just going to take their defeat lying down, and I’d be surprised if they aren’t plotting some kind of riposte.

Nevertheless: was I wrong? Is there suddenly some sort of seismic shift toward sanity and normality under way in America? Does the spasm of madness that was so dominant just a year or two ago now begin to seem, to millions now awakening, like a crazy fever dream? Can this really be happening? Or is this just the eye of the storm?

It’s too soon to tell, but I’ll dare to hope.

Whoa

Elon Musk has made no secret, over the past several years, of his ambition to colonize Mars (and if anyone can pull it off, he can). With that in mind, here’s something remarkable that I just learned today:

Those of you of a “certain age” will remember the name Werner von Braun — a former Nazi rocket scientist who became the chief architect of America’s space program in the postwar era. (You may even remember that he was immortalized in song by the great Tom Lehrer.)

Well, it seems that in 1949, von Braun wrote a sci-fi novel called Project Mars: A Technical Tale. It told the story of an expedition to the Red Planet, and an encounter with its humanoid inhabitants, whose advanced civilization is led by a council of ten under the supervision of a supreme leader.

That leader’s title?

The Elon.

I kid you not. More here.

Heavy Mental

In a comment to our previous post, our friend “Whitewall” observed that in the wake of the recent election, the Dems “currently overcome with a case of raging hormones, like before … just worse now.”

Indeed they are. On the bright side, though, we can be thankful for X:

Repatriated

We’re back from our eight-day visit to Rome.

Glad to see the U.S. still standing. Did I miss anything?

You’ve Got Nobody But Yourselves To Blame

Dear Democrats,

Four years ago, you took the keys to the family car. Did you drive it with care and respect?

No. You got high as a kite and took it for a crazy, reckless joyride, without any consideration for the damage you were causing.

From bumper to bumper – border security, immigration, foreign policy, military planning, economic strategy, energy independence, freedom of speech, crime, equal application of the law, social cohesion, respect for fundamental rights, and so much more – you turned that family car into into a smoking, battered wreck.

We spent generations building a wonderful home for you, and this is how you repay us? All you seem to care about is having sex, avoiding responsibility, and spending our money: the money we need for paying our bills, and for groceries, and clothes, and fuel. And you’ve even been taking our money and giving it away to all your friends, and to all sorts of strangers that you’ve been letting into our house. And when we’ve tried to talk to you about it, all you do is call us horrible names, and slam the door in our faces.

Also: you seem to think the world owes everyone a good living, just for existing. (Hint: it doesn’t.)

So: enough is enough. We’re terribly disappointed in you, and now we’re taking the keys away. And of course you’re having a tantrum, just like the spoiled children you are.

Well, too bad. We don’t want to hear it. There’s nobody to blame here but you. Right now you need to go to your room, and think about what you’ve done. You can come down and join us at the table when you’re ready to act your age.

– America

Service Notice

Tomorrow, just as the reverberations of today’s election begin to ripple around the globe, the lovely Nina and I are heading off to the Eternal City for a long-postponed visit. I might find time to post something or other, but if not, I should be back in harness here in about ten days.

(As for the election: not going to lie here, I really hope we win. But if we do, it isn’t going to sit well with a lot of powerful people, and their myrmidons in the streets. Be careful out there.)

Playing With Matches

By now you’ve probably heard about the sad end of P’Nut the Squirrel, who, during his brief time on Earth, lived in happy and playful companionship with a fellow named Mark Longo (who had rescued the wee rodent after its mother had been squashed by a car). As their relationship blossomed, Mr. Longo had made P’Nut a beloved celebrity on social media.

But last week New York State, which has no patience for unsanctioned human-sciurine liaisons, got wind of these star-crossed lovers, and fell upon them in its wrath. The hapless P’Nut, wrested from his savior’s arms, was dragged away and put to death. (You can read about it, and see a picture of this winsome ex-squirrel, here.)

Outrage ensued, and rightly so. In no time at all, the martyrdom of poor little P’Nut became a cause célèbre all over social media.

I weighed in briefly myself on X (I’m trying not to call it “Twitter” any more):

A small thing, really — smaller even, say, than Jenkin’s Ear. But it is things like this, things that create outrage at the most personal, granular, commonly relatable level, that often end up having the most vastly outsized effects on the course of history.

But then along came the actor James Woods, one of the sturdiest conservative voices on any social platform these days, with this fantastic tweet (or post, or whatever they’re called nowadays):

Physicists in 1900 basically accepted the Newtonian model of the universe. The only troubling anomaly was that Mercury, as it came into view in its journey around the sun, appeared to be in the “wrong” place. How was this possible? After much discussion brilliant scientists concluded that it “appeared” to be closer to the sun because the sun’s gravity was bending light rays reflecting off of Mercury on their way to earth. This defied all the “settled science” embraced by classical physicists. It was to them heresy essentially, because by implication it would mean that energy and matter were interchangeable. Indeed a young physicist named Albert Einstein created the most famous equation in history, formulating that exact relationship: e=mc(squared). The longwinded point I’m trying to make is that throughout history the most minor anomalies are often windows into a completely different understanding of the world.

Which brings me to my point.

This event where armed officers took a pet squirrel from an individual in New York opens a Pandora’s box of the horrors of leftist tyranny. The facts of the incident are disturbing enough: an anonymous instigator over 1000 miles away reported a humble man who had rescued a wounded squirrel and made a pet of him for years. The informer’s motives in doing so can only be guessed, but the owner of the pet had made the horrific mistake in today’s America of supporting conservative thought. A cadre of armed officials got a search warrant, rummaged through the man’s property for five hours, illegally questioned his wife about her immigrant status, ultimately seizing the pet and killing it without giving the owner any recourse to save its life. Now let’s take a look at the universe in which this macabre horrid little leftist “comedy” took place. In a nation overrun by tens of millions of illegal aliens, crushed by rampant crime and gang warfare, enduring a $35 trillion deficit, soul-crushing inflation, a culture of infanticide and child mutilation, sexual dysphoria, and insanity, and waging illegal lawfare against candidates of another party, New York State spent a full day killing a squirrel, that had been a harmless pet cherished by its owner for literally years.

The event in and of itself was just an act of petty cruelty. As a window into a larger universe, however, it is a fissure in the mantle of our world, signaling a cataclysmic eruption that may well end this nation. The tsunami of rage coming from ordinary and loving individuals was quite frankly astonishing.

Has America in the hands of the lunatic left become a powder keg about to explode? Will the power-hungry Democrats and their media minions spew enough hatred that even the most gentile among us will finally say ENOUGH? Does 87,000 newly minted and armed IRS agents offer you comfort or fill you with terror?

Are you sick of this yet?

Are we “sick of this yet?” Yes, Mr. Woods — yes indeed, sir, millions and millions and millions of us most certainly are. And even if the outrageous destruction of little P’Nut isn’t the spark that ignites this powder-keg, I have a feeling that, before long, something is going to be.

The Endarkenment

I have been presenting for years, in these pages, a charge against the Enlightenment: namely that it enshrined, with religious fervor, a radical skepticism that acted as a kind of “universal acid” that no tradition or social order could contain.

In 2022, for example, I referred to:

…the radical skepsis of the Enlightenment, which simultaneously raised Man to the throne of Creation while throwing him back onto his own meager resources. The shearing away of all but “scientific method” as a means of understanding the Universe, and our place in it, meant that the Universe itself had to be put on a kind of Procrustean Bed, upon which all the features of the cosmos that aren’t accessible by those tools and methodology had simply to be cut away, and believed not even to exist. (This fatally narrowing effect, by the way, is a good example of why Pride is considered the deadliest of sins.)

I’ve been making this case for much longer, though. Here’s an excerpt from a post called This Is Your Civilization On Acid, from 2015:

Given that what gives a culture its form is essentially ‘memetic’ — an aggregation of concepts, lore, mythos, history, music, religion, duties, obligations, affinities, and aversions shared by a common people — an advanced civilization is subject to corrosion and decomposition by ideas. And the most corrosive of all such reagents in the modern world is one that our own culture bequeathed to itself in the Enlightenment: the elevation of skepsis to our highest intellectual principle. Moreover, the less a nation depends upon tangible factors such as territory and ethnic homogeneity for its stability, the more vulnerable it is to this hazard — and the modern, rapidly diversifying United States, which describes itself more and more as little more than “an idea” — is most vulnerable of all.

Radical doubt, as it turns out, is a “universal acid”: given enough time, there is no container that can hold it. Once doubt is in control, there is no premise, no tradition, nor even any God that it cannot dissolve. Once it has burned its way through theism, telos, and the intrinsic holiness of the sacred, leaving behind only a desiccated naturalism, its action on the foundations of culture accelerates briskly, as there is little left to resist it.

Because it is in the nature of doubt to dissolve axioms, the consequence of the Enlightenment is that all of a civilization’s theorems ultimately become unprovable. This is happening before our eyes. The result is chaos, and collapse.

Also from 2015:

The modern attitude places the burden of proof upon every aspect of traditional life. All is disposable unless proven necessary, including even the axioms upon which such proof depends.

And so on. (See also this post and its internal links, including links to a discussion we had in 2018 with Michael Anton on the topic of natural law.)

The reason that I am mentioning all this today is that I have just read an outstanding essay at City Journal making this same indictment of the Enlightenment. (The author, Martin Gurri, even uses a term — “The Endarkenment” — that we NRx types were kicking around fifteen years ago.)

The whole thing is so good that I won’t bother posting any excerpts. You should just go read the whole thing yourselves, here.

Simple As

“As a child, learn good manners,
As a young man, control the passions,
In middle age, be just,
In old age, give good advice,
Then die, without regret.”

– Inscription found in the Bactrian city of Ai-Khanoum in Afghanistan. Attributed to Clearchus of Soli, a student of Aristotle

Buckle Up

Over the past few years, prominent members of our ruling Democrat oligarchy have declared those of us not aligned with “progressivism” to be racists, sexists, white supremacists, bitter clingers to guns and religion, deplorables, irredeemables, Nazis, and Fascists. Last night, we learned, also, that our sitting President thinks of us as “garbage”.

That’s at least half the country, folks: scores of millions of patriotic American citizens who would prefer to secure our borders, reduce our imperialistic military and economic commitments overseas, lower the cost of living, restore civic and moral virtue to public life, make politics more local, push back against rampant crime, prevent the aggressive sexualization (and trans-sexualization) of our children in schools and culture, preserve freedom of speech and dissent, return to domestic production of energy and vital manufactured goods, and restore a healthy reverence for the American nation and its history.

“Garbage”.

It looks now as if, barring corruption and theft even more audacious than that of 2020, Donald Trump is set to win next week’s election. How likely is it, though, that our political enemies — and it should be clear to all by now that that is what they are: not opponents or rivals, but enemies — will consent to be ruled by “garbage”?

We are headed for some serious turbulence just ahead. Election Day will only be the beginning.

We Wish To Complain

The problem with the way our era looks at history is that all it wants is to barge in and speak to the manager.

Repost, With Commentary: The Inverted Monarchy

The following is a repost of an essay I published at American Greatness in October 2020. Four years on, I think it holds up fairly well, but its closing remarks about the Constitution need, I’m afraid, some further qualifications, which I have added at the bottom of the post.

Not a day goes by lately without some politician, pundit, or other panjandrum calling out a political enemy, or some idea they don’t like, as “a threat to our democracy”. We see also an intensifying fever on the Left to abolish key institutions of our constitutional order — for example, the Electoral College, and the representational structure of the Senate — on the grounds that they are not “democratic” enough. Meanwhile, others, including the young-adult website Vox, have even been calling to give children the vote. Why? Because Democracy is now, apparently, understood to be such a Good Thing, in and of itself, that more of it can only be better.

Is your society falling apart? Is factional strife tearing your nation to pieces? Is myopic political unwisdom leading to one ruinous unintended consequence after another? The answer, always, seems to be: more democracy!

It was not always so. Once upon a time, not so long ago, democracy was not an end in itself; it was simply one of many possible means to a much higher aim: good government. It was well understood, moreover, that democracy, over the course of thousands of years, had a track-record that was anything but encouraging. Clearly, despite its natural appeal, democracy had dangerous liabilities — and it had inevtably, throughout the centuries, descended into bitter faction, mob rule, and tyranny. As far back as the third century B.C., the Greek historian Polybius had identified a cycle by which this happens — and at the time of the American Founding, two thousand years later, it had happened reliably ever since.

Democracy, then, is nothing more than one form of government: one of the possible engineering solutions by which political arrangements can be constructed. (Think of bridges: arch, suspension, cantilever, and truss designs all work fine; the choice of which to build is just a question of terrain, available materials, cost, navigation, and so on.) Now, however, democracy has become something much more than that — and the understanding that forms of government are not ends in themselves, but are merely possible solutions to a higher-level problem, seems to have been almost completely forgotten. The democratic form of government has been elevated to sacred status, while all others have been, in the minds of most Westerners, harshly and irrevocably deprecated. It is as if we had decided that the box-girder bridge is now the only sort of bridge any decent person should ever consider building, and that we should, moreover, build as many of them as we possibly can.

Perhaps the most important thing to understand about all of this is that, under any system of government, sovereignty lies somewhere. (It’s like the bubble under the contact-paper: you can move it around, but it’s always there.) In a monarchy, it lies with the king. A democracy, on the other hand, is just an inverted monarchy: the people are sovereign. The inversion is obvious if you look at the behavior of politicians and courtiers seeking access to the source of power: under monarchies, they flatter and cosset the king, while in democracies they court and fawn on the people. It’s all the same game, though: to gain personal power, cozy up to the sovereign.

There are important differences, nevertheless: unlike the unitary nature of monarchy, in which the sovereignty rests with a single will, the sovereign of a democracy is a diffuse mass, subject to faction and internal strife. Where is the “will” of a congeries of millions of individual citizens?

The American Founders, who knew their history, ancient and modern, understood all of this. They had no reverence for democracy itself, and were keenly aware of its inherent liabilities — but the natural-law premises of their political philosophy offered no basis for vesting sovereignty, merely by birth, in any individual. (As Jefferson wrote at the end of his life, it wasn’t as if some men are born “booted and spurred”, and others “with saddles on their backs”.) Somehow, the people had to find a way to govern themselves, without collapsing into faction, mob rule, and tyranny.

The Framers, then, as they gathered in Philadelphia in 1787 to produce a new Constitution, had before them a specification: stable self-government by the consent of the people. To construct it, they had a toolbox containing all the forms of government that had so far been attempted. Finally, they had a specific stock of material to build with: the historically particular people who had settled themselves in the thirteen colonies. The problem of the Founding was, in other words, an engineering problem. And it was as engineers that they set about designing a solution.

Engineers know several important things. First, they know that there is rarely a perfect solution to any problem. They know also that everything is a tradeoff, and that good solutions are often hybrids of various techniques. They know, moreover, that every type of construction material has its own strengths and weaknesses. And all good engineers know in their bones that the real world, unlike the laboratory, is infinitely mischievous, and will find unforeseen ways to test — and to break — your design.

The questions facing the Constitutional Convention were stubborn and difficult. Could they design a framework of government that would break Polybius’s great cycle? Was it possible to create some sort of hybrid system that would be stable enough to avoid both mob-rule and tyranny? How was it possible to satisfy the natural-law requirements of consent and self-government, which implied democracy, while avoiding the pitfalls of the divided will of the people, and protecting the natural rights of the minority against the predation of the majority? How could the “general will” of the people express itself in the making and execution of law and policy, without being paralyzed by the antagonisms of faction, or rendered hopelessly incoherent and inefficient by the diffusion of a multitude of opinions? How could they knit together thirteen independent nations — for that is what the colonies had become at that point — into a unified whole, despite their broadly divergent cultures, interests, and folkways?

This and much more confronted the delegates to Philadelphia in the sweltering summer of 1787. What emerged from their deliberations was a hybrid design, full of tradeoffs and compromises. A pure democracy obviously would not do; it would immediately become, in a quote attributed to Franklin, ‘two wolves and a sheep voting on what to have for lunch.” This problem affected not only numerical minorities in the population, but also the states themselves: small states would quickly be overwhelmed by big ones. Monarchy wouldn’t do: a key specification for the new government was that sovereignty must rest, somehow, with the people. The new federal government needed to have enough power to carry out its mandates, and to present the new, stitched-together Union to the rest of the world as a coherent whole that other nations could confidently do business with, while reserving for the individual states all powers that were not clearly required for managing the common interests of the collective.

The constitution that emerged at Philadelphia made a careful and complex balance of all of these competing requirements. Knowing that sovereignty is a zero-sum affair, the Framers divided it into what were intended to be non-overlapping parts, with all power reserved to the states other than what they had explicitly granted to the new Republic. Because the new arrangement was both a compact between the states and an establishment of the people themselves, both were to be represented in separate and distinct ways.

Because raw democracy was dangerously volatile, and a poor guarantor of natural rights, it had to be leashed and brought to heel. Of the three branches of government, only one half of a single branch — the House of Representatives — was to be directly appointed by popular vote. Because the more populous states could easily overwhelm the smaller ones, the states themselves were to be represented as coequal individuals in the Senate. The President, too, in order to execute the nation’s laws in such a way as to protect the interests of all the members of this new compact, had to be above the fray as well, and so the Electoral College ensured that the individual states, and not just the great clusters of population, would have their say in his election.

The Constitution itself, meanwhile, needed to be defended from the labile passions of the masses. If it were subject to casual revision by popular whim, it could be of no enduring value. The amendment process, therefore, was made so difficult that any change would have to represent the overwhelming majority of the general will. The Framers made certain here, too, that not just the federal legislature, but a large majority of the states themselves, would have to approve any changes.

Finally, after the great ratification debates of 1787 and 1788, it became clear that, even with all the protections written into the original Constitution, certain fundamental rights had to be put beyond the reach of the shifting moods of popular majorities. These protections were enumerated in the first ten amendments: the Bill of Rights.

This Constitution, then, like all engineered solutions to complex, real-world problems, is a “best effort” construction that sought to address requirements and stubborn realities that often pulled in opposite directions. The final result was not exactly what any of the delegates wanted; indeed three of them, Mason and Randolph of Virginia, and Gerry of Massachusetts, refused to sign it. What it most certainly was not, however, was an instrument of Democracy. Had it made pure democracy its priority, it is safe to say the United States of America would have torn itself to pieces, and ceased to exist, long ago. It was, rather, an attempt to design a system whereby a particular sort of people — a proudly self-reliant, moral, and industrious polity, steeped in centuries of British common law, European philosophy, and Judeo-Christian ethical and religious tradition — could govern themselves under ordered liberty, so as to preserve and protect their inalienable natural rights. The form they settled on was that of a confederation of states under a limited, representative republic, granting strictly enumerated portions of their sovereignty to a central authority. Democracy was nothing more than one part of that design — a part whose structural role was itself carefully limited.

Yet here we are, nearly two-and-a-half centuries later. Something is, very clearly, going terribly wrong. The great edifice that the Framers erected in Philadelphia seems on the verge of collapse. All around us we hear that the design itself is to blame: that the problem with the Constitution is that it isn’t democratic enough. The great challenges that faced the delegates in 1787, and the lessons of history and enduring truths of human nature that informed their deliberations, are now understood only by a few — but what everyone now seems to know with unreflective certainty is that Democracy itself is sacred: no longer a means, but an end.

What we seem to forget is a thing that the Founders knew all too well: that anything we build is only as sturdy as the material it’s made of, and that the durability of the new nation would therefore depend upon the quality of its people.

Ask anyone you know why democracy is the only acceptable form of government, and they will be quick to explain: it’s because other forms provide no remedy for corrupt or tyrannical rulers. But as we have seen, in the inverted monarchy we call democracy, the king’s sovereignty rests, instead, with the people. What remedy, then, do democratic systems provide for a corrupt and tyrannical people? What bulwark do we have against that?

The answer is: nothing — nothing at all — but the Constitution. It is only words on paper, but for two hundred and forty-two years it has, nevertheless, been the bedrock of our public liberty. Beneath it, there is only the abyss.

In these darkening times, then, we should remember the words of Patrick Henry:

“Suspect everyone who approaches that jewel.”

Update: I should not have ended this essay so abruptly. While it is certainly true that the fraying Constitution is all that the nation currently hangs by, the article leaves the reader with the hopeful impression that, if we guard it against further decay, that document can still support the load.

This overlooks, though, that the Constitution of 1787 was, as noted above, “an attempt to design a system whereby a particular sort of people — a proudly self-reliant, moral, and industrious polity, steeped in centuries of British common law, European philosophy, and Judeo-Christian ethical and religious tradition — could govern themselves under ordered liberty, so as to preserve and protect their inalienable natural rights.” In Aristotelian terms, it was a form that was only suited to a particular kind of matter.

And that’s the thing about constitutions. We like to imagine that they perform an act of creation — that they bring into existence, by some magic, a society formed according to their written specifications, and that in virtue of their magical power they can shape any people (any “matter”) into any sort of society whatsoever.

But this has it backwards. What exists a priori is the society, which in turn is an organic expression of the nature of the people. A constitution, to be effective, can only come into being as a kind of “gene expression“, as a codification and clarification of what the people already are.

This means that, for a coherent, harmoniously integrated, and naturally self-governing people, constitutions are almost superfluous, and their binding authority is worn loosely and feels almost weightless. It also means that for a fractious, selfish, unruly, and divided polity, the magic disappears: if the constitution is no longer an organic expression of the qualities of the people themselves, it will be disrespected, resented, ignored, and soon discarded. (As we see.)

With all due respect to Patrick Henry, then, we must acknowledge that no amount of defending the Constitution will do us any good once the polity that gave it expression no longer exists, the form no longer suits the matter, and the magic is gone.

Are we there yet? I certainly hope not, and lately there are heartening signs that the old American nation still has some life left in it, but the rot has gone very deep. The next weeks and months will be critical.

And Now For Something Completely Different

This.

“America First”, And The Uselessness Of Treaties

Prior to the takeover of U.S. foreign policy by Progressive world-savers, American statecraft followed the wise course plotted by George Washington and John Quincy Adams: to refrain from meddling in the internal affairs of foreign nations, and to avoid being drawn into their external quarrels, whether by treaty or simple ambition.

Adams (who was arguably the most intelligent and cultured man, and surely the greatest diplomat, ever to hold the office of President), put it thus:

Wherever the standard of freedom and Independence, has been or shall be unfurled, there will [America’s] heart, her benedictions and her prayers be. But she goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy. She is the well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all. She is the champion and vindicator only of her own. She will recommend the general cause by the countenance of her voice, and the benignant sympathy of her example. She well knows that by once enlisting under other banners than her own, were they even the banners of foreign Independence, she would involve herself beyond the power of extrication, in all the wars of interest and intrigue, of individual avarice, envy, and ambition, which assume the colors and usurp the standard of freedom. The fundamental maxims of her policy would insensibly change from liberty to force. The frontlet upon her brow would no longer beam with the ineffable splendor of Freedom and Independence; but in its stead would soon be substituted an Imperial Diadem, flashing in false and tarnished lustre the murky radiance of dominion and power. She might become the dictatress of the world. She would be no longer the ruler of her own spirit.

Adams knew that the duty of American statesmen was to the nation and people whom they served, and to no other. But he also knew that alliances and treaties tend to embroil nations in war far more often than they act as prophylactics against it, and understood that the domestic and international prospects of the United States would best be served by frankness about our national interests, by friendly cooperation with other nations to the extent that our interests allowed or favored, and by honest conversations with foreign nations to seek to bring our interests and theirs into alignment.

Briefly put: to the extent that any two nations’ interests are aligned, treaties are unnecessary. To the extent that their interests diverge, treaties are worthless.

Even more briefly put: words are wind. And this is especially true for democracies and democratic republics, in which the mercurial moods of the mob, and the inconstancy of sovereign power, make it impossible to guarantee that long-term promises will be kept.

Until the beginning of the 20th century “America First” was such a self-evident axiom of American statecraft that it hardly needed mentioning; to imagine any other basis for foreign policy would have been an obvious absurdity. Now, though, the phrase is used by our Progressive elites as a bludgeon for “deplorables”, and for the Right more generally.

Lest it seem that i’m just an old geezer yearning here to roll back the clock to a time when the world was a simpler place, I’ll offer you this passage from Erik von Keuhnelt-Leddihn:

The true rightist is not a man who wants to return to this or that institution for the sake of return; he wants to find out what is eternally true, eternally valid, and then either to return or reinstall it, regardless of whether it seems obsolete, whether it is ancient, contemporary, brand new, or ultramodern. Old truths can be rediscovered, entirely new ones found.

– Leftism Revisited, p. 26

The world may have changed since John Quincy Adams’ time, but the truths of human nature, and of war and diplomacy, are no different than they were in remotest antiquity. We ignore them at our peril, and to our shame. We used to know better.

Top And Bottom Against The Middle

Eric Hoffer:

A minority is in a precarious position, however protected it be by law or force. The frustration engendered by the unavoidable sense of insecurity is less intense in a minority intent on preserving its identity than in one bent upon dissolving in and blending with the majority. A minority which preserves its identity is inevitably a compact whole which shelters the individual, gives him a sense of belonging and immunizes him against frustration. On the other hand, in a minority bent on assimilation, the individual stands alone, pitted against prejudice and discrimination. He is also burdened with the sense of guilt, however vague, of a renegade. The orthodox Jew is less frustrated than the emancipated Jew. The segregated Negro in the South is less frustrated than the nonsegregated Negro in the North.

Again, within a minority bent on assimilation, the least and most successful (economically and culturally) are likely to be more frustrated than those in between. The man who fails sees himself as an outsider; and, in the case of a member of a minority group who wants to blend with the majority, failure intensifies the feeling of not belonging. A similar feeling crops up at the other end of the economic or cultural scale. Those of a minority who attain fortune and fame often find it difficult to gain entrance into the exclusive circles of the majority. They are thus made conscious of their foreignness. Furthermore, having evidence of their individual superiority, they resent the admission of inferiority implied in the process of assimilation. Thus it is to be expected that the least and most successful of a minority bent on assimilation should be the most responsive to the appeal of a proselytizing mass movement. The least and most successful among the Italian Americans were the most ardent admirers of Mussolini’s revolution; the least and most successful among the Irish Americans were the most responsive to De Valera’s call; the least and most successful among the Jews are the most responsive to Zionism; the least and most successful among the Blacks are the most race conscious.

– The True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements (Perennial Classics) (Kindle Locations 708-723). HarperCollins. Kindle Edition.

On Carl Schmitt’s Friend-Enemy Distinction

In a pair of posts at Substack and his own website, Bill Vallicella revisits a conversation he and I had a couple of years ago about the shrinkage of circles of moral inclusion in periods of deep political strife.

I had commented on this passage of his:

…haven’t the barbarians forfeited their (normative) humanity to such an extent that they no longer deserve moral consideration? Do they form a moral community with us at all?

This question touches on the deepest moral issues. It asks us to choose between the universal moral inclusion that we, as modern citizens of a (residually, at least) Christian civilization are drawn to see as axiomatic, and the practical realities of survival and conflict in a fallen world. Are we right to extend moral inclusion to those who would not extend it to us? Should we “turn the other cheek” if it means not only our personal destruction, but the destruction of all that we cherish, and perhaps even the triumph of objective evil? (And yes, before you ask: I do believe that objective evil exists.)

Thus framed, the answer would seem to be “no” — but choosing that answer brings with it the responsibility for determining where that line is to be drawn: when to give up on the power of love and the hope of redemption and reconciliation, and irreversibly to harden our hearts and “hoist the black flag“. To choose wrongly would be the profoundest of moral errors, and so we, as decent people, will naturally err on the side of caution — even when that error might well be fatal.

These questions confront us with clamant urgency in our current political climate. In the comment-thread at his website, Bill mentions Carl Schmitt’s observation that the essence of the political is the distinction between friend and enemy. For those of you who aren’t familiar with this, Schmitt first presented this analysis in his 1932 book The Concept of the Political:

A definition of the political can be obtained only by discovering and defining the specifically political categories. In contrast to the various relatively independent endeavors of human thought and action, particularly the moral, aesthetic, and economic, the political has its own criteria which express themselves in a characteristic way. The political must therefore rest on its own ultimate distinctions, to which all action with a specifically political meaning can be traced. Let us assume that in the realm of morality the final distinctions are between good and evil, in aesthetics beautiful and ugly, in economics profitable and unprofitable. The question then is whether there is also a special distinction which can serve as a simple criterion of the political and of what it consists. The nature of such a political distinction is surely different from that of those others. It is independent of them and as such can speak clearly for itself.

The specific political distinction to which political actions and motives can be reduced is that between friend and enemy.

– Schmitt, Carl. The Concept of the Political: Expanded Edition (pp. 25-26).

Bill and I have had some conversations about Schmitt over the past year or so, but I think he has been somewhat reluctant really to “grasp the nettle” that Schmitt offers. His recent comment, though, makes me think that we have somewhat different understandings of what Schmitt is saying, which I hope to clear up.

Bill’s comment was this:

Carl Schmitt maintained that the Freund-Feind, friend-foe, distinction is the essence of the political.

I don’t go that far. My position is that, at the present time, in the USA, we are locked in a existential battle with our political enemies, the cadre Dems. So it is Us versus Them, here and now as a contingent matter of fact.

We differ with our politcal enemies on values and on facts. For example, truth is not leftist value for the Left. For us it is. For the Left, math is racist, which is worse than false: it doesn’t even make sense.

And so on down the line.

To this I replied:

I understand Schmitt’s position to be that the essence of the political is that it always holds the potential for becoming actual friend-enemy combat. It is not not that it will come to that at all times, but rather that it is the essence of the political to create sides that will fight and die if, by contingency, they must.

That we soon may find ourselves fighting with “our political enemies, the cadre Dems” is, I think, perfectly consistent with Schmitt’s analysis.

Bill expertly clarified:

You may well be right about that. Do you have some references for me? Or better yet, a quotation (with a reference)? The difference is between:

A) Necessarily, in every political arrangement there is the potential for existential conflict, friend-enemy combat, a potential that may or may not become actual

and

B) Necessarily, in every political arrangement there will be existential conflict, friend-enemy combat.

(A) is much more plausible than (B), and more charitable an interpretation of Schmitt. On the other hand, it is a much weaker claim, bordering as it does on the obvious.

That we soon may find ourselves fighting with our political enemies, not just verbally and politically (in the usual sense of the term) but also extra-politically (which includes such horrors as regular assasinations, sabotage, concentration camps, etc.) is consistent with both (A) and (B).

This is exactly right — although I think Schmitt’s is neither a weak claim, nor one that borders on the obvious (in our era, at least), because we have lived so long in a well-functioning republic built on such deep commonality that the essential characteristic of the political — namely its intrinsic and unalienable potential for genuinely existential violence — is all but forgotten.

Bill asked me for a passage in support of my interpretation of Schmitt (the one that he marks as option A just above). I’ll offer this one (my emphasis):

The antithesis of friend and enemy corresponds to the relatively independent criteria of other antitheses: good and evil in the moral sphere, beautiful and ugly in the aesthetic sphere, and so on. In any event it is independent, not in the sense of a distinct new domain, but in that it can neither be based on any one antithesis or any combination of other antitheses, nor can it be traced to these. If the antithesis of good and evil is not simply identical with that of beautiful and ugly, profitable and unprofitable, and cannot be directly reduced to the others, then the antithesis of friend and enemy must even less be confused with or mistaken for the others. The distinction of friend and enemy denotes the utmost degree of intensity of a union or separation, of an association or dissociation. It can exist theoretically and practically, without having simultaneously to draw upon all those moral, aesthetic, economic, or other distinctions. The political enemy need not be morally evil or aesthetically ugly; he need not appear as an economic competitor, and it may even be advantageous to engage with him in business transactions. But he is, nevertheless, the other, the stranger; and it is sufficient for his nature that he is, in a specially intense way, existentially something different and alien, so that in the extreme case conflicts with him are possible. These can neither be decided by a previously determined general norm nor by the judgment of a disinterested and therefore neutral third party. Only the actual participants can correctly recognize, understand, and judge the concrete situation and settle the extreme case of conflict.

Each participant is in a position to judge whether the adversary intends to negate his opponent’s way of life and therefore must be repulsed or fought in order to preserve one’s own form of existence. Emotionally the enemy is easily treated as being evil and ugly, because every distinction, most of all the political, as the strongest and most intense of the distinctions and categorizations, draws upon other distinctions for support.

Ibid, (pp. 26-27).

What sets this characteristic of the political apart from the other distinctions Schmitt compares it to is its capacity for promotion to the genuinely (and practically) existential. Although it resembles, for example, the competitive opposition we see in business or sport, those rivalries are circumscribed by formal rules — rules of the game, or of law. But in modern, secular societies, with transcendent law entirely out of the picture, politics is prior to rules — it is the exclusive source and foundation of the rules themselves — and so, when comity and commonality break down, as they are doing today, the political can present a truly existential threat. In good times, we imagine — as Schmitt also described at length in his 1929 lecture The Age of Neutralizations and Depoliticizations (PDF here) — that we have, in modern societies, eliminated the most dangerous aspects of the political by a process of legalistic proceduralization. This is mistaken, however, because no formalized political procedure can survive the stresses of unforseen and exceptional crises, or of a breakdown of commonality that erodes shared faith in the axioms that usable political theorems must rest upon.

To sum up: my reading of Schmitt’s points here is that his purpose is to make us aware that the chief feature of the political is not only its necessary division into friends and enemies, but also its ineradicable potential, because of its access to the very foundations of our societies (and therefore our lives), to amplify that distinction into sanguinary, or even mortal, conflict. That this potential may lie unrealized for long years diminishes its importance not at all.

This leaves us, still, with the question that Bill started with: how do we know, in darkening times, where we stand, morally, with regard to the political enemy? Schmitt explains that “in the extreme case, conflicts are possible”, and that “Only the actual participants can correctly recognize, understand, and judge the concrete situation and settle the extreme case of conflict.”

Are we there yet?

There’s No Fixing This

Yesterday I sat at a dinner event with some members of our ruling overclass, including a wealthy and powerful septuagenarian Washington lawyer and her husband, a D.C.-area doctor and hospital administrator. (I will not name names, but we are talking about the very highest levels of swamp creatures here. If I had been carrying an elven-blade, it would have been glowing blue.)

I was struck, especially, by the lawyer’s lofty disdain for the Dirt People scurrying like ants so far beneath her; the aura of high-caste entitlement and contempt for the sans-culottes was perceptible from the moment she began to speak, and never wavered throughout the evening. I heard about the garden parties she and her husband had given, that were attended by members of Congress and Supreme Court Justices. I learned what a capital — saintly! — fellow their friend Anthony Fauci is, and how bravely he endures the wholly undeserved contumely of yahoos, rubes, and fascists. I was told how unlikely it would be ever to see anyone really notable in Wellfleet, as everybody who is anybody is, of course, in Martha’s Vineyard or Nantucket. I was advised that the recent problems with our little town’s management stem from the fact that it is run by the low-born types whose families have lived here for centuries, rather than letting the wealthy and better-credentialed retirees who have come here more recently take over. I also heard — at barely endurable length — about the special wonderfulness of Rep. Jamie Raskin (D).

A bit later, there was general agreement that, if Donald Trump wins this election, we had better “blow the bridges”.

The experience, as you can imagine, was pungent. (I still have a whiff of sulfur in my nostrils.)

We have a problem, and as far as I can see, it isn’t going away; indeed, I expect it will get sharply worse in the wake of next month’s election. The problem, simply put, is that although the bedrock principle of the American political formula is “consent of the governed”, we have now reached the point where whichever faction comes to power will govern entirely without the consent of half the population.

This was not always the case. Once upon a time — within my own memory — there was enough commonality on social, political, and moral axioms that those out of power would subordinate their dissatisfaction to the importance of playing the game, and would look at political setbacks as little more than a bad year for the home team. “Next season” was never too far off, and meanwhile we could live with the opposition temporarily in power because we knew that, despite some differences about policy, we more or less agreed on the fundamental axioms of American life.

Now, things are different. For the losers in the next election (whichever side that is), being governed by the victors isn’t going to feel like like losing a round; it will feel like being subjugated. It’s going to be like having their homeland pillaged and their altars desecrated by a despised and unholy enemy before whom they will be made to kneel. And that is going to get worse, not better, as time goes by.

The two factions, the Cloud People and the Dirt People, each have power, but very different kinds of power (the power of the latter is still mostly latent and unorganized, but it is real). Clearly, we can’t live together, and neither is willing to be ruled by the other — but we can’t get away from each other, either.

I know Nothing Ever Happens™, but this is unsustainable, and I believe we are approaching a crisis. Something has to give.

AI Debates The Existence Of God

There was a time when human capabilities formed a continuous landscape. Rising from the plain were such towering prominences such as language, art, reason, literature, musical composition, science, mathematics, and so on. Now, however, artificial intelligence is like a rising tide, inundating the terrain. Even now, with AI only in its infancy, the lower elevations of the continent are almost submerged; what we see all around us is already mostly sea and islands.

What peaks still rise above the flood? One, we might have thought, is philosophical debate, especially about the deepest questions of existence and metaphysics.

Perhaps not. Have a look at this:

We see here many of the old familiar arguments, on both sides of this ancient question. But, as noted, AI is still a baby in diapers. What will this simulated debate produce five, or ten, or twenty years from now? Will it still be the same old stalemate, or will it shock us with arguments or insights we’ve never imagined? Is there some reason for us to believe, in principle, that it cannot?

Wormtongue

This is what we’re up against, folks. (You can almost smell the sulfur.)

No matter how much you think you hate “journalists”, you don’t hate them enough.

P.S. Here’s the remarkable Mr. Vance once again. I’m beginning to wish we could flip the ticket.

Recommended Reading

I’ve just finished an excellent book by Auron MacIntyre, an up-and-coming voice on the Right. It’s called The Total State, and it is well worth your time.

MacIntyre is emerging as an influential political analyst and public intellectual, with a job at The Blaze and a regular output of podcasts and videos. (His YouTube channel is here.) His book, which is a remarkably concise summary (not an easy thing to do) of the political theory of Bertrand de Jouvenel, Carl Schmitt, Vilfredo Pareto, Gaetano Mosca, Curtis Yarvin, James Burnham, and others, examines the growth and consolidation of power in expanding polities, with particular attention to the effects of scale on the growth of managerial bureaucracies.

There is no substitute for reading and understanding the primary sources that MacIntyre draws on for this book, but this relatively slim volume is, for the uninitiated, an excellent digest of what you need to learn to begin to understand the laws of power that shape the cycles of political history, ancient and modern (and to understand why we’re in the mess we’re in). I’m very impressed indeed by how much meaty and accurate analysis Macintyre has managed to provide in his succinct overview of these complex ideas.

The book is more descriptive than prescriptive; the final chapter, entitled “The Only Way Out Is Through”, correctly explains that the ratchet that centralizes and bureaucratizes State power is not reversible except through inevitable collapse. (This appears to be well underway.) But it’s important, at the very least, to understand why, in order to think clearly about what we might do to survive the deluge.

You can buy MacIntyre’s book here. He’s doing good work, and he deserves our support.

On Comments

A quick review of my comment policy:

WordPress, the software I use, provides a comment-moderation feature that blocks all incoming comments until they are approved by me. I’ve never switched it on; I’ve been fortunate, over the decades, never to have felt the need. After 6,766 posts, and 28,888 comments, I’ve only ever removed a couple of dozen.

That said, this is a personal website, and I am its absolute despot, ruling entirely by whim. I am under no obligation to provide publication to anyone.

Oscar Wilde once said: “It is absurd to divide people into good and bad. People are either charming or tedious.” I have no problem with commenters who present contrary opinions, or who seek to correct me on some point of fact; indeed I welcome them, and have even had my opinions changed by them on several occasions. But if you are vulgar, or abusive, or excessively long-winded, or incivil, or present yourself in some other way that makes engaging with you unpleasant, and more trouble than it’s worth — or if it’s obvious that you’re just here to be a blowhard on a soapbox, and that no amount of conversation with you will offer the slightest chance of any give-and-take — then I will show you the door.

All I ask, really, is this: be charming. Don’t be tedious.

Falling Down

Last weekend we went to Chicago for a wedding. We flew round-trip from Boston, on American Airlines.

Our departing flight was scheduled for 2:13 p.m. on Friday. We checked a bag and went to the gate, but just before we were to board, we were told that our aircraft, a Boeing 737, was having some sort of problem with its engines, and that the maintenance crew were taking a look. The flight was delayed for an hour, then for another hour, and then again. The gate agent reserved us tickets for a flight early the next morning, but the airline offered us no voucher for overnight accommodations, because we live in Cape Cod, two hours away by car. (A room at the nearby Hilton would have cost us about $600.) We worried that sooner or later the flight was likely to just be canceled, but weren’t sure whether we ought to wait and see if it was eventually going to go, or try to get on another Friday flight (and sort out refunds, etc. later).

After waiting a bit longer, we spoke to a different AA agent at the service desk — a fat and sullen fellow — who told us that we had in fact actually been taken off the original flight, that our bag had been removed from the aircraft, and that in order to retrieve it we’d have to leave the security area and go to the baggage claim. When we got there, we were told that our bag hadn’t been removed at all, and so we’d have to request it. I waited by the baggage claim for 30 minutes or so, where it finally appeared.

We then learned that the flight we were originally booked on still hadn’t been canceled, and that we were still booked on it. So we re-checked the bag, and went back through security, and back to the gate, where the flight was now listed as departing at 9 p.m., using a different plane. It did indeed get going (at around 9:30 or so, as I recall), and we finally made it to our hotel in Chicago at about half-past midnight.

Our flight back on Monday was scheduled for 4:48 p.m. — another American Airlines 737. At 4:15, again just before boarding, we were told that the aircraft was having some maintenance issue, and would be delayed. We boarded a little over an hour later, then sat in the plane at the gate for another 45 minutes or so, at which point the pilot explained that the problem was with the system that pressurizes the toilets. We had two choices, he said: we could wait for a new plane, or take advantage of the fact that above 16,000 feet, the differential between the cabin pressure and the ambient pressure makes it possible to flush the toilets without the onboard pressurization system. (This would mean locking the lavatories for a while at the beginning and end of the flight. By unanimous voice-vote, we opted to fly, and so we did.

So: two American Airlines flights, two Boeing 737s, two mechanical issues, two inconvenient delays — a small sample, admittedly, but a 100% failure-rate. The previous time I flew, a couple of months ago, I was delayed by a software failure that affected flights nationwide. When our son came to visit over the summer, his flight to Cape Cod from NY was delayed for seven hours due to mechanical problems, and when he flew home a week later, his flight was delayed for hours and finally canceled, and he ended up taking a bus from Hyannis to Boston, and then a late-night bus back to New York.

I’m old enough to remember when we used to be pretty good at this stuff, with far more primitive technology. I’d ask “what the hell is going on??”, but really I guess I know the answer, and I suppose you do too.

Snitches Get Stitches

By now you have probably heard that Eric Adams, the glabrous black ex-cop who is (for now) Mayor of New York, is under multiple indictments for various acts of political corruption involving bribery and foreign influence, the culmination of a probe that has over the past couple of months swept up a number of his cronies and subordinates.

“But wait — Adams is a Democrat, and a POC to boot! How can this be happening?”

If we draw Ockham’s Razor from its sheath to slice the question open, the simplest answer readily appears: with his recent and voluble criticism of the Party’s immigration policy — which, he rightly pointed out, is wrecking New York — he had got dangerously out of line. Lawfare ensued. His political career is likely to come to an end, and perhaps even his personal liberty as well — pour encourager les autres.

“Well, if he’s guilty, what’s the problem?”

I would hardly imagine that he isn’t guilty. (Given the crimes he’s accused of, it would be no surprise at all.) But that isn’t the point. No, the problem is that others — a certain family out of Delaware comes to mind — have been flamboyantly, ostentatiously guilty of the same things for ages, entirely without consequences, even as political opponents of the Democrats have been punished with the harshest severity for the mildest of offenses (and often for crimes that didn’t exist at all).

The charges against Hizzoner go back a long way — some of them even predate his reign as Mayor — but he was a “made man”, so they were kept on ice. But now, having disrespected the Family, he is dead to them, and he will sleep with the fishes.

As Lavrentiy Beria once said: “Show me the man, and I’ll find you the crime”.

My Days Are Numbered

As are all of our days. (Woody Allen once asked why they should be numbered, and not lettered.)

Today, though, as it happens — on September 23rd, 2024 — the number of my days is a nice round one: exactly 25,000.

It’s been a bit of a slog at times, and I’m well out of warranty at this point, but I’m glad I’m still buggering on. Better to be over the hill than under it!

By Other Means

Here are the results of a recent survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen’s Napolitan News Service:

Seventeen percent (17%) of voters believe America would have been better off if former President Trump had been killed in last week’s attempted assassination.

That figure includes 28% of Democrats who say that America would have been better off if Trump had been assassinated. Another 24% of Democrats were not sure. Fewer than half (48%) of Democrats could bring themselves to say that America would not be better off if the opposing party’s candidate for president had been assassinated.

Let that, as they say, sink in: “Fewer than half (48%) of Democrats could bring themselves to say that America would not be better off if the opposing party’s candidate for president had been assassinated.”

I know I’ve been mentioning Carl Schmitt a lot recently, but for anyone familiar with his work it is impossible not to see current political events through a Schmittian lens. Here’s a relevant passage (my emphasis):

The equation politics = party politics is possible whenever antagonisms among domestic political parties succeed in weakening the all-embracing political unit, the state. The intensification of internal antagonisms has the effect of weakening the common identity vis-à-vis another state. If domestic conflicts among political parties have become the sole political difference, the most extreme degree of internal political tension is thereby reached; i.e., the domestic, not the foreign friend-and-enemy groupings are decisive for armed conflict. The ever present possibility of conflict must always be kept in mind. If one wants to speak of politics in the context of the primacy of internal politics, then this conflict no longer refers to war between organized nations but to civil war.

For to the enemy concept belongs the ever present possibility of combat. All peripherals must be left aside from this term, including military details and the development of weapons technology. War is armed combat between organized political entities; civil war is armed combat within an organized unit. A self-laceration endangers the survival of the latter. The essence of a weapon is that it is a means of physically killing human beings. Just as the term enemy, the word combat, too, is to be understood in its original existential sense. It does not mean competition, nor does it mean pure intellectual controversy nor symbolic wrestlings in which, after all, every human being is somehow always involved, for it is a fact that the entire life of a human being is a struggle and every human being symbolically a combatant. The friend, enemy, and combat concepts receive their real meaning precisely because they refer to the real possibility of physical killing. War follows from enmity. War is the existential negation of the enemy. It is the most extreme consequence of enmity. It does not have to be common, normal, something ideal, or desirable. But it must nevertheless remain a real possibility for as long as the concept of the enemy remains valid.

– Carl Schmitt, The Concept of the Political: Expanded Edition (p. 33). The University of Chicago Press.

Politics and war are not different things; they are a continuum. The very concept of the political necessarily includes the distinction between “us” and “them”, the possibility of escalation, and the willingness to fight.

Where are we on that continuum today? What will happen in November?

Who Laughs Last

This aged well.

Any Questions?

Another day, another insane violent leftist bent on partisan violence. (I refer, of course, to today’s foiled attempt to assassinate Donald Trump — the second in two months.)

Say what you like about Carl Schmitt, but the man had a keen eye for the truths of human nature. I’ve posted this quote before, but it seems apt to do so again:

Let us assume that in the realm of morality the final distinctions are between good and evil, in aesthetics beautiful and ugly, in economics profitable and unprofitable. The question then is whether there is also a special distinction which can serve as a simple criterion of the political and of what it consists. The nature of such a political distinction is surely different from that of those others. It is independent of them and as such can speak clearly for itself. The specific political distinction to which political actions and motives can be reduced is that between friend and enemy.

The Concept of the Political (1932), p. 26

Every religious, moral, economic, ethical, or other antithesis transforms into a political one if it is sufficiently strong to group human beings effectively according to friend and enemy.

Ibid, p. 37

That’s from a post I wrote back in April, prompted by a neighbor who referred to me as a “Trumper” (which is slightly more neighborly than “MAGAt”, I suppose, but in a Schmittian sense, hardly at all).

An excerpt:

In healthy and cohesive societies, with high homogeneity and trust, and the commonalities of culture, heritage, language, folkways, philosophical axioms, and moral principles that bind mobs into nations, the realm of the political can remain relatively small, confining itself to questions about which policies will most effectively implement generally agreed-upon goals. When, however, these commonalities break down, the sphere of the political expands to include almost every aspect of life, especially in large, managerial states, such as the United States has become, in which power once largely distributed to local communities has mostly been surrendered to the central government.

This has two important consequences. First, because decisions that affect everyone are now administered by the central State, control of that governing apparatus matters far more than it does in more subsidiarian societies. Second, as more and more of civic life is forced into the realm of the political, the essential characteristic of the political — the “friend-enemy distinction” — comes increasingly to the fore, and those with whom you might once have simply disagreed about, say, highway-budget priorities or zoning bylaws now become your enemy.

This in turn has further consequences. It’s in the nature of how we think about enemies that we seek to simplify them, to reduce them, to boil off their human complexities in order to avoid the natural tendency, in decent human beings, to have qualms about wishing others harm and ill-fortune.

So, this is where we are. It seems apt, also, to quote Clausewitz’s best-known passage:

War is a mere continuation of policy by other means… War is not merely a political act, but also a real political instrument, a continuation of political commerce, a carrying out of the same by other means.

As I’ve said elsewhere, nobody should hope for civil war. But since the shooting has started anyway, I guess we’ll just have to see where it goes from there, and hope for the best. But remember:

Si vis pacem, para bellum.”

Meanwhile, I’m pretty sure I’ll be voting for the guy these people keep trying to kill.

What’s The Matter With Haiti?

Steve Sailer’s latest over at Substack is a look at why Haiti is so stubbornly dysfunctional.

Steve mentions in passing a thing that is surely an important factor, rarely mentioned over here in discussions of U.S. immigration policy: when a place falls below comfortable levels of safety and prosperity, those who are able to — the best and brightest — emigrate to nicer places where their prospects are better, taking their virtues (and genomes) with them. This steady “boiling off” leaves behind an increasingly inspissated, incapable residue, further increasing the incentive to leave. We see this happening both in places like Haiti and in our own inner cities (which were far healthier places when social mobility was more difficult).

Editorial Note

I have taken down yesterday’s item — a thing I’ve only ever done once or twice in the twenty-year history of this blog — about the effect of a rapid influx of Haitians to the small town of Springfield, Ohio. Although I stand by the gist of the post, which was that mass immigration from profoundly alien (and often dysfunctional) cultures, as deliberately encouraged and promoted by our current administration, is suicidal folly for any nation, and often terribly destructive for local communities subject to overwhelming influxes of needy migrants, my language, as commenter “Martin” angrily pointed out, was careless and intemperate, and perhaps even somewhat loose with facts — though his comment, it should be said, was also larded with some of the same. I’ll admit, though, that the post was not one of my best, and so rather than edit it in place, I’ve removed it, perhaps to rewrite it sometime soon. (Or not.)

Meanwhile, I will refer readers once again to this post, from 2013, about the corrosive and irreversible effects of reckless (or, in the present case, willfully malevolent) immigration policy.

Douglas Murray On Hamas

This, folks, is moral clarity. Good commentary also by the Tweeter, @orenbarsky.

See You In September

Well, August is over, Labor Day has come and gone (and with it the annual four-day gathering and concert series of the Shoal Survivors, the musical collective I’ve been a member of for a decade now), and I really should try to get this blog up and running again. I’ve been in a slump for too long now, and enough is enough. For today, I’ll link to two items that I think will be of interest.

The first is a fine essay by professor J.M. Smith of the Orthosphere, on seeing one’s nation through “alien eyes”. In this post he writes about an essay by “a Japanese gentleman who visited Europe at the turn of the nineteenth century, and who was curious about Western civilization because his own civilization had undertaken to Westernize itself. He was an old man, a philosopher and student of history, and the Westernization of Japan filled his mind with doubt and dark foreboding.” This gentleman, in what today would be the darkest of heresies in the epicene and self-loathing West, writes about his dread of the accelerating Westernization of Japan, for the reason that cultures are not one-size-fits-all garments that any nation can simply slip on or off, but are, rather the natural expression of a people’s distinct and essential natures. One might say, as I argued here exactly nine years ago, that cultures are what Richard Dawkins called “extended phenotypes”, and that “the fashionable notion that “race is a social construct” probably has things exactly backwards.”

The second is a response at Substack by my friend, the philosopher William Vallicella, to a letter I had sent him a while back suggesting (as I have done many times in these pages) that the Enlightenment’s enshrinement of doubt as a supreme guiding principle has led us, centuries later, to cultural and civilizational disaster.

You can read Bill’s post here. I will be posting a response of my own, but not before I give it some thought.

Back soon.

VDare Succumbs

I note with sorrow and anger that Letitia James’ brutal and villainous campaign of lawfare against VDare has succeeded at last, with Peter and Lydia Brimelow, despite mounting a heroic effort that cost them millions, now having suspended the patriotic website’s operations.

It should be increasingly obvious to all by now — given the suspicious assassination attempt on Donald Trump, the intra-party coup against Joe Biden to install the flamboyantly incompetent imbecile Harris (and the astonishing, Orwellian, all-hands-on-deck propaganda blitzkrieg and wholesale memory-holing that followed), the demonic opening ceremony of the Olympics, and a thousand other indications — that we are in a struggle for the very soul of America and the West, a great contest not only between political factions and ideologies, but between good and evil.

Do not despair! — but do not underestimate the gravity of these times.

Interesting Times

“There are decades when nothing happens, and there are weeks when decades happen.” – Lenin

As I write, Joe Biden has yet to be seen in public following his fishy letter of abdication. Rumors are spreading that he may be dying, or even already dead. As Moldbug remarked in a post today:

There is simply no good reason for the President not to be able to talk to the press. Especially if he is staying President! But.. there are… plenty of weird reasons…

If they are ready to lie about his Parkinson’s, or whatever—could it become—long Covid? Could the President—die of Covid? People die of Covid… Could the President… die? Take a sudden turn for the worse? A tragedy! The thing is—people already feel a little… misinformed… about his health—why not be hanged for an ox? Weirder and weirder. Scalia’s pillow is already hanging on Chekhov’s wall…

Meanwhile, Secret Service director Kimberly Cheatle has been doing a very poor job today on Capitol Hill answering questions about the failed attempt on Donald Trump’s life a few days back (an attack about which we have an awful lot of good reasons to be deeply suspicious).

As Moldbug says in the linked post, what’s happening right now is history — reality — leaking into the little movie we’ve been living in. Great forces are at war for Power. And you, dear Voter, are nothing.

How’s that Democracy going, friends? Are you still feeling “sovereign”?

As I Was Saying

In light of today’s events it seems timely to repost this item from January.

Still almost half of 2024 to go, folks, and the caldera is rising.

P.S. Having now seen footage of Mr. Trump’s female Secret Service detail dithering in panicky confusion (and seemingly unable, in their agitation, even to holster their weapons properly), I am reposting this item as well, from ten years ago.

Happy Warrior

I know I said I wasn’t likely to be posting for a bit, but this clip of Tucker Carlson tossing and goring Australian media soldiers was too good not to share.