RIP, TWIR

I am sorry to report that This Week In Reaction, the weekly digest of writings from around the Dissident Right blogosphere that has been published at Social Matter for the last few years, has gone on what will likely be a permanent hiatus. My friend Nick Steves, the editor of TWIR, simply can’t keep up with the workload any longer: he’s a busy man with a large family, and he has other projects to look after.

Thank you, Nick, for providing this excellent resource for so long. I recommend the TWIR archives to all of you. You can find them at the Social Matter website.

Offline

We’re still in Vienna (for another ten days or so), spending time with our daughter and her young family, and enjoying a year-end break from our usual cares and concerns. I’ve scarcely paid any attention to the news, and I’ll confess that, as happens sometimes, I’ve had very little inclination to take up the pen. What quiet time I’ve had to myself I’ve spent catching up on reading.

If the Muse pays me a visit before we head back to the States, I might have something to post. You never know! But I’d prefer not to be that person who has nothing to say, and says it anyway.

Back soon. Enjoy the rest of the holidays!

Merry Christmas

…to each and every one of you. May we all put the world and its cares aside for a day to enjoy the sweet blessings of home and hearth and family, and love.

Media Spin On Michael Flynn

I’ve been out of the country, and not paying much attention to the news, but I did hear about Michael Flynn’s sentencing hearing last week. And what did I hear? I heard what the mainstream media wanted me to hear: that the judge at the hearing, Emmet Sullivan, had rebuked General Flynn — whom I hold in high regard as an American patriot, and a man of honor — for “treason”.

Just this morning, however, I listened to an interview, by John Batchelor, that told a very different story. Mr. Batchelor was speaking with Michael Ledeen, who was in the courtroom that day. Mr. Ledeen told him that what really happened was this:

General Flynn had come before the court to be sentenced under the terms of his deal with Robert Mueller: he had entered a guilty plea to one count of lying to the FBI. The circumstances of that charge were, to put it as charitably as I can, unusual; General Flynn had been approached by the now-disgraced Peter Strzok and another agent for what had been represented as a clarifying interagency conversation about some matters regarding Turkey, but the FBI was clearly treating it as a perjury trap, with the intention of catching General Flynn in some contradiction regarding a conversation he had had with the Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak. (The FBI had obtained a wiretap transcript of this conversation.) The trap was successful.

Having set the hook in General Flynn, the Mueller team now set about pressuring and destroying him. His life was made a living hell — and more to the point, his family was made to suffer just as much as he was. For their sake, he decided to take a bullet: he accepted a deal from the Mueller inquisitors to plead guilty on one felony count of lying to the FBI. The judge before whom Flynn entered his plea was Rudolph Contreras, who was also a member of the FISA court that approved the surveillance warrant against Carter Page. Judge Contreras is, as it turns out, a pal of Peter Strzok, and has since recused himself from the Flynn case.

With Judge Contreras out of the picture, the sentencing hearing, after some delay, came before Judge Sullivan. From what Mr. Ledeen tells us, Judge Sullivan is no fan of prosecutorial overreach, and appears to have thought that General Flynn had been railroaded into making his deal.

What happened in the courtroom, then, according to Mr. Ledeen, was that Judge Sullivan offered to let General Flynn renounce his deal, as he was not the judge before whom Flynn had made his plea, and did everything he could to get Flynn to do so. General Flynn had had enough, though, it seems, and just wanted to be sentenced and be done with it. (I also suspect that having agreed to the deal, he might have felt it would be dishonorable to renege.)

This apparently irritated the judge, who it seems is known for a passionate approach to the law (and, know also, sometimes, for intemperate language), and when his attempt to persuade General Flynn to drop the bargain failed, tried another approach: he tried to scare the general into rejecting the plea-bargain by reminding him that it was within the judge’s power to sentence General Flynn as harshly as he liked. Judge Sullivan also added, just to add a little extra fire and brimstone, that some people might think that some of the charges swirling around the Flynn orbit — I assume this has to do with the intrigue that some of General Flynn’s associates have apparently been involved in regarding Turkey — might be regarded by some people as “treasonous”. And this, of course, became the headline that I heard all around: that the judge had accused Michael Flynn of treason.

Listen to Mr. Ledeen’s account here.

The S.O.B. On Democracy

The S.O.B. is, of course, the Sage of Baltimore, H.L. Mencken. I’ve just re-read his Notes on Democracy, after many years, and it is as astringent as I remembered it.

For example:

It remains impossible, as it was in the eighteenth century, to separate the democratic idea from the theory that there is a mystical merit, an esoteric and ineradicable rectitude, in the man at the bottom of the scale — that inferiority, by some strange magic, becomes a sort of superiority — nay, the superiority of superiorities. Everywhere on earth, save where the enlightenment of the modern age is confessedly in transient eclipse, the movement is toward the completer and more enamoured enfranchisement of the lower orders. Down there, one hears, lies a deep, illimitable reservoir of righteousness and wisdom, unpolluted by the corruption of privilege. What baffles statesmen is to be solved by the people, instantly and by a sort of seraphic intuition. Their yearnings are pure; they alone are capable of a perfect patriotism; in them is the only hope of peace and happiness on this lugubrious ball. The cure for the evils of democracy is more democracy!

Or:

There are minds which start out with a superior equipment, and proceed to high and arduous deeds; there are minds which never get any farther than a sort of insensate sweating, like that of a kidney.

In the same vein:

The whole life of the inferior man, including especially his so-called thinking, is purely a biochemical process, and exactly comparable to what goes on in a barrel of cider…

Here he offers an insight also made explicit by Sir Henry Sumner Maine:

I find myself quoting yet a third German: he is Professor Robert Michels, the economist. The politician, he says, is the courtier of democracy. A profound saying — perhaps more profound than the professor, himself a democrat, realizes. For it was of the essence of the courtier’s art and mystery that he flattered his employer in order to victimize him, yielded to him in order to rule him. The politician under democracy does precisely the same thing. His business is never what it pretends to be. Ostensibly he is an altruist devoted whole-heartedly to the service of his fellow-men, and so abjectly public-spirited that his private interest is nothing to him. Actually he is a sturdy rogue whose principal, and often sole, aim in life is to butter his parsnips.

On schemers and manipulators who prey on the mob in democracies:

Out of the muck of their swinishness the typical American law-maker emerges. He is a man who has lied and dissembled, and a man who has crawled. He knows the taste of boot-polish. He has suffered kicks in the tonneau of his pantaloons. He has taken orders from his superiors in knavery and he has wooed and flattered his inferiors in sense. His public life is an endless series of evasions and false pretences. He is willing to embrace any issue, however idiotic, that will get him votes, and he is willing to sacrifice any principle, however sound, that will lose them for him. I do not describe the democratic politician at his inordinate worst; I describe him as he is encountered in the full sunshine of normalcy.

In other words:

The democratic process, indeed, is furiously inimical to all honourable motives. It favours the man who is without them, and it puts heavy burdens upon the man who has them.

On the tyranny of Utopianism, never more in evidence than it is as I write these lines:

The man who hopes absurdly, it appears, is in some fantastic and gaseous manner a better citizen than the man who detects and exposes the truth. Bear this sweet democratic axiom clearly in mind. It is, fundamentally, what is the matter with the United States.

In sum:

One thus sees the world as a vast field of greased poles, flying gaudy and seductive flags. Up each a human soul goes shinning, painfully and with many a slip. Some climb eventually to the high levels; a few scale the dizziest heights. But the great majority never get very far from the ground. There they struggle for a while, and then give it up. The effort is too much for them; it doesn’t seem to be worth its agonies. Golf is easier; so is joining Rotary; so is Fundamentalism; so is osteopathy; so is Americanism. In an aristocratic society government is a function of those who have got relatively far up the poles, either by their own prowess or by starting from the shoulders of their fathers — which is to say, either by God’s grace or by God’s grace. In a democratic society it is the function of all, and hence mainly of those who have got only a few spans from the ground. Their eyes, to be sure, are still thrown toward the stars. They contemplate, now bitterly, now admiringly, the backsides of those who are above them. They are bitter when they sense anything rationally describable as actual superiority; they admire when what they see is fraud. Bitterness and admiration, interacting, form a complex of prejudices which tends to cast itself into more or less stable forms. Fresh delusions, of course, enter into it from time to time, usually on waves of frantic emotion, but it keeps its main outlines. This complex of prejudices is what is known, under democracy, as public opinion. It is the glory of democratic states.

Enough for now, I think. I just thought you all could use some holiday cheer.

Tilting At Windmills

It has for many years been a tenet of the Progressive religion that solar and wind power must replace fossil fuels as the source of supply for our energy-hungry civilization. Critics of the idea have said all along that this is an impossible dream, a colossal waste of resources, is destructive to the environment in rarely mentioned ways, that it makes the West dependent upon suppliers of exotic materials, and is a moral error besides.

Germany, which has wasted hundreds of billions of euros on this “faith-based initiative”, is now learning these lessons the hard way. A recent report at the Canada Free Press tells the story in depressing detail. I won’t excerpt it here — you should read it all — but I’ll offer a brief summary.

Above all, there’s the inconstancy of sun and wind. When they are strong, Germany’s solar generators and wind farms produce so much energy in such a short time that there’s no way for the German grid to absorb it. This means that Germany has to unload the temporary excess to other countries — who don’t want it, and must be paid to take it. This cost is passed along to German consumers. Sometimes the overproduction is so high that the solar and wind facilities have to be ordered to shut down. When this happens, the operators of those facilities (which were built with lavish government subsidies in the first place), are reimbursed for their downtime. Once again, the cost is passed along to the consumer (or to the taxpayer, which amounts to the same thing).

When wind and sun are weak, as often happens, commercial consumers must be told to reduce their usage, slowing industrial production. They quite rightly insist on being compensated for this, which they are — and once again, consumers foot the bill. If sun and wind fall short for any length of time, however, fossil-fuel plants have to be fired up to cover the gap. This is an extremely inefficient use of these facilities, and makes for greater CO2 emissions than if they’d just been chugging along full-time as before (that is, back when they easily and reliably supplied Germany’s electrical demand). This inefficiency means the electricity they create is far more expensive than it otherwise would be, a surplus cost that is, once again, borne by the ordinary German citizen — who can at this point be heard groaning, off in the distance, in a gigantic steam-powered lemon-squeezer.

There’s more to this depressing little parable, but now you must go and read the article. You can do so here.

Update: In response to comments, I’ve looked up the actual cost of electricity for German households. It is about €0.295 per kilowatt hour, nearly three times the average cost in the U.S. (which at current exchange rates is about €0.11).

This of course wouldn’t include the costs absorbed by the German government (i.e., by the German taxpayer).

We should note also that it seems that an overwhelming majority of Germans think the extra cost is worth it. Here, for example, is an article putting that number at an astonishing 95%.

Why? For religious reasons, of course:

“People in Germany know the deployment must continue so we can fulfil our obligations regarding climate protection and future generations…’

In other words: salvation through atonement. The “deployment”, however sweetly painful, “must continue” — until our sin is washed away.

As I’ve written elsewhere:

In the beginning, there was only God.

From God arose Man.

Before his Fall, Man lived simply, and in perfect harmony with God. It was a Paradise on Earth.

Then a disaster happened. Man acquired a new kind of Knowledge: knowledge that he did not need, but that conferred upon him enormous temptation. In his unwisdom, and against God’s wishes, Man succumbed. His new Knowledge gave him great power, but at a terrible cost: he had turned his back on God, and his Paradise was lost. In his exile, he would wield his ill-gained power in prideful suffering and woe.

But then came a Messenger, offering the possibility of Redemption: if Man were to renounce his awful Knowledge, and learn once again to surrender himself to the love of God, he would be forgiven, and could find his way back to Paradise. It would not be easy ”” it would require that he make terrible sacrifices, atone for his many sins, and give up his worldly comforts and much that he had come to love ”” but if his faith was strong, his Salvation could become a reality, and he could once again live in Paradise, in sweet communion with God.

In order to move from the old religion to the new one, we need only substitute “Nature’ for “God’ in the passages above.

Sayonara, Syria

There’s been a ruction, unsurprisingly, about President Trump’s announcement that we’ll be pulling U.S. troops out of Syria. I have no objection whatsoever to this decision: Mr. Trump’s promise to disentangle ourselves from pointless and costly wars in far-off snakepits was an important part of why he was elected, and Syria, a viper’s nest if ever there was one, is exactly the sort of place where we ought not to be spilling another drop of American blood, or spending another dollar.

In the mail this morning was John McCreary’s analysis at NightWatch:

NightWatch Comment: This decision has generated much criticism. There is no explanation for the timing, but President Erdogan had a phone conversation with the US President last Friday, 14 December, and announced this week that the US President was positive about Turkey’s plan to attack the Kurds in eastern Syria.

Amid all the negative backlash, some facts and relationships have been ignored. The essay is neither for or against the policy. It explains aspects of the situation that seldom receive attention

The Turks, the Russians, the Iranians and the Syrians all have called for the departure of US soldiers. The Syrians repeatedly denounced the US and Turkish presence as lawless. Their departure would cure this complaint and leave only Turkey in violation of international law.

The US military forces had a specific, narrow mission which originally was to capture Raqqa. They accomplished that; anything beyond that was mission creep.

Somehow capturing Raqqa expanded into ensuring the Islamic State was permanently defeated, an endless task.

Then the mission morphed into protecting the Kurds. That expanded into blocking the Iranians. Then came ensuring a government without Syrian President Assad; then staying until there was a political settlement and finally seeking a fundamental regime change but Assad can stay.

Assuming the US decision stands, the withdrawal order constitutes the clearest mission restatement since the order to liberate Raqqa.

The US -backed proxies, the Syrian Democratic Forces, are dominant in a third of the country. It contains Syria’s oil fields. No government in Damascus would tolerate that condition. Assad has never wavered in his determination to restore Syrian sovereignty. At some point, a confrontation was inevitable.

The US has never had a strong rationale for involvement in Syria. The images of then Secretary of State Kerry fawning over Assad during an earlier administration were as unnatural as the US supporting soldiers and Marines in a completely land-locked enclave that is mostly desert.

The wonder is not that they are withdrawing, but how did the US manage to keep them there for so long with heavy artillery. No other country on earth could do that and few would see wisdom in doing it.

The US is not ceding Syria to anyone. It never had anything to cede. Despite dominating a third of Syria, the US has had no influence in Syria beyond the fight against the Islamic State. It clandestinely supported the anti-Assad movements which resulted in a colossal embarrassment. Plus they lost the civil war.

The other parties live in the region, except the Russians. The Russians have had ties to Syria since 1946. They have had a naval facility at Tartus since 1971 by invitation. The Russians, Iranians and Turks filled all available political space long before the first US soldier arrived.

The US could not protect the Kurds. The US backing of the Kurds could not prevent their loss of Afrin Canton to the Turks in two major operations. None of the major regional actors support the Kurds. Russia tried and failed to arrange for the Kurds to attend UN-backed or Russian-backed political meetings.

Some US contingents were vulnerable to attack. In October, Iranian ballistic missiles aimed at Islamic State targets in eastern Syria came within three miles of a US military position. On days when weather grounded US air support, some US contingents were attacked viciously by Islamic State fighters.

Islamic State fighters remain in Syria and continue to relocate and reconstitute in many countries, including Afghanistan, Pakistan and Indian Kashmir. China is concerned about returning Uighur fighters. The US military success in Syria forced non-Syrian fighters to return to their homes, generating an Islamic State diaspora.

The many Israeli air attacks against Iranians in Syria are a testament that the US military presence posed no significant obstacle to expansion of Iranian activities in Syria.

After the US forces depart, the natural order will return. The Russians have been laying the foundation for it for the past three years. In defeating the Islamic State, the US has been the key enabler of a return to normal order in Syria.

The Russians were a Syrian ally for 60 years. Their position has been strengthened because they did not have to fight the Islamic State. They added an airbase and signed a 99 years lease for the naval base. They used the civil war to field test their most modern weapons and all their field commanders.

Most of that would not have been possible without the US effort that defeated the Islamic State. The Russians would have been required to commit far more forces than they did.

The Turks are the historic enemy of the Russians, Arabs and the Persians. The US intervention force distracted the Russians, Arabs and Iranians from that underlying fact. None of these parties will defend the Kurds, but they will now be able to focus on frustrating Turkish President Erdogan’s pretense to restore Ottoman dominance.

After the Turks pound the Kurds one more time, the next order of business will be the reduction of the extremists in Idlib, whom Turkey has promised to protect. Turkey is likely to suffer a strategic humiliation in Idlib. This will break up the troika of Russia, Iran and Turkey. The withdrawal of US forces will remove anti-US hostility as the mastic that has encouraged the three historic enemies to work together.

The Kurds want to create a federal state. That won’t happen, but the US has empowered them. With better arms, training and experience, they are better equipped to negotiate an arrangement with the Syrian government and to resist the Turks. If the Turks attempt genocide, US airpower will remain in the region and on call.

Then the next order of business will be the re-emergence of the old hatred of the Turks. Russia, Syria and Iran eventually will induce Turkey to withdraw its forces back across the border. Turkey’s invasion of Syria; its support for Syrian Islamic extremist groups and its dalliances with Russia and China will diminish its stature in NATO. When there was an Islamist threat on NATO’s flank, the Turks sided with the Islamists.

With no US forces in Syria, the US will have the opportunity to have a relationship with Syria. In many indirect and important ways, the US military presence saved the Assad government by enabling its allies. However, the government in Damascus will be looking for opportunities to balance its dependence on Russia and Iran. The Russians will always be amenable to letting the US shoulder the costs of Syrian reconstruction.

As for Iran, Syria is a secular state, the last of the Ba’athists ”“ pan-Arab socialists. Iran’s relationship with Syria during peace time always has been uneasy, bordering on unnatural.

Religion has almost nothing to do with the Syrian-Iranian relationship. It is based on the Syrian confrontation with Israel. The practices and beliefs of the Alawite sect in Syria border on heresy and apostasy for Sunni and Shia Muslims of strict observance.

For years, Syria has allowed Iran to use Syria as the conduit for arms to Hizballah, enabling Hizballah to open the Lebanese front on Israel’s northern border. Tension between Hizballah and Israel is likely to increase and could lead to conflict, but the US presence in Syria has been tangential to that scenario, despite the best efforts of Prime Minister Netanyahu to draw the US into the larger Arab-Israeli confrontation.

In Syria, the US has born the costs and fought the war for other parties who have stronger and more direct interests. The US military effort provided a security umbrella that enabled a measure of stability to in Syria.

That is an unintended consequence because stability in Syria was never an American policy objective.

Analysis of this quality and depth doesn’t grow on trees, friends, and NightWatch is, I believe, struggling to make ends meet. If you have any interest in geostrategic affairs, and want to preserve this outstanding resource, you should subscribe.

Michael Vlahos On “Progressive” Religiosity And Civil War

I’ve written for years (as have many others on the dissident Right, most notably and influentially Mencius Moldbug) that modern-day Progressivism is in fact a secularized religion. This diagnosis is plainly evident not only in its form and content, but is also confirmed by its genealogy, which reveals a lineage extending back (at least) to the Calvinist settlers of Massachusetts.

Last year I wrote:

In order correctly to understand the modern Left, it’s important to recognize it as a secularized religion. Tracing the development of this religion, from its origins in Protestantism, then Puritanism, then through its many transmutations in America ”” from sixteenth-century Massachusetts, through its northern and western Protestant expansion, through the “Awakenings’ of the seventeenth and eighteenth century, through the secularizing influence of Universalism and Unitarianism, through the sequential attachments of its “mission into the wilderness’ to various sacred causes such as abolition, Prohibition, women’s suffrage, global government, desegregation, feminism, environmentalism, Blank-Slate biological universalism, open borders, LBGT-etc. activism, and global warming, to name some salient examples ”” has been a major project of the dissident and reactionary Right over the past couple of decades. I’ve written about it often.

(See also the follow-on to the quoted post, here, and this post about Progressive religiosity in the runup to World War I.)

Here’s Moldbug, with a pithy explanation of why our national religion became our national cryptoreligion:

How did we fall for this? How did we enable an old, well-known strain of Christianity to mutate and take over our minds, just by discarding a few bits of theological doctrine and describing itself as “secular’? (As La Wik puts it: “Despite occasional confusion, secularity is not synonymous with atheism.’ Indeed.)

In other words, we have to look at the adaptive landscape of ultracalvinism. What are the adaptive advantages of crypto-Christianity? Why did those Unitarians, or even “scientific socialists,’ who downplayed their Christian roots, outcompete their peers?

Well, I think it’s pretty obvious, really. The combination of electoral democracy and “separation of church and state’ is an almost perfect recipe for crypto-Christianity.

As I’ve said before, separation of church and state is a narrow-spectrum antibiotic. What you really need is separation of information and security. If you have a rule that says the state cannot be taken over by a church, a constant danger in any democracy for obvious reasons, the obvious mutation to circumvent this defense is for the church to find some plausible way of denying that it’s a church. Dropping theology is a no-brainer. Game over, you lose, and it serves you right for vaccinating against a nonfunctional surface protein.

That the modern Left is indeed a religious movement, with all the evangelistic fervor, self-righteous moral certainty, and millenarian zeal of its Protestant ancestors, is an idea that’s gaining broad acceptance. In recent months I’ve mentioned the ongoing conversation between radio host John Batchelor and the historian Michael Vlahos about civil wars bygone and impending; of particular relevance to the topic of this post is a brief discussion, aired this past October, in which Professor Vlahos talks about the religious roots of Abolitionism, and the ominous similarities between that movement and today’s “social justice” evangelism, and the ways in which our current political climate echoes the disintegrating United States in the 1850s.

Part 1 is here, and part 2 is here. Have a listen.

Special Delivery

The lovely Nina and I have just welcomed into the world our second grandchild, Declan Calder Wright, born to our daughter Chloe and her husband Christopher (who is as fine a young man as ever there was) here in Vienna, Austria, at 2:40 p.m. on Saturday, December 15th, 2018. (His middle name, Calder, was my mother‘s maiden name.)

Here’s wee Declan, just born:
 

 
And here he is with his older brother Liam, now two and a half:
 

 

The Beatings Will Continue Until Morale Improves

Here’s an illustrative point from Theodore Dalrymple:

Curiously, liberals who have long denied that punishment deters crime””or indeed serves any purpose, except to take vengeance on the weak and vulnerable, driven to crime by their wretched circumstances””are generally avid for strong penalties for hate crime. The way to make people like one another is to punish them into amiability.

If you think (as even Mr. Dalrymple seems to do) that this shows a lack of principle, you’re wrong: you’re just looking in the wrong place. As I’ve noted before, these people most certainly do have a consistent guiding principle, a “Prime Directive”, and they stick to it with admirable discipline. It is simply this:

Defend your people, always. Attack the enemy with whatever comes to hand, always.

Remember always that this principle trumps all others. If it conflicts with another — as, in this case, it conflicts with the hallowed liberal principle of offloading personal responsibility for bad behavior onto social or other causes — the Prime Directive always wins.

Localism And Globalism: Ebb And Flow

As a staunch subsidiarianist, I’ve been pointing out for a while now the perils of centralization and interdependency in global and regional affairs. Just over two years ago I wrote:

It is well-known in the engineering disciplines that too-tight “coupling” is at the root of many, if not most, failures of complex systems. Far more robust are loosely coupled systems, in which components interact with, and depend on, each other no more than is necessary; in which the actions of each component affect the actions of others only so far as is essential for the operation of the system as a whole; in which friction between components is minimized; and in which the failure of a single component does not unnecessarily cause the failure of others. This is precisely the opposite of the systems that govern us today, at both the national and global level.

Richard Fernandez has written a couple of good articles recently that touch on the same idea. (A hat-tip to my e-pal Bill Keezer for bringing them to my attention.)

In the first, Mr. Fernandez looks at the difficulties facing globalism, and asks:

But suppose we have only been offered a fake globalization so far? One way to get understand what real globalization looks like is to examine the global schemes that actually work. A familiar example is your computer or phone. They’re studded with icons each represents different programs all of which can run simultaneously because of walls. It wasn’t always this way. When PCs first came out they could only do one thing at a time. You loaded up a floppy and ran Visicalc. To run Wordstar you exited Visicalc and loaded another floppy. When programs tried to coexist in the same space they initially ran into problems. Program A interfered with the resources of Program B and you got — the older people will remember — the Blue Screen of Death.

Then we learned that walls can make them work together. This is called componentization and clearly described by Leo Linbeck in his article at AEI.

The first strategy is to break a big, complex system into smaller, simpler subsystems and carefully define the way those subsystems interact. Even after such a breakdown, if a system continues to grow, the subsystems themselves will become too large and must be broken down further into smaller sub-subsystems. Through this subdivision process, we not only reduce the complexity of the subsystems but also increase the number of people who can deal with the problem. …

Yet creating a hierarchy of subsystems is not enough. There must be a commitment to subsidiarity — that is, pushing control as low in the hierarchy as possible. We do not reduce complexity if we create additional subsystems but still control everything from the center. In fact, it makes the complexity problem worse. In programming, interaction between components is managed through an interface. Higher-order components, for instance, cannot directly access and modify the properties of lower-order components — they must access those properties through the interface of that lower-order component. This rule — which, perhaps counterintuitively, limits the power of the higher-order component — is a way to keep complexity under control.

That should be our model for the world. In our haste to dismantle walls we have made local conflicts international: witness the refugees streaming out of Venezuela, Syria and Central America toward their neighbors. We have made the international local. That’s why we have ‘collusion’. The implication is clear. You create a working global world by building down and hooking the components together not by creating ever more complex Rube Goldberg multilateral institutions. It also aligns nicely with Yoram Hazony’s concept of a community of nations.

The building of national identity based on a shared culture, language or identity enables globalism — without abolishing the nations.

This is exactly right. Quite apart from the natural human impulse to live amongst people who share our own language, traditions, folklore, rituals, idioms, and everything else that binds people together and allows the private and public to coexist with minimal friction, the blessing of subsidiarity — of administering everything as locally as possible — is that it decouples communities into loosely connected modules that solve social, administrative and economic problems, even those problems that affect every community, in whatever way is best suited to local particularities.

This has many advantages over centralization and imposed homogeneity. One is that it makes government directly accountable to the people it serves: the people responsible for creating and administering policy are often known personally to their constituents. Another is that localities can become incubators for new approaches to old problems; when they solve them in new and effective ways, they can become examples for other communities. Another is that the effects of crisis and failure are far less likely to ripple through the global system (a cautionary example of too-tight coupling is the effect that the financial crisis in Greece had on the global economy a little while back). Another is that local systems can be “swapped out” when they fail with minimal disruption of the rest of the global network.

In another recent essay, Mr. Fernandez points out that this problem is hardly a new one; it not only contributed to the fall of Rome, but also was a likely factor in the Bronze Age Collapse, more than a thousand years earlier.

These regularities (perhaps we might even say “laws”) of human nature and of complex systems are real, and permanent — and human history is little more than a catalogue of their truth and persistence. The resurgence of nationalist sentiment both in Europe and elsewhere, and the growing political tension in the United States, are only the latest examples. Yet those of us who understand that some “decoupling” is long overdue, and will happen either peaceably or catastrophically, are shunned and reviled in the harshest moral terms.

It would have been a tremendous blessing for humanity if we had understood these principles well enough to have preserved some of the looser coupling and local particularities of the past, but we have relentlessly and unwittingly broken them down for a century and more, abetted by astonishing advances in communication and transportation — while at the same time the horrors of the twentieth century cast grave moral doubt on the very idea of national and ethnic identity. It is in the nature of history for the great pendulum of human affairs, once given a vigorous push, to swing far beyond equilibrium — and it is also in the nature of pendulums to conserve momentum, and to swing in reverse with equal force.

Report From Abroad

The lovely Nina and I are settled in now in Vienna, and our daughter is due to bring forth our second grandson on Wednesday (though he may arrive sooner). We are quartered in a little apartment in the 3rd District, just around the corner from the Hundertwasserhaus, and we are waiting, well, expectantly.

Paris may be burning, but Vienna is, as always, orderly. The traffic moves smoothly, the trains and trams run on time, and the city is all dressed up for Christmas. Today we visited the outdoor Kristmasmarkt in the plaza outside the magnificent Karlskirche, which was full of cheery locals buying gifts and sipping GlÁ¼hwein.

We’ll have some news shortly.

Service Notice

Sorry it’s been slow here. We’ve been getting my 97-year-old mother-in-law‘s life in order after her fall last month, and today the lovely Nina and I are off to Vienna, where our daughter is expecting her second child — a baby boy — on the 12th.

I’ll be back online once we get settled in Austria.

What If…

Over at West Hunter, Greg Cochran imagines a counterfactual world in which everything we on the Dissident Right know to be true is false, and everything we are told to believe by our cultural overlords is true. I reproduce this vision below, in full:

Since I just found out that someone already wrote the story about Sauron as the doomed hero leading an abortive Industrial Revolution, was thinking about a different fantasy world: one in which the environmentalists were correct. One where interventions work & have lasting, significant, results. Head Start equalizes. Guys, after a hitch in the Job Corps, are far more employable then they were before. Pre-K materially improves outcomes, even without p-hacking ( which is hardly necessary, since the world works the way that social psychologists wish it did). Adopted kids, exposed to the same family environment, are just like the true-blood children, not especially likely to be screwed up.

MZ twins* don’t even look like each other.

Race does not exist. Well, people look a little different, but given similar environments, they have the same chance of winning the 100-meter dash, or becoming first-rate mathematicians.

Teenage girls are just as likely to wrap their jalopy around a telephone pole as their boyfriends ”“ at least, that became true when we modernized childcare.

Going to elite schools actually makes you smarter ”“ and the negatives are less than here, because over there the crap that they push is true.

Left-wing behavioral geneticists are working fast food, since their subject does not exist, but at least they’re happy.

The Soviet Union, which still exists, exports massive quantities of Arctic wheat.

You can train a basset hound to act just like a Chihuahua.

Gaps faded away: they just had to.

Given a chance, along with some DDT and chloroquine, Africans start exporting scads of high-end cars and machine tools, while winning Nobels and proving the ERH**. Not only that: places like Indonesia and Pakistan and Nigeria are great powers, perfectly capable of inventing and building new superweapons, perfecting armored warfare, and coming up with ”“ and implementing ”“ demented ideologies that devastate whole continents. Africa and South America are wracked by industrialized total war. Poison gas, not machetes ! Brazil is the country of the present ”“ and always will be.

Of course, you have to be real careful raising toddlers, because even looking at them sideways can leave them psychologically crippled. The right kind of toilet training is crucial. Detached moms can inflict autism without hardly trying: overprotective moms can turn any boy gay. Although that’s also, at the same time, entirely genetic, unlike anything else.

And considering how awful the results of bad early environments can be, it’s a wonder how the children of the Depression ever managed to do more than chip flint.

* Monozygotic, i.e. “identical”.
** The Extended Riemann Hypothesis.

The Other Shoe

While all the attention has been on Robert Mueller’s abusive inquisition into factitious allegations about Donald Trump’s “collusion” with Russia, there’s been another, far more serious, investigation moling away in the background: DOJ Inspector General Horowitz’s inquiry into the Clinton Foundation and Obama administration’s shady dealings with Rosatom and Uranium One.

Wiring at National Review, the former Federal prosecutor and incisive legal analyst Andrew McCarthy laid out a detailed explanation late last year. His article began:

Let’s put the Uranium One scandal in perspective: The cool half-million bucks the Putin regime funneled to Bill Clinton was five times the amount it spent on those Facebook ads ”” the ones the media-Democrat complex ludicrously suggests swung the 2016 presidential election to Donald Trump.

The Facebook-ad buy, which started in June 2015 ”” before Donald Trump entered the race ”” was more left-wing agitprop (ads pushing hysteria on racism, immigration, guns, etc.) than electioneering. The Clintons’ own long-time political strategist Mark Penn estimates that just $6,500 went to actual electioneering. (You read that right: 65 hundred dollars.) By contrast, the staggering $500,000 payday from a Kremlin-tied Russian bank for a single speech was part of a multi-million-dollar influence-peddling scheme to enrich the former president and his wife, then”“secretary of state Hillary Clinton. At the time, Russia was plotting ”” successfully ”” to secure U.S. government approval for its acquisition of Uranium One, and with it, tens of billions of dollars in U.S. uranium reserves.

Here’s the kicker: The Uranium One scandal is not only, or even principally, a Clinton scandal. It is an Obama-administration scandal.

The Clintons were just doing what the Clintons do: cashing in on their “public service.’ The Obama administration, with Secretary Clinton at the forefront but hardly alone, was knowingly compromising American national-security interests. The administration green-lighted the transfer of control over one-fifth of American uranium-mining capacity to Russia, a hostile regime ”” and specifically to Russia’s state-controlled nuclear-energy conglomerate, Rosatom. Worse, at the time the administration approved the transfer, it knew that Rosatom’s American subsidiary was engaged in a lucrative racketeering enterprise that had already committed felony extortion, fraud, and money-laundering offenses.

The Obama administration also knew that congressional Republicans were trying to stop the transfer. Consequently, the Justice Department concealed what it knew. DOJ allowed the racketeering enterprise to continue compromising the American uranium industry rather than commencing a prosecution that would have scotched the transfer. Prosecutors waited four years before quietly pleading the case out for a song, in violation of Justice Department charging guidelines. Meanwhile, the administration stonewalled Congress, reportedly threatening an informant who wanted to go public.

I would summarize and excerpt the rest of Mr. McCarthy’s account here, but his article is already a cask-strength condensation of this complex and outrageous affair. It is a sickening story of venality and corruption at the highest levels of government, and you should read it for yourself, slowly and carefully. Suffice it to say that it seems clear that the Clintons and the Obama DOJ worked together to suppress a major international money-laundering and extortion racket, while compromising U.S. national-security interests in order to enrich and protect the Clintons and their benefactors, and to further the Obama/Clinton “reset” initiative.

Getting back to current events, the Epoch Times reports on several recent actions by federal investigators: a seizure of documents from a Uranium One whistleblower, two accelerating money-laundering investigations into European banks, and the indictment of one Abul Farouki, a Clinton Foundation donor and Clinton Global Initiative crony, for a variety of international mischief, including defrauding the U.S. military and money-laundering.

What will come of all this? Nothing, perhaps; it is not cynicism to imagine, in this dark world, that power and money and blackmail and intimidation may prevail against justice. If Mrs. Clinton had been elected, it would have been a certainty. But by an astonishing act of Providence, she wasn’t — and so we will watch and wait, and hope.

Judith Curry On Sea Level Rise

Actual Climate Scientist Dr. Judith Curry has spent eighteen months reviewing the issue of sea-level rise. Her report is here.

Briefly, her conclusions are:

Is the recent sea level rise (since 1993) of magnitude 3 mm/year unusual?

No, although this conclusion is conditional on the quality of the global sea level data. The available evidence shows the following:

Sea level was apparently higher than present at the time of the Holocene Climate Optimum (~ 5000 years ago), at least in some regions.
Tide gauges show that sea levels began to rise during the 19th century, after several centuries associated with cooling and sea level decline. Tide gauges also show that rates of global mean sea level rise between 1920 and 1950 were comparable to recent rates.

Recent research has concluded that there is no consistent or compelling evidence that recent rates of sea level rise are abnormal in the context of the historical records back to the 19th century that are available across Europe.

Has recent global sea level rise been caused by human-caused global warming?

Identifying a potential human fingerprint on recent sea level rise is confounded by the large magnitude of natural internal variability associated with ocean circulation patterns. There is not yet convincing evidence of a fingerprint on sea level rise associated with human-caused global warming:

The slow emergence of fossil fuel emissions prior to 1950 did not contribute significantly to sea level rise observed in the 19th and early 20th centuries.
The recent acceleration in mean global sea level rise (since 1995) is caused by mass loss from Greenland that appears to have been larger during the 1930’s, with both periods associated with the warm phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.

To what extent is local sea level rise influenced by global sea level rise?

In many of the most vulnerable coastal locations, the dominant causes of local sea level rise are natural oceanic and geologic processes and land use practices. Land use and engineering in the major coastal cities have brought on many of the worst problems, notably landfilling in coastal wetland areas and groundwater extraction.

How much will sea level rise in the 21st century?

Local sea level in many regions will continue to rise in the 21st century — independent of global climate change.

Emissions scenario choice exerts a great deal of influence on predicted sea level rise after 2050. If RCP8.5 is rejected as an extremely unlikely or impossible scenario, then the appropriate range of sea level rise scenarios to consider for 2100 is 0.2 – 1.6 m. Values exceeding 2 feet are increasingly weakly justified. Values exceeding 1.6 m require a cascade of extremely unlikely to impossible events, the joint likelihood of which is arguably impossible.

Further, these values of sea level rise are contingent on the climate models predicting the correct amount of temperature increase. There are numerous reasons to think that the climate models are predicting too much warming for the 21st century, and hence the more extreme values of sea level rise (above 1 m) are arguably too high.

Oh, Lay Off It Already

I’m getting awfully tired of powerful and successful people who, upon receiving some award or other, take care to inform us how “humbled” they are by it.

Hogwash. Nobody is ever “humbled” by this sort of thing. In truth it makes any normal man purr in happy assurance of his own excellence, and causes his ego to inflate like the throat-pouch of a frog.

The Caravan: A NightWatch Special Comment

This over the transom during the wee hours, from John McCreary’s NightWatch:

A brief living systems analysis of the caravan that trekked from Honduras to Tijuana provides insights about the phenomenon of the caravan.

The caravan emerged as a living system when it left San Pedro Sula in northern Honduras. There is a history of anti-government unrest and demonstrations in that city.

In January, anti-government demonstrations in San Pedro Sula were disrupted by the earthquake that month in Honduras. The slow pace of reconstruction appears to be the government’s response to entrenched opposition activity and would explain a lack of jobs and prospects.

There is a political undercurrent to the caravan that has not been reported. Honduras seems to have exported political agitators. If so, the Tegucigalpa government would have been pleased to facilitate their departure.

The fact that the caravan held together through the journey means that all 20 subsystems of a living system received their share of the information, matter and energy required to sustain the life of the system, the caravan.

Inputs of information, matter and energy sustain life in all living systems, from amoebas to the United Nations.

The information requirement for a mobile living system is substantial. People need to be counted, identified and monitored. Special needs must be met.

The caravan moved purposefully which means that some people were providing guidance and direction and possessed problem-solving authority and resources. No reporters pursued their identities or their motives, but those are key traits of the information processing subsystem of a living system.

It is vital for the leadership to provide information in a living system about the sources of food and water; public health and hygiene; places to camp and find entertainment; the sources of tents, toilet tissue and soap; how and where to obtain essential items and how to allocate them.

Somebody charted the route for the caravan to take and ensured it followed it.

In terms of matter, a few reporters posted images of the lines of tractor trailer trucks that supported the movement. These apparently contained the supplies, including tents and daily necessities, needed to provide about 2,000 calories per day for each of up to 7,000 people, mostly men.

A key subsystem of a living system is waste extrusion. 7,000 people leave about 3.5 tons of waste every day.

Relative to matter, good walking shoes would be vital for making a long hike, not sneakers or flip-flops, which were common on videos.

The most important unanswered question about matter is by whom and how was this caravan financed. Some videos showed unidentified individuals passing out cash to caravan members at road stops, but the source of the funds was never reported by open source reporters.

Concerning energy, the line of tractor trailers means that access to motor fuels was as essential as food and water. It also suggests that the caravan members did not rely primarily on shanks’ mare in making the trek.

In a living systems analysis, the caravan was a complex living system. Nothing about it looks spontaneous or unorganized. It was well financed and effective as a living system. Its ultimate purpose will not be known until the leaders and backers are identified and questioned.

Thinking Inside The Box

Recording technology has undergone a fundamental change over the past couple of decades, and what has changed the most, and has caused the most controversy, is the move to “mixing in the box”.

I’ll give some background for those of you who aren’t familiar with what this means:

In multi-track recording, individual instruments and vocals are recorded on their own isolated tracks. This means that a key part of record-making is blending those individual tracks into the final product: a composite sound-field, usually in stereo, in which the instruments and voices are carefully balanced and positioned.

There are a practically infinite number of options and choices for the engineer to make when mixing. For each instrument or vocal, at minimum there are choices to make about dynamics (how loud or soft to make the instrument in different parts of the song), tone (adjusting the “brightness” or “warmth” of the sound), panning (where the instrument should be positioned along the left-right axis), and depth (how “present” the voice or instrument should be, which roughly corresponds to position along the subjectively perceived near-far axis).

For tone, we use “equalizers” (a.k.a. “EQ”) and “filters” — devices that boost or cut specific ranges of audio frequencies. All modern recording consoles have one of these built in to every channel, and every brand and model has its own distinctive qualities. There are also scores, if not hundreds, of free-standing (or “outboard”) EQs to choose from; typically a well-equipped studio would have several of these available that an engineer could patch in if the console’s inboard EQ wasn’t quite giving him what he wanted for a particular track. Many of the more popular console manufacturers, such as Neve, API, and Solid State Logic, also made their inboard EQs available for sale as outboard units.

For dynamics, there is, first and foremost, a fader — a sliding, linear volume controller. But there are also useful electronic processors that control volume automatically in various ways. A “compressor”, for example, is a line amplifier with an adjustable threshold; if the input level exceeds the threshold, the gain of the amplifier is automatically reduced. This is handy in general for controlling a track that has occasional loudness peaks that would be difficult to smooth out by hand, but it can also squeeze and fatten a sound in pleasing ways. As with equalizers, there are many, many types of compressors, and any good studio of my era would have a lot of them lying around.

For depth, which as more subtle and subjective quality, we use reverberation, which simulates the diffused and extended sounds of large acoustic spaces — chambers, concert halls, churches, etc. — and echoes, which are delayed and transformed repeats of the input sound, bouncing in from various directions. For all of these, there are once again a great variety of devices, ranging from actual “live” chambers (only high-end studios, generally, could offer those), to suspended metal plates, to, starting in the late 70s and getting better ever since, electronic processors capable of simulating various acoustic spaces.

These are only a few of the tools in the mixer’s kit — there are lots of other tricks and gadgets to produce more exotic effects as well, such as phasing, flanging, pitch-shifting, harmonic distortion, and so on. The good studios were well-stocked with these things.

As you can imagine, the cost of all this equipment quickly added up, and the studios passed the expense along to their clients, usually by the hour. (An hour of studio time at Power Station in 1980 or so cost $250; adjusted for inflation, in 2018 dollars, that would be over $750.) A high-end console alone could cost hundreds of thousands of dollars, and when you throw in all of those outboard processors and tape machines, putting together a state-of-the art mixing room could easily run into seven figures. But it was rooms like these where all the hit records of the past were mixed. For the engineer, the studio, and particularly the console, was the instrument: we played it all with our hands. What’s more, those big, hot analog consoles and outboard gear had not just physical, but sonic warmth; there was something about blending all that sound through all those channels and busses and tubes and amplifiers that the early digital gear simply couldn’t duplicate.

So: along comes Pro Tools — a digital platform that comprises a virtual console, signal processors, and multi-track recorder all in one. I remember when we saw its first incarnation at Power Station back in the early 80s; back then it was called Sound Tools, and it was nothing more than a two-track digital recorder and editor. But it has come a very long way since then, and it is now a complete recording and mixing system “in a box”. Instead of spending upwards of a million dollars, it’s possible to put together a top-of-the-line Pro Tools mixing system, including good monitor speakers, for under $15,000.

This has led to a debate among professional engineers: it’s obvious what’s cheaper, but what’s better? If money isn’t an object, how would you rather mix a record: in a high-end studio with a big, warm, analog console, a physical fader for every track, racks filled with “vintage” outboard gear, and a rich, tactile experience — or sitting in front of a computer screen, manipulating everything with a keyboard, a mouse, and perhaps a small control-surface?

Most engineers starting out today have never even had the chance to experience mixing on a big physical console, and a lot of them wish they could. To be able to have the whole mix literally at your fingertips, to spread your hands across the faders and to have every parameter of every channel under direct, intuitive control, to feel the warmth and weight of the console in the sound itself, is for engineers of my generation what mixing was. It’s a hard thing to say goodbye to.

But I’ll probably never do it again. Here’s why:

First: sound quality is no longer an issue. All that analog harmonic “warmth” has been meticulously analyzed and digitally modeled. Whatever all those Neve and SSL channels were adding to the sound is now available to the engineer in Pro Tools as well. The “coldness” of digital audio was a legitimate concern in the early days. Now it simply isn’t (and don’t let anyone tell you otherwise).

Second: in a physical studio, even the best ones, you might have available only a few of each type of outboard processor. If, for example, you love the smooth effect of vintage Pultec equalizers, and the room you were mixing in had three of them available, that meant that if you used one on the acoustic guitar and two on the drum overheads, you didn’t have another left over later on to put on the lead vocal. But — lo and behold — several different companies have made precise digital models of these old EQs, and once you buy the software “plugin”, you can use separate instances of it on as many tracks as you like. So instead of owning three physical Pultecs for $3500 each, you can have as many as you want for next to nothing. (As I write this, that plugin is on sale for $29.) I often use a dozen or more in a mix. They sound — trust me — just like the real thing. Pretty much every piece of gear you might have found in a top-notch studio of my era — compressors, limiters, and every other kind of signal processor, and even the tape machines themselves — has been carefully modeled as a digital plugin. What’s more, some of the best studios of the old days — Abbey Road in particular — have modeled their custom-made consoles, reverb units, live chambers, tape effects, etc. as digital plugins.

Third: in the physical studio, once a mix has been printed to tape, the console, along with the rest of the control-room, is reset to normal for the next piece of work. If, after listening to a mix for a few days, the producer decides to change a few things, the engineer must spend a long time — typically an hour or two — getting the console, and all the outboard gear, set up just the way it had been (this also means that somebody, usually an underpaid assistant, had to write down all the settings of all that old rack-mounted gear, and document all the patch-bay connections, before putting everything away). In Pro Tools, though, everything is just saved to a session file; reloading a mix just as it was left off typically takes less than a minute.

Fourth: on the old mixing consoles, you could automate fader levels and channel mutes, but not a lot more. If you wanted to make changes to other things in different parts of the mix — panning, effects sends, EQ settings, etc. — you had to do it by hand, “on the fly”, or use duplicate channels, with different settings, to automate them. In Pro Tools every parameter of everything in the mix is fully programmable, including all of those third-party-plugins.

Fifth: even the biggest consoles had their limits. I can’t recall what the biggest one I ever worked on was, but I think it was a 96-channel SSL someplace. That’s a lot of real estate; the thing was probably about fifteen or twenty feet long. Pro Tools just adds channels as you need them; if your project requires it, you can have hundreds — and rather than scooting back and forth from one end of the console to another (which means that you spend a lot of time outside the focal point of your monitor speakers), you can stay in one place and scroll the console.

Sixth: for the creative musician, there is also an astonishing variety of virtual instruments available: synthesizers of every kind, as well as painstakingly modeled and sampled drum-kits, pianos, organs, orchestral ensembles, and ethnic instruments from around the world. There are virtual versions of old favorites, too: I have, for example, a Mellotron, a Fender Rhodes, a Hammond B-3 (with Leslie cabinet), and — one of my favorites — a virtual drum-kit recorded, at my old alma mater Power Station, by my friend Neil Dorfsman. It’s as if I never left. For the guitarist or bassist, there are also beautifully constructed models of favorite amps. I couldn’t afford to buy a Marshall stack, a Mesa Boogie, a Fender Twin, an Ampeg B-15, and a Vox AC-30 — but now I have them all, and a whole lot more. All I have to do is plug in.

Finally: the money is an object. In my basement I have a state-of-the-art Pro Tools system, with scores of plugins and virtual instruments, in a smallish room that I built for the purpose. As a man of modest means, I could never have afforded to build such a thing around an analog console. I can mix for my clients in there without sacrificing anything at all in terms of quality, and indeed I can do things on this system that would not have been possible even in the most lavishly appointed analog rooms in the world. (I know, because I’ve worked in them.)

Do I miss the old consoles, and the palatial, well-staffed studios that housed them? Yes, I most certainly do; I was lucky enough to experience the “old way” at its very best, way back when it was the only way. Now, instead, I mix by myself, staring at a screen in a small room in my basement. Gone is the social aspect of those bygone days, too; my clients now are usually far away, and we send files back and forth over the Internet. I especially miss the physicality of the old way: it has taken me years to give up the feel of the old familiar instrument, and to get used to the all-virtual experience.

But there’s no going back. Now that I am fully acclimated to the new way I can say without reservation that it’s not only cheaper, and more flexible: it’s better.

So: mixing “in the box”? I’m in.

Never Let Me Down

Thirty-two years ago this week, I spent a fortnight or so behind the console in Studio C at Power Station Studios, recording overdubs for David Bowie’s album Never Let Me Down. The record is generally looked back on as one of his weaker and more time-bound efforts: it’s a fossil of 1980s record-production, preserved in vinyl instead of amber.

Nevertheless, it has some good points (and I’ll say it was a pleasure for me to spend the time working with Mr. Bowie, producer Dave Richards, guitarist Carlos Alomar, and the other talented musicians who contributed to the record). Now I’ve just run across a discussion of this album with British music critic Nicholas Pegg, who tells us it is well worth another listen. I think he’s right.

The podcast is here.

Happy Thanksgiving…

… to all of you. We have much indeed to be thankful for.

When The Baby Gets Hold Of A Hammer

A couple of weeks ago the voters of New York’s 14th Congressional district, in a spasm of petulant unwisdom, elected to the House of Representatives one Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a garrulous, bug-eyed Jacobin ignoramus not even out of her twenties. Today I learned that the United Nations has appointed Millie Bobbie Brown, a television actress only fourteen years of age, to be UNICEF’s “youngest-ever goodwill ambassador”.

This follows closely upon months of our being lectured, from every mainstream-media pulpit, by an intensely irritating blister of a boy by the name of David Hogg, who somehow got himself anointed the nation’s moral and philosophical authority on the banning of guns. This pestiferous little tick is all of eighteen years old.

We need, I think, a new word for what it seems the nation is becoming, so I’ll offer one: a juvenocracy.

How can this be happening? The answer is that, for several decades now, we have so aggressively sawed off, denounced, and rejected all of our nation’s and culture’s past, that even living adults are now far too embedded in it to be allowed any influential role in the present.

The result? Juvenocracy. Get used to it, you old farts.

Eric Swalwell vs. The Second Amendment: A Fool Rushes In

In a recent USA Today opinion piece, the East Bay Democrat congressman Eric Swalwell proposed a mandatory government “buyback” of what he calls “military-style semiautomatic assault weapons” — i.e., ordinary semiautomatic rifles with scary-looking external features. (A gun “buyback” is when the government takes money from you in taxes, then gives you a little of it back in order to take your guns.)

On Twitter, a member of the gun-owning public suggested that this would be conducive to civil war. Mr. Swalwell replied that this would be a “short war”, because the government has nukes.

I’ve been hearing this silly argument for years from my liberal friends: that the Second Amendment is obsolete as a bulwark against tyranny, because the government has overwhelming military power. To make such an argument against a fundamental, Constitutionally protected right requires not only a typically unreflective combination of arrogance and moral flabbiness – should we really defend only those rights that cannot be opposed by powerful bullies? — but also a solipsistic (and equally typical) ignorance of history, particularly military history, and of traditional American culture. There are so many errors in the argument that one hardly knows where to begin.

We should be grateful, then, to Mr. Larry Correia, who has written a characteristically excellent post demolishing this nonsense in all its particulars. (Thanks also to the indefatigable “JK”, who sent us the link.) We’ve linked to Mr. Correia before; with the possible exception of John R. Lott, it’s hard to think of anyone who writes more effectively on gun-control issues.

The essay begins:

Last week a congressman embarrassed himself on Twitter. He got into a debate about gun control, suggested a mandatory buyback””which is basically confiscation with a happy face sticker on it””and when someone told him that they would resist, he said resistance was futile because the government has nukes.

And everybody was like, wait, what?

Of course the congressman is now saying that using nuclear weapons on American gun owners was an exaggeration, he just wanted to rhetorically demonstrate that the all-powerful government could crush us peasants like bugs, they hold our pathetic lives in their iron hand, and he’d never ever advocate for the use of nuclear weapons on American soil (that would be bad for the environment!), and instead he merely wants to send a SWAT team to your house to shoot you in the face if you don’t comply.

See? That’s way better.

A piquant sample from a bit farther along:

A friend of mine who is a political activist said something interesting the other day, and that was for most people on the left political violence is a knob, and they can turn the heat up and down, with things like protests, and riots, all the way up to destruction of property, and sometimes murder”¦ But for the vast majority of folks on the right, it’s an off and on switch. And the settings are Vote or Shoot Fucking Everybody. And believe me, you really don’t want that switch to get flipped, because Civil War 2.0 would make Bosnia look like a trip to Disneyworld.

Speaking of ugly, do you really honestly think that you’re going to be able to kill people because they disagree with you, and they won’t hit you back where it hurts? While you’re drone striking Omaha Nebraska you really think that the people who live where all the food is grown, the electricity is generated, and all the freeways and rail lines run through, that some of them aren’t going to take it personal? And that they’re not going to use their location and access to make life extremely uncomfortable for you?

The most valuable part of Mr. Correia’s essay is his attention to what is almost always overlooked when this topic comes up: the numbers. For example:

Okay, so let’s say Congressman Swalwell gets his wish, and the government says turn them in or else. And even though the government has become tyrannical enough to send SWAT teams door to door and threaten citizens with drones and attack helicopters, rather than half the states saying fuck you, this means Civil War 2, instead we’ll stick to the rosiest of all possible outcomes, and say that most gun owners comply.

In fact, let’s be super kind. Rather than a realistic number, like half or a third of those people getting really, really pissed off and hoisting the black flag, let’s say that 99% of them decide to totally put all their faith into the government, and that the all-powerful entity which just threatened to kill their entire family will never ever turn tyrannical from now on, pinky swear, so what do they have to lose? And a whopping 90% of gun owners go along peacefully.

That means you are only dealing with six and a half MILLION insurgents. The entire active US military is about 1.3 million, with about 800,000 reserve. Which is also assuming that those two Venn diagrams don’t overlap, which is just plain idiotic, but I’ll get to that too.

Let’s be super generous. I’m talking absurdly generous, and say that a full 99% of US gun owners say won’t somebody think of the children and all hold hands and sing kumbaya, so that then you are only dealing with the angriest, listless malcontents who hate progress”¦ These are those crazy, knuckle dragging bastards who you will have to put in the ground.

And there are 650,000 of them.

To put that into perspective, we were fighting 22,000 insurgents in Iraq, a country which would fit comfortably inside Texas with plenty of room to spare. This would be almost 30 times as many fighters, spread across 22 times the area.

And that estimated number is pathetically, laughably low.

Enough excerpts. Go and read the whole thing.

Why I Am Not A Libertarian

Traditional culture joins and harnesses the energies of individual lives to a great common structure, in order to lift it into the sky. Not all such programs succeed in getting into orbit; some even explode on the launch-pad. A few, though, may achieve escape velocity.

Libertarianism, by comparison, is just a profusion of bottle-rockets.

Some Good News, For A Change

I’m very happy to report that John Batchelor, whose three-hour program every weeknight is the best thing on all of radio, is back on the air after a sudden two-week departure. Three days ago he tweeted this, which I’d missed at the time:

Hi

The good news is that after a 7 hour surgery and 7 days in the spectacular Sloan-Kettering Head and Neck Cancer Ward, I am declared free of cancer.

The better news is that I am approved to return to air on Monday 19 November.

answered prayers and cheers J

Mr. Batchelor’s speech tonight is noticeably affected. It must have been a grueling ordeal, and to put himself back in harness after such a brief convalescence shows remarkable discipline and dedication. I am sure that I speak for all of his listeners when I say how concerned we have been for him, how much we have missed his indispensable conversation and analysis, and how very relieved we are to have him with us again.

Welcome back, sir, and may you make a full, speedy, and lasting recovery.

Just Another Day In Mouse Utopia

A while back, as further evidence that grievance is fractal, I offered a little post about “TERF War“: the bitter Top-Victim rivalry between radical feminists and men identifying as women.

The battle rages on, with a defeat for the biological females in the latest skirmish: apparently a midwestern university has now banned The Vagina Monologues.

Why? Because lots of women have penises, that’s why. Duh.

Turn, Turn, Turn

Over at The Orthoshpere, J.M. Smith, who has just turned sixty-one, has posted a piercing essay on the stages of life: not just the lives of men, but of civilizations. They have a great deal in common.

We read:

It is not only the lives of men that can be seen as passing through a cycle of ages or seasons. Until the modern age, it was generally supposed that nations, states and civilizations also followed an ineluctable path of birth, growth, maturity and decline, and that the quality of each stage in this cycle was different. A decayed nation might pass under the same name and occupy the same territory as it had in its vigorous youth, but it was no longer that youthful and vigorous nation. As Byron wrote of Greece subjugated by the Turk:

Such is the aspect of this shore:
’Tis Greece, but living Greece no more.’

Modern civilization rejects cyclical time and asserts that it has embarked on a path of perpetual progress.

Drawing on Polybius, Mr. Smith reminds us of the reliable progression: from anarchy, to strong-man rule, to kingdom, to aristocracy, to oligarchy, and from oligarchy, through democracy, back to anarchy — where the cycle begins anew. He describes the last turn of the wheel:

Disgusted with the corrupt oligarchy, the multitude seizes power and establishes a democracy. Like its predecessors, the democratic order is at first virtuous and austere; but power works its evil on the multitude just as it worked its evil on the king and the aristocrats. It is now the turn of the common man to grow insolent and self-indulgent, and to misuse his political power as a means to secure private privileges.

“When the people themselves become haughty and intractable, and reject all law, to democracy succeeds, in the course of time, the government of the multitude.’

Government of the multitude is the decadent phase of the democratic age. It is marked by widespread dependence on state subsidies, personal profligacy, and increasingly rancorous quarreling between factions that are rivals for subsidies or adversaries in profligacy. This leads to an anarchy that is ended by the emergence of a new strong man.

“Once the people are accustomed to be fed . . . and to derive all the means of their subsistence from the wealth of other citizens . . . then commences the government of the multitude: who run together in tumultuous assemblies . . . till being reduced at last to a state of savage anarchy, they once more find a master and a monarch.’

A decadent democracy cannot rejuvenate itself because the cycle does not run in reverse.

Read the whole thing here.

Burning It All To The Ground

The persecution of heretics that has become the chief feature of our age continues: the latest occupant of the ducking-stool is no less than the great cultural and intellectual eminence Sir Roger Scruton.

Learn more here.

Drums Along The Potomac

I’ve written before about the ongoing series of conversations between radio host John Batchelor and war historian Michael Vlahos about America’s present-day run-up to a third civil war.

Mr. Batchelor is convalescing at the moment (get well soon, sir!), and has been running archived material for the last couple of weeks. Professor Vlahos, though, has just published a substantial essay on this worrisome topic. It covers much of what he and Mr. Batchelor have discussed in these last months. Read it here.

Freeman Dyson On Scientific Tribalism, Jordan Peterson On the Idiocy Of Climatism, And NASA on Cooling

Not long ago the great physicist Freeman Dyson wrote an introduction to a report on the beneficial aspects of higher carbon dioxide levels. In it he asked:

The people who are supposed to be the experts and who claim to understand the science are precisely the people who are blind to the evidence. That to me is the central mystery of climate science. It is not a scientific mystery but a human mystery. How does it happen that the whole generation of scientific experts is blind to obvious facts?

He continues:

Indur Goklany has assembled a massive collection of evidence to demonstrate two facts. First, the non-climatic effects of carbon dioxide are dominant over the climatic effects and are overwhelmingly beneficial. Second, the climatic effects observed in the real world are much less damaging than the effects predicted by the climate models, and have also been frequently beneficial. I am hoping that the scientists and politicians who have been blindly demonizing carbon dioxide for 37 years will one day open their eyes and look at the evidence.

Read more here. See also Dr. Dyson’s remarks from a decade ago, as noted here.

Next, here’s Jordan Peterson being asked if “Climate Change” will be the catastrophic problem that finally causes Left and Right to come together, at last, to Do Something. His answer: “No.” Here’s why.

Finally, NASA tells us that we should expect not warming, but cooling, as the Sun enters a quiet period. In a post about this three years ago, I recommended to all of you a book called The Neglected Sun, which describes in meticulous detail the primary role of the Sun in controlling the Earth’s climate (something that seems stubbornly to be ignored by climate alarmists). I recommend it to you still.

Service Notice

My (very) elderly mother-in-law is in an ICU after a fall. I doubt I’ll be writing anything here for at least a few days.

Glad THAT’s Over

Well, here we are, on the morrow of the midterms. We’ve picked up seats in the Senate and narrowly lost the House. The unspeakably loathsome Andrew Cuomo will harass and insult conservative New Yorkers for another four years, while Elizabeth Warren today is heap happy squaw. Bug-eyed Communist ignoramus Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will have her chance to help drive a newly revived economy back into wasting illness, and to continue making a fool of herself in public. Maxine Waters and Adam Schiff, lowering their backsides into committee chairs, will seek vengeance therefrom. The machinery of Congress will grind, noisily, to a smoking halt. Indictment! and Impeachment! will be the order of the day.

On the brighter side, Cabinet and judicial appointments should sail along briskly. Whatever mischief the Democrats attempt in the House will be snuffed out in the Senate. And the nation will get a good long look at what Democrats like to do when voters are foolish enough to let them out of their cage.

Kris Kobach lost his bid for the governership of Kansas. Jeff Sessions has just resigned as Attorney General. I believe those dots will soon be connected.

We’ll see what happens next with the Mueller investigation. Many a Democrat heart has fluttered with the hope that he was just waiting till after the elections to drop a bomb on Mr. Trump. I doubt it.

Anyway, that’s that for another two years. I’m sure you will all agree that it’s a bit of a relief.

What Was Oumuamua?

You may recall the curious object Oumuamua, a visitor from beyond the solar system that passed by the Sun on a hyperbolic orbit late last year. It was no ordinary asteroid: it had a strange pattern of reflection that suggested it was a long, skinny cylinder, and as it left our solar system it appeared to be accelerating.

Now a pair of researchers from Harvard — one of whom is the chair of the astronomy department — have published a paper suggesting that it might have been an artifact known as “light sail”. Learn more here.

Europe To Move Out Of Daddy’s Basement?

Well, this is interesting: 73 years after the end of World War II, and 26 years after the Maastricht Treaty, French president Emmanuel Macron is calling on the European Union to begin taking responsibility for its own strategic security.

This is another of the issues that Donald Trump campaigned on. The generous public benefits offered by the European social democracies have been made possible, in part, by America’s having picked up the tab for Europe’s defense. These programs have already found themselves strained by Europe’s admission of millions of new dependents under self-flagellating immigration and refugee policies; shouldering the burden of the Continent’s military protection will squeeze them further. This in turn would, I think, focus increased public attention on the cost of mass immigration, and might help tip the balance of public opinion — which seems already to be shifting — against this suicidal folly.

Meanwhile, of course, we’d save a fortune over here. So: everybody wins.

Here We Go

OK – it’s Election Day. Republicans: the polls are open. You know what to do.

Democrats: it looks like rain, and your guys are probably going to win anyway. I think you’re off the hook.

Service Notice

In Baltimore for a conference this weekend. Back next week.

Northern Exposure

The next skirmish in the war for religious rights and freedom of association might be the case of the Hope Center, of Anchorage Alaska, a Christian charitable organization that provides succor for the poor and downtrodden. Among the services it provides is a women’s shelter. The shelter’s clients are typically victims of domestic and sexual abuse by men, and the center’s mission for the past thirty years, “inspired by the love of Jesus”, has been to offer them “support, shelter, sustenance, and the skills to transform their lives”.

Well, leave it to the modern Left to ruin everything that falls under its baleful eye, as always. Apparently the Hope Center one night turned away a drunken man, claiming to be a woman, who wanted to enter the premises to sleep in the women’s shelter. The center gave the man, who did not seem well, carfare to the hospital and sent him on his way. It appears that by doing so the shelter has run afoul of a city law requiring them to treat everyone as the sex they announce themselves to be. In the opinion of the shelter, it would not be kind to the women staying there (who, as noted above, have in many cases been sexually ill-treated by men, and have come to the shelter as a haven from them), to have a biological male living among them in what, as you can imagine, are rather intimate circumstances. The center has now filed a federal lawsuit seeking an injunction against the city. A report by the Anchorage TV station KTUU quotes a representative of the Alliance Defending Freedom, who are handling the suit:

“It would not only be dangerous and against common sense, but would violate the Hope Center’s sincerely held religious beliefs to admit biological men into its shelter and allow them to sleep side by side and disrobe next to women, some of whom have been assaulted by men and fear for their safety,’ ADF wrote in its federal complaint against the City of Anchorage and the Anchorage Equal Rights Commission.

Early days yet on this one. May Hope prevail.

Out Of One, Many

With the mid-term elections less than a week away, Angelo Codevilla surveys the social and political battlefield that the United States — now more disunited than at any time since our last Civil War — has become.

His essay begins:

Prior to the 2016 election I explained how America had already “stepped over the threshold of a revolution,’ that it was “difficult to imagine how we might step back, and futile to speculate how it might end.’ Regardless of who won the election, its sentiments’ growing “volume and intensity’ would empower politicians on all sides sure to make us nostalgic for Donald Trump’s and Hilary Clinton’s moderation. Having begun, this revolution would follow its own logic.

What follows dissects that logic. It has unfolded faster than foreseen. Its sentiments’ spiraling volume and intensity have eliminated any possibility of “stepping back.’

The Democratic Party and the millions it represents having refused to accept 2016’s results; having used their positions of power in government and society to prevent the winners from exercising the powers earned by election; declaring in vehement words and violent deeds the illegitimacy, morbidity, even criminality, of persons and ideas contrary to themselves; bet that this “resistance’ would so energize their constituencies, and so depress their opponents’, that subsequent elections would prove 2016 to have been an anomaly and further confirm their primacy in America. The 2018 Congressional elections are that strategy’s first major test.

Toward the end of the article, Mr. Codevilla looks at an unlikely best-case scenario: the Republicans keep the House and Senate in 2018, and the presidency in 2020:

Were a conservative to win the 2020 presidential election, dealing with the Progressives’ renewed resistance would be his administration’s most pressing problem. But had the Left’s resistance failed utterly during the previous four years, it may be possible to convince it to switch from its present offensive mode to a defensive one. Were this to be the happy case, the conservative side of American life, operating from a dominant position, might be able to obtain agreement to some form of true federalism.

Unattainable, and gone forever, is the whole American Republic that had existed for some 200 years after 1776. The people and the habits of heart and mind that had made it possible are no longer a majority. Progressives made America a different nation by rejecting those habits and those traditions. As of today, they would use all their powers to prevent others from living in the manner of the Republic. But, perhaps, after their offensive resistance’s failure, they might be reconciled to govern themselves as they wish in states where they command a majority, while not interfering with other Americans governing themselves in their way in the states where they are a majority.

As best-case scenarios go, that’s a gloomy prognosis for the American nation I am old enough to remember. But we have seen this coming for a long time now.

The question that still wants answering, I think, is the one I raised in our recent discussion with Michael Anton about the Founding:

Was the Founding itself a wrong turn? Were the axioms and premises behind the architecture of the United States sufficiently flawed as to doom the whole enterprise ab ovo?

For the dominant faction of the contemporary American Right, the answer is simply No, and that’s that. We have strayed, and all of the nation’s contemporary ills are the result.

For the radical Left, the answer is a resounding Yes; indeed the mere fact that the nation was designed by white men, some of whom were slave-owners, is enough to taint the whole thing beyond any hope of redemption. It all has to go, root and branch.

The question is also an open one, though, for those of us to the right of the Right. Clearly we have strayed from the Founding, a very long way indeed, with many injurious consequences. But was this inevitable? Is it irreversible? What is the way forward? (What, exactly, do we want, anyway?) Look at the Declaration of Independence, which has been, up until my time at least, the American equivalent of Scripture. It is a stirring document, but it is also an article of revolutionary propaganda, arguably containing many testimonial falsehoods. More to the point, though, its preamble, which has reverberated throughout the history of the American nation, declares as “self-evident’ a set of propositions that a rational observer could not only call into question, but believe to be self-evidently false. Upon how solid a philosophical foundation, then, was the American nation actually erected? These questions give me little rest.

That earlier conversation (spread across several linked posts, starting here) arose from Mr. Anton’s review of a new book, The Political Theory of the American Founding, by Thomas G. West. I’ve since read the book, and should continue that series of posts in light of what I have learned from it.

Birthright Citizenship: President Trump Grasps The Nettle

This is promising: it appears that President Trump is going to declare, by executive order, an end to birthright citizenship for all but legal residents. The question of whether he has the power to do this, and whether birthright citizenship as currently understood is in accord with the Fourteenth Amendment, will then be taken up by the Supreme Court. And given the current composition of the Court, there’s reason to hope for a sensible ruling.

A central figure in the debate has been Claremont Fellow (and Hillsdale College professor) Michael Anton (with whom we had a brief correspondence, and some discussion in these pages, a few months ago). Mr. Anton has galvanized the debate this year by publishing several essays on the subject: in particular, a piece in the Washington Post last July, soon followed by Birthright Citizenship: A Response to my Critics, published by Claremont.

The American Mind, also a Claremont publication, has a post online that offers an excellent overview of the debate. It is rich in helpful links. Read it here.

Anthony Daniels On “Rights”, Multiculturalism, Power, And Freedom

Tonight I have for you a recent half-hour talk by Anthony Daniels (A.K.A. Theodore Dalrymple), on the corrosive combined effects of today’s expansive view of rights and the pernicious ideology of multiculturalism. I’ve transcribed some excerpts.

Dr. Daniels mentions that he had asked a young patient, who had announced with the glow of religious inspiration that she aspired to be a human-rights lawyer, where human rights came from. “After all,” he said, “there seem to be so many of them about these days!” She was stymied by the question, and appalled that he would ask it.

After a penetrating discussion of the blooming abundance of newly minted positive “rights” — he mentions such things as a “right” to clean water, or even to good hearing — he takes up the multiculturalist notion of group rights:

Rights, having first encouraged a kind of egotistical individualism in the population… are now widely believed also to inhere in or belong to groups, so long as those groups are perceived in some way to be handicapped or oppressed or victimized, nor or at some time in the past.

… [T]hese rights often conflict, but this is all to the advantage of a bureaucratic apparatus of adjudicators. Among the group rights claimed in practice by the leaders of groups (who are themselves almost always self-appointed) is the right not to be offended — which of course includes the right to decide what is offensive. There is no need for an objective correlative: you are offended, of course, if you say you are. But just as the appetite grows with eating, so does taking offense increase with having taken previous offense — and since taking offense gives one the right to decree what may or may not be said, being offended actually becomes an exercise in power.

This is very good, and very clear: the ostentatious (and dissent-stifling) moral lexicon of oppression accompanying our new and hegemonic culture of positive “rights” is almost entirely a smokescreen for the arrogation of power. (Given also that the distribution of power that it facilitates, with the basis of that distribution being to put power in the hands of those who win the competition for most-oppressed (i.e. lowest) status, it is a system that is optimized to flatten all human gradients — and thus to maximize entropy. Again we see Leftism showing its true colors: it is not best understood as the embodiment of Statism, as so many seem to think, but of entropy.)

Dr. Daniels now takes up a theme of my own, one that I have called “the narrowing effect of diversity” (see also this post, from 2016, and this one, from 2013). He says:

It goes without saying that the more groups that claim the right not to be offended, on the grounds that either in the past or present they have been persecuted or maltreated, the narrower and narrower the range of opinion that can be expressed. Which groups are to be protected from from offense becomes itself a matter of conflict — but the fact of the matter is that the majority of the population now belongs to one minority or another that claims the right to decide what is offensive. An atmosphere not exactly of terror — that would be a bit of an exaggeration — but at least of fear and anxiety, that I think is now general, has resulted: people are afraid to speak their mind.

In conclusion:

Well, whatever one might think of the doctrine of human rights [as expressed in 1948], I think it fair to say it was intended to expand the scope of human freedom, and actually did so. But in our hands — I mean, in the hands of the intellectuals of our time — the doctrine of rights has been increasingly used to assume power and limit freedom. So in summary I would say that the notion of rights has the following effects:

It increases egotism and an insensate individualism. It increases self-esteem at the expense of self-respect (people have a right to self esteem!). It promotes a psychological dialectic between resentment and ingratitude — since what is received as a right, is not appreciated (since it is received as a right), and what is actually received is usually less than what people think they are entitled to, thus becoming a cause of resentment. It induces a permanent state of querulous vigilance, insofar as it is feared that one’s rights are being constantly infringed. It causes perpetual conflict between different people’s rights that are not compatible — an incompatibility that can only be resolved either by legal action (that’s in the best of cases), or, in some cases, violence. And insofar as rights are inalienable, they trump (if I may use that word) all other moral considerations. And while promoting personal egotism, they also promote group rights — which entails the Balkanization of society, and the promotion of the idea that the division of the spoils is the main aim of political and economic life.

Well worth your time, I think. Watch the whole thing here.

Now This

It’s hard to know what to say in the wake of the sickening horror in Pittsburgh today. Evil is real, and it is always at large in the world.

Eleven years ago, in the wake of the Virgina Tech massacre, I wrote this:

When this sort of thing happens, the natural reaction here in the U.S., where we are able to live our lives at a level of safety and comfort that is unparalleled in the history of the world, is to ask how we can prevent it from happening again. This isn’t some horrid Third World backwater, after all, where life is cheap; this is America, and if something is broken, we want the government to fix it. But underlying this attitude is the assumption that everything can be fixed; that we have an inalienable right to live tranquil and sheltered lives, and that what we get for living here and not, say, Darfur, or East Timor, or Baghdad, is that our children will be safe. And the amazing fact is that generally, they are.

But we should take a step back from our indignation to realize that we live brief and precarious lives on a speck of dust in a vast and indifferent Cosmos, and that despite our very best efforts the chaos, the blackness, the uncaring and infinite Wild that we so effectively manage to keep just beyond the gates is going to creep in now and then, and pick some of us off. We live in a firelit glade in the forest, and sometimes we forget how recently the ground was cleared, and how small a place we occupy in the wilderness all around us.

The madness that took those infinitely precious young lives was not a localized instance, nor is it “fixable’ by legislature. It was an eruption of a molten pool that lies beneath us all, and while our species passes through its awkward and painful adolescence ”” as the world is compressed ever more tightly, and as more and more of us are brought, willy-nilly, into random and kinetic interaction with one another ”” that heat and pressure will find its way to the surface again and again, until we transform not our governments, not our laws, but ourselves.

Homer Nods

Whelp, it appears that I got that one wrong. The “bomber” (to the extent that what he sent can be called “bombs”) now seems to be a Trump-loving loonie. (“With friends like that…”)

I thought William of Ockham was on my side on this one, for all the reasons I laid out in my earlier post. But tonight I can hear the old Schoolman’s voice chiding me across the centuries:

“Never attribute to wit what can be explained by stupidity.”

My bad, folks.

Hacking The Border

Replying to our recent post about the “caravan” approaching our southern border, commenter Jason asks:

From what I have read, there seems to be an honest albeit contentious difference of interpretation within the Trump administration over whether we can prevent South Americans from seeking asylum at the border, versus at various consulates throughout Mexico (and Central America). Wouldn’t the administration be strongly supporting your point publicly if the law were clear?

The question is whether American law requires that everyone seeking asylum be admitted first, then given a hearing in court as to the validity of their appeal — and it appears that it does. This constitutes a security flaw similar to those that hackers exploit to hijack software.

The way to attack this vulnerability would be to arrive at the border in such numbers that the system processing the applications would be overwhelmed. Given that each claim of refugee status requires extensive vetting and investigation, and given also that the agencies responsible for this are already strained to the limit, it wouldn’t take much of an increase in the flow of “refugees” to swamp the system beyond any hope of keeping up. The sympathies of our media would be monolithically aligned with the arriving hordes, and they would mount a sustained propaganda effort to arouse popular sentiment in favor of simply admitting everyone. Considerations of duty, due process, rule of law, and national security would be washed away by a flood of feminine tears as images of forlorn children blanketed the nation’s glowing screens. And once the first wave had breached the dam, everyone everywhere would understand that there are millions (billions!) more behind them, and no longer any consistent principle, moral or legal, by which the rest might be excluded.

That’s exactly what’s underway today. This caravan is no spontaneous movement; it is a carefully planned attempt to exploit a known weakness in our operating system’s code.

Here are the actual lines of that code (from 8 U.S. Code § 1158):

Any alien who is physically present in the United States or who arrives in the United States (whether or not at a designated port of arrival and including an alien who is brought to the United States after having been interdicted in international or United States waters), irrespective of such alien’s status, may apply for asylum in accordance with this section or, where applicable, section 1225(b) of this title.

Will it take an act of Congress to patch this loophole? Perhaps not. Note this phrase:

“…physically present in the United States or who arrives in the United States…”

We will see what happens next.

Pipe-Bomb, Or Petard?

OK, by now we’ve all heard today’s top story: suspicious devices delivered to prominent Democrats.

I’ll join the chorus of people saying this is a “false flag” operation. The whole thing is just so fishy, in so many ways:

1) Why would anyone bother sending bombs to Obama or the Clintons? They aren’t in power any more. It just isn’t the sort of thing people do.

2) Who would benefit the most from this, right before the election?

3) Why would law-enforcement officers let the thing be photographed, when it is the object of a hot investigation? There would normally be a complete blackout. And why would they let reporters get close to a potentially live bomb?

4) Who makes a pipe-bomb that looks like this? Wires hanging out of both ends?? Come on.

5) None of the people targeted even open their own mail. Duh.

6) What’s the deal with the un-canceled stamps?

7) Apparently there may even be an ISIS flag on the CNN bomb. Pipe bombs in the mail? That isn’t how ISIS does things. And ISIS are now unhinged Republicans, who only want to slaughter Democrats? Give me a break. (It’s a false flag squared!)

8) Most such devices are fakes. Actual bombings of this sort are extremely rare.

9) All these bombs, and not one of them worked? It’s pure theatrics.

10) Anonymously delivered bombs are weapons of disorder, anarchy, and chaos. Which side of America’s great political divide does that call to mind?

Just wait a few days. The only thing that’s going to blow up is this hoax.

Rashomon

Judicial Watch reports on the “refugee” caravan snaking toward our border, and paints rather a different picture than our major news media:

Besides gang members and mobs of young angry men, the Central American caravan making its way into the United States also consists of Africans, Bangladeshis, Sri Lankans and Indians. Judicial Watch is covering the crisis from the Guatemalan-Honduran border this week and observed that the popular mainstream media narrative of desperate migrants””many of them women and children””seeking a better life is hardly accurate. Guatemalan intelligence officials confirmed that the caravan that originated in the northern Honduran city of San Pedro Sula includes a multitude of Special Interest Aliens (SIA) from the countries listed above as well as other criminal elements and gang members.

There are also large groups of men, some with criminal histories, aggressively demanding that the U.S. take them in. During a visit to the Guatemalan town of Chiquimula, about 35 miles from the Honduran border, Judicial Watch encountered a rowdy group of about 600 men, ages 17 to about 40, marching north on a narrow two-lane highway. Among them was a 40-year-old Honduran man who previously lived in the United States for decades and got deported. His English was quite good, and he said his kids and girlfriend live in the U.S. Another man in his 30s contradicted media reports that caravan participants are fleeing violence and fear for their life. “We’re not scared,’ he said waving his index finger as others around him nodded in agreement. “We’re going to the United States to get jobs.’ Others chanted “vamos para allÁ¡ Trump!’ (We’re coming Trump) as they clenched their fists in the air.

More here.

Required Reading From Spandrell

Back in May I offered a post linking to Spandrell’s essays on what he calls “Bioleninism”: the enormous political power that becomes available to elites who are able to create durable coalitions of naturally low-status members of society.

If you haven’t read these yet, you really must do so; it’s all going to be on the final exam. You can start here.

Job #1

As I write, a column of foreign invaders is marching toward our border, intent on breaching it to enter the sovereign territory of the United States. Given that our Republic has a government in place that controls the world’s most powerful military, this is a thing that we should have ample resources to prevent. (As I understand it, protecting the nation’s frontiers against hostile incursion is any government’s primary responsibility; after all, if it fails at that it soon need not bother with anything else.)

As it happens, this invasion force is not a mechanized army of hundreds of divisions, but a rag-tag mass of pedestrians numbering only a few thousands. There should not be any problem here.

Right?

Service Notice

“No man is always in a disposition to write, nor has any man at all times something to say.”

– Dr. Johnson

(Also, I have house-guests. Back soon.)

Roll Over, Pepe, And Tell Wojack The News

If you’ve been trapped in rubble for the past couple of weeks, and have only just got back online, you might be puzzled to see ‘NPC’ everywhere you look. It stands for ‘non-player character”, and it’s a meme that has spread with amazing rapidity. It also seems to be particularly irritating to our new digital overlords. Learn more about it here.

Brave New World

Attention, all you myrmidons toiling distractedly in your little cubes, or struggling to shut out the bustle of the ant-heap as you type with your thumbs in some noisy cyber-cafe: thanks to the ingenuity of the Japanese, you can now equip yourself with horse-blinkers. And it gets even better: they will deafen you as well.

Learn more here. Are we loving modernity yet?