Service Notice

Longtime readers will have noticed the lack of substantial content here recently – just little odds and ends, mostly.

It’s mostly the Groundhog-Day monotony of this new life: the days, and the news they bring, never vary much. There is very little vitality or energy in the air, or on the air — just the great battle of our era grinding on, Red vs. Blue, with this damned virus merely the latest battleground, and all clarity lost in the fog of war. I have no idea how this will end — what will be restored, what will be changed or lost forever, or what the balance of forces will be, when the smoke clears. Nor does anyone else. Any attempt I might make at analysis or prediction, beyond what I think should be clear to any intelligent, observant, and historically literate adult (and therefore not really worth writing about), seems pointless.

I’ve had personal projects — music, study — to work on. I take long walks around Wellfleet, and on the hilly trails in the woods. I cook. Etc. None of it makes for very interesting blog-fodder. It’s increasingly hard to find things to say that I haven’t already said, or to find new ways to say the things I have said.

This ennui will pass; it always does. Do forgive me.

Kung Fu In 4-D

Here’s something beautiful, from a visual artist by the name of Tobias Gremmler. Watch in full-screen.

Code Review

Here’s another item over the transom from our e-pal Bill K. — a software engineer’s look at the modeling software that was relied upon to shut down the West. (As a former C++ developer myself, I can say that it sounds awfully bad.)

Another Small Victory

The big news today is the vindication of General Flynn, but there was another heartening local item as well: a federal judge has blocked Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker’s executive order keeping gun shops closed.

Today, U.S. Judge Douglas P. Woodlock issued a preliminary injunction to prevent Massachusetts from enforcing the unlawful order. “We don’t surrender our constitutional rights. These plaintiffs have constitutional rights that deserve respect and vindication, and it becomes necessary for a court to do that rather than the executive when the executive declines,” said Judge Woodlock.

Judge Woodlock’s remark that “We don’t surrender our constitutional rights” may be a bit of an exaggeration — lately, it seems, we gladly surrender them at the first whiff of fear, so far have we fallen — but it’s nice to see a little vestigial backbone.

Some Good News, For A Change

Wonderful news, just in: the DOJ has dropped the case against Michael Flynn. The prosecution, which had no basis in law and will be judged by history as part of a political scandal without rival in the modern era, began to fall apart last week after recently revealed documents revealed the enormity of the FBI’s malfeasance.

Now, I hope, General Flynn — whose dignity under conditions that would have broken most men is a tribute to military tradition — can begin his counterattack. He has a great deal to recover: his despicable persecution has cost this patriot his home and his job, besmirched his name, and reduced him to penury. Perhaps now all of this can be restored. I hope against hope that those who participated in this vile cabal — this viper’s nest of corruption, and abuse of the highest public trust — may be brought at last to justice, and made to walk in shame before the eyes of all the nation.

The Burnt Fool’s Bandaged Finger Goes Wabbling Back To The Fire

Our e-pal Bill K. sent along the following updated parable this morning:

 

 *  * *  *  *  *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *

The ANT AND THE
GRASSHOPPER

This one is a little different …


Two Different Versions …
Two Different Morals

 

OLD VERSION

 

The ant works
hard in the withering heat all summer long, building his house and laying up supplies for the winter.

The grasshopper
thinks the ant is a fool and laughs and dances and plays the summer away.

Come winter, the ant is warm
and well fed.

The grasshopper has
no food or shelter, so he
dies out in the cold.

MORAL OF THE OLD STORY:

 

Be responsible for yourself!

 

MODERN
VERSION

The ant works hard
in the withering heat and the rain all summer long, building his house
and laying up supplies for the winter.

The grasshopper thinks the ant
is a fool and laughs and dances and plays the summer away.

Come winter, the shivering grasshopper
calls a press conference and demands to know why the ant should be
allowed to be warm and well fed while he is cold and starving..

CBS, NBC, PBS, CNN,
and ABC show up to
provide pictures of the shivering grasshopper
next to a video of the ant
in his comfortable home with a table filled with food.
America is stunned by the sharp contrast.

How can this be, that in a country of such wealth, this poor grasshopper
is allowed to suffer so?

Kermit the Frog appears
on Oprah
with the grasshopper
and everybody cries when they sing, ‘It’s Not Easy Being Green’

Occupy the Anthill stages
a demonstration in front of the ant’s house where the news stations film the

Black Lives Matter group singing, We shall overcome.

Then Reverend Al Sharpton
has the group kneel down to pray for the grasshopper
while he damns the ants. He later appears on MSNBC to complain that rich people do not care.

Former President Obama condemns the ant
and blames
Donald Trump, President Bush 43, President Bush 41, President Reagan, Christopher Columbus, and the
Pope

for the grasshopper’s
plight.

Nancy Pelosi & Chuck Schumer
exclaim in an interview on The View
that the ant has
gotten rich off the back of the
grasshopper
,
and both call for an immediate tax hike on the ant to make him pay his fair share.

Finally, the EEOC drafts
the Economic Equity &
Anti-Grasshopper Act

retroactive to the beginning of
the summer.

The ant is fined for failing to hire a proportionate number
of green bugs and,
having; nothing left to pay his retroactive taxes, his home is confiscated by the

Government Green Czar, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and given to the grasshopper.

The story ends as we see the grasshopper
and his free-loading friends finishing up the last bits of the ant’s food while the government house he is in,

which, as you recall, just happens to be the ant’s old house,
crumbles around them because the grasshopper doesn’t maintain it.

The ant has disappeared in the snow, never to be seen again.

The grasshopper is found dead in a drug related incident, and the house, now abandoned, is taken
over by a gang of spiders who terrorize the ramshackle, once prosperous and peaceful, neighborhood.

The entire Nation collapses
bringing the rest
of the free world with it.

MORAL OF THE STORY:

Be careful how you vote in 2020.

The Mouse That Roared

Here are the latest Wuhan Red Death stats from the CDC. The page shows the week-by week numbers since the beginning of the outbreak. As of May 1st, the revised U.S. total is 37,308.

Enjoy your new economy.

Obstruction Of Injustice

It’s becoming clearer every day that Michael Flynn’s persecution was a nothing more than a politically motivated frame-up (many of us have known this for ages, but in the past week documents have come to light that make it irrefutable). But why Flynn?

Andrew McCarthy gives us the reason: he was a liability to the ongoing plot against Donald Trump.

Details here.

Sez Who?

Here’s the question that interviewers should be putting to governors:

“If, in normal times, you were to announce as a matter of executive fiat that people must close their businesses, could not assemble in groups over a certain size, and must stay home except for travel you deem essential, it would seem an absurdity. People would say that you were grossly, and obviously, exceeding your authority.

That you are doing this now, therefore, suggests that you believe there must be some explicit grant of power, somewhere in your state’s legal framework, that gives you the authority to do these things in response to this emergency. Can you tell us where we can read this statute, so that we may clearly understand its limits?”

Perhaps, for all I know, there are such grants of power in various state codes and constitutions. But it would be good to force these people to provide some clarity.

PSA

In times of crisis, it’s important to do what we can. One of the ways good citizens have responded to our current health emergency has been by sewing their own protective face-masks.

Given that many of you, I’m sure, would find it easier to shove a camel through the eye of a needle than to wield a needle in the public interest, I’m doing my part today by providing a helpful and instructive video.

With A Little Help From My Friends

Like so many other musicians, during this enforced quarantine I’ve been collaborating online with my pals. In my case it’s the group of talented players and singers I get together with every September for a musical retreat out in the Isles of Shoals. I put up a mix a little while back of one of the songs we’ve been working on, and now we’ve made it into one of those multi-paneled music videos that have been popping up everywhere.

Here it is:

The personnel: Kemp Harris on lead vocal. The guitars are by my boyhood friends Carl Sturken and Joe Abelson. Ray Castoldi (music director at Madison Square Garden, and organist for the New York Mets) is playing the keyboards. On drums is Gary Lue, and on bass & congas we have Al Hospers. Ray’s wife April played tenor, while Joe’s two sons Rico and Max, and Al’s friend Michelle Boggs, rounded out the horn section. The high female part in the background vocals is Christie Moran, and the other female singers are Jackie Muniz and Erin Dow.

My own contributions: percussion, background vocals, editing and mixing.

Live And Learn

I’ve been a bit neglectful of the blog lately. Life is beginning to feel a bit like Groundhog Day, with few new impressions to think or write about (other than the books I’ve been reading in the evenings the past couple of weeks, which I’m still digesting). I’ve been spending a lot of time down in the studio, working on our collaborative music project (the first installment of which, for those of you who missed it, you can listen to here).

Lewis Amselem, a.k.a. DiploMad, has been lying low as well, but yesterday he emerged to post a piquant item about the lessons we can take from the Wuhan Red Death and this protracted surrender of our liberties lockdown.

Money quote:

I have written a lot about the “experts,” their models, and policy prescriptions, and how they have produced the dire predicament in which we find ourselves. I will try not to repeat it all, but, of course, will just a bit…

A real expert is somebody who can keep a farm running, or fix a complex piece of machinery, or build a house, or keep a fleet of trucks on the road, or pick off an enemy sniper at 600 meters. Those are true experts. They produce tangible results. Getting a university credential from “experts” does not make you an expert, it makes you an “expert.”

Read the whole thing here.

Musical Interlude

Just to take our minds off the Wuhan Red Death for a moment, here’s some music you might enjoy. The piece is called Spirit Moves, and it’s the opening track from Vince Mendoza’s album Instructions Inside, which I recorded and mixed back in March of 1991.

We did the sessions at Edison Recording in midtown Manhattan, with a venerable ensemble of musicians. This track features Peter Erskine on drums, Will Lee on bass, Don Alias and Manolo Badrena on percussion, Bob Mintzer on tenor, and John Scofield on guitar; the players overdubbed together to a few sequenced parts that Vince had prepared ahead of time. There were only one or two takes.

I did a lot of work with Vince back then; this was the second of two albums we made together in New York in a fairly short timespan (the first was Start Here, which we’d recorded about sixteen months earlier at my alma mater, Power Station). I’m still very fond (and proud) of both of these records. Vince Mendoza is a profoundly gifted composer and arranger, and even though we did these albums on tight schedules, we always had a lot of fun working together.

Headphones on then, and have a listen. If you want to hear more, the full albums are linked above.

Wuhan Red Death: The Boogaloo Scenario

Our reader the indefatigable JK has introduced me to a blogger I’d never heard of: B.J. Campbell, whose posts are collected under the title Handwaving Freakoutery.

The post that JK sent me today is about the possible consequences for social order of this ongoing (and, increasingly, arguably unconstitutional) lockdown.

It begins with an amusing roundup of the contradictions and inconsistencies of the guidance we’ve been given by our overseers. That part’s worth a chuckle, perhaps, but then the author moves on to more serious business — starting with a persuasive argument against the official line that the virus outbreak originated in a “wet market”:

This thing came from a Chinese laboratory in Wuhan, probably the Wuhan Institute of Virology. We don’t need evidence gift wrapped by the Chinese to make this case. We just need simple mathematics, and the case is rock solid.

The “official channels” have maintained for four months that this virus originated in a wet market in Wuhan, not at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, which is the world’s Mecca of studying emergent SARS coronaviruses that originate in bats. A lot of speculation by the media has gone into supporting this case, as well as the solid support of the Chinese government, but the case is obviously garbage. I grant that wet markets for exotic harvested wild meats are a great vector for something like this, but set that aside for a moment.

There are between a hundred and a thousand wet markets in China. There are well over a thousand wet markets in Vietnam. There are well over a thousand wet markets in Thailand. There are hundreds or thousands of wet markets in Laos, hundreds or thousands more in Cambodia, hundreds or thousands more in Burma and Myanmar and Malaysia. Nobody knows for sure, but it’s completely reasonable to estimate the total number of wet markets in East Asia being at least ten thousand.
But only one of these ten thousand or more wet markets is two blocks from the Wuhan Institute of Virology.

The chance that a brand new never before seen SARS coronavirus variant would emerge at the only wet market two blocks from a laboratory whose primary function is to study never before seen SARS coronavirus variants, specifically from bats, is simply too astronomical to believe. If a brand-new world epidemic virus were to emerge every day from a wet market in east Asia, it would be three years or more on average before one emerged from Wuhan. No honest scientist would believe that coincidence given what we know.

Even that is just the beginning; the rest of the article discusses how our stifling, viscous bureaucracy smothered efforts to develop testing. It reminded me at once of Tocqueville’s description of the democratic form of tyranny:

“…it rarely forces men to act, but constantly opposes itself to men’s acting; it does not destroy, it prevents things from coming into being; it does not tyrannize, it hinders, it presses down upon men, it extinguishes, it stupefies, and it finally reduces each nation to no longer being anything but a herd of timid and industrious animals, whose shepherd is the government.”

What the FDA and CDC did in the early days of this crisis, until Messrs. Trump and Pence called them off, exemplifies this to perfection.

The rest of the post discusses the road to “boogaloo”: the point in an accelerating social breakdown where the excreta impact the rotating air-circulator.

Read it all here.

When The Cure Is Fatal

Former New York Lieutenant Governor Betsy McCaughey published a brief item today about the cost, in human life, of this indiscriminate shutdown of the American economy. A key excerpt:

Job losses cause extreme suffering. Every 1% hike in the unemployment rate will likely produce a 3.3% increase in drug overdose deaths and a 0.99% increase in suicides according to data provided by the National Bureau of Economic Research and the medical journal Lancet. These are facts based on experience, not models. If unemployment hits 32%, some 77,000 Americans are likely to die from suicide and drug overdoses as a result of layoffs. Scientists call these fatalities “deaths of despair”.

Then add the predictable deaths from alcohol abuse caused by unemployment. Health economist Michael French from the University of Miami and a co-author found a “significant association between job loss” and binge drinking and alcoholism.

The impact of layoffs goes beyond suicide, drug overdosing and drinking. Overall, the death rate for an unemployed person is 63% higher than for someone with a job, according to findings in Social Science & Medicine.

Layoff-related deaths are likely to far outnumber the 60,400 coronavirus deaths predicted through August.

Read the rest here.

Separation Of Powers

The criticism of President Trump’s response to the Wuhan Red Death has been all over the map; in general whatever he does is wrong, regardless of whether Blue politicians have done the same or worse in their own bailiwicks, and whatever he doesn’t do is a crime of omission. He’s been faulted at every step either for assuming dictatorial power, or for not assuming dictatorial power. This is always done in hindsight, of course, and without regard to truth or falsehood, because, as George Orwell explained so well, “Who controls the past controls the future; who controls the present controls the past” — and our media, who still regard themselves as controlling the present, do what they can every day to control the past. The “memory hole” is very real, and they make liberal use of it, on the (mostly correct) assumption that most people don’t remember much at all about the chronology of events even a few weeks old. (This is why, for example, we don’t hear much about Nancy Pelosi telling people to get out and eat in Chinatown more than three weeks after President Trump had declared the Wuhan virus a U.S. public-health emergency and banned travel from China.)

Regarding Presidential authority, there seems to be deep confusion, even among some of my most highly educated friends, about the nature of sovereignty under the American Constitution. The truth, at least in terms of original Constitutional principle, is that both the federal and state governments are supreme sovereigns. This is possible because their sovereignty is limited by the Constitution to different realms: by ratifying the Constitution the States, acting as independent entities, agreed to delegate a carefully enumerated list of powers to the Union, with all powers not so enumerated reserved to the States. (This has, of course, been subject to a lot of judicial erosion over the past century or so, and much of the clarity of the original idea has been obscured and confounded by “emanations” and “penumbras”, but the principle of separated realms of sovereignty is still the default.)

Without exception, however, all of the liberal friends I have spoken to about this seem to think that the whole arrangement is a simple hierarchy. One person I spoke to said that the president was “the boss” of the state governors, while another said they had to “answer to” him. This is quite astonishing to me; I think the power-sharing arrangements of the States with the Union were well understood by even the average adult American until quite recently. (It certainly was in Tocqueville’s time; he was impressed by how much even the rustics he met knew about American civics.) There’s a lot of talk about when Mr. Trump is going to “re-open” the economy, and end the lockdown — but aside from exerting the federal government’s constitutional powers over interstate and international travel, he really doesn’t have the power to do much other than make suggestions. Most of the real power still lies with the States, varying internally by the particulars of their own constitutions.

There are, of course, some open questions about all of this. This is a new situation, and many of these issues have never been clarified in court. If you are curious, and have fifteen minutes or so, you might like to listen to John Batchelor’s discussion last night with law professor John Yoo. It’s in two parts, here and here.

The Devil Finds Work For Idle Hands

I’ve previously mentioned the musical retreat I enjoy each September in the far-flung Isles of Shoals. I get together with an eclectic assortment of musicians (both pros and civilians), and we have a fine time as the house band for all the people enjoying Star Island‘s final conference of the year.

With this global panic trapping us all at home, we thought it would help to pass the time if we worked on a collaborative recording project. Thanks to the magic of Al Gore’s “Internet”, we can easily pass audio files around, and so members of our little team have been recording their respective tracks and sending them on to the project’s nerve-center: Knob and Kettle Studio, Wellfleet, MA (which happens to be a room in my basement).

Our first effort was one of the crowd-pleasers we play each year: the Joe Cocker arrangement of the Beatles classic A Little Help From My Friends.

That’s Kemp Harris on lead vocal. The guitars are by my boyhood friends Carl Sturken and Joe Abelson. Ray Castoldi (music director at Madison Square Garden, and organist for the New York Mets) is playing the Hammond B3. On drums is Gary Lue, and on bass & congas we have Al Hospers. Ray’s wife April played tenor, while Joe’s two sons Rico and Max, and Al’s friend Michelle Boggs, rounded out the horn section. The high female part in the background vocals is Christie Moran, and the female vocal ad-libs are Erin Dow.

My own contributions: percussion, most of the background vocals, editing and mixing.

Have a listen.

Audio Player

When I’m 64

When I get older, losing my hair
Many years from now…

Or, as it happens, today. My, how time does fly when you’re having fun.

As always: natal salutations to Guy Fawkes, Thomas Jefferson, F.W. Woolworth, James Ensor, Butch Cassidy, Sir Arthur “Bomber’ Harris, Robert Watson-Watt, Samuel Beckett, Harold Stassen, Stanislaw Ulam, Eudora Welty, Howard Keel, Madalyn Murray O’Hair, Ken Nordine, Don Adams, Ben Nighthorse Campbell, Seamus Heaney, Paul Sorvino, Jack Casady, Tony Dow, Lowell George, Al Green, Ron Perlman, Christopher Hitchens, Max Weinberg, and Garry Kasparov.

Gonna Get You All

Yesterday was this year’s “Pink Moon”.

Here’s a lovely song by that name, from the long-departed Nick Drake.

Jesters Do Oft Prove Prophets

From the Babylon Bee:

Bernie Sanders Drops Out As Campaign Goals Of Locking Everyone Up, Destroying Economy Already Achieved

Full story here.

John Prine, 1946-2020

I was very sorry to learn this morning that John Prine has died of the Chinese coronavirus. He was a truly gifted songwriter, and made his gift a gift to us all.

I never had the pleasure of meeting him, but I will never forget seeing him perform in Princeton’s Alexander Hall on April 1st, 1972, where he opened, completely incongruously, for the Mahavishnu Orchestra. He stood alone on stage with his guitar; nothing more was needed.

Here is his song Angel From Montgomery, which has been covered by many other artists. One of those is Bonnie Raitt, who joins him in this live recording.

Casting Out The Devil

Perhaps the most dispiriting aspect of this Wuhan-virus emergency is how clearly it reveals the breadth and depth of the great fissure dividing the nation. In times of crisis, families set aside their internal squabbles:

Me and my brother
We fight with each other
But woe betide
The guy from outside.

When the towers fell in 2001, George W. Bush was the U.S. president, and Rudy Giuliani was the mayor of New York. Both were polarizing figures, to say the least, and both were roundly despised by the the Blue faction who, then as now, held the commanding heights of culture and media. But in those grim days, with the stench still rising from Ground Zero, and the certain knowledge that an invisible enemy was out to kill us all, a great surge of fellowship bound us together as a nation. It didn’t last all that long, but at least it happened.

Not now. As frightening an enemy as this virus has been for the nation and the world, for Blue there is an enemy still greater: the man in the White House. Whatever comity and commonality still existed in 2001 was enough to remind us of what remained of our familial national ties — and, as several now-deceased parties in the Dar-al-Islam were to learn in the following years, “woe betide the guy from outside” was still in effect. Now our own president is, for half the nation, “the guy from outside”: the external enemy who must be destroyed, no matter what the cost.

The extent to which this is now an axiom, an unshakable article of moral faith, is easily seen by the way that people who associate with the president are treated. I have a very close friend, a man of high intelligence, with whom I was chatting about the crisis the other day. Being generally a Blue-leaning sort, and a consumer of mainstream news (we usually get around this by just not talking about politics), he lit into Mr. Trump for what he understood to be catastrophic mismanagement. I said that while I’m sure in hindsight errors could be found, I thought there was an awful lot of hostile spin going around, and suggested that if Barack Obama were still president, and had handled every aspect of this emergency just as Trump has, he’d be getting much softer treatment from the press. My friend disagreed, with considerable vigor. I pointed out that even Andrew Cuomo and Gavin Newsom (!) had praised Trump for his response, and my friend said they were just saying that because they had to.

Think of that: the strength of this faith is such that, rather than entertaining, even for a moment, the possibility that Donald Trump had done a single thing right, my friend was forced instead to accuse two prominent Democratic governors of lying — and he did so entirely without hesitation or reflection. The same has been true about other public figures, formerly universally respected, such as William Barr, Anthony Fauci, and Deborah Birx; they have all been assumed after decades of distinguished and uncontroversial public service, to have been corrupted by the Devil. That is the power of the repulsive force that divides us. One half of the nation believes that the other half is not merely wrong, but evil. And there can be no compromise, no alliance, with evil. Even if it kills us.

To borrow a metaphor from Chiang Kai-shek, the Wuhan virus is a disease of the skin — but the nation was already sick unto death with a disease of the heart.

All Or Nothing

Curtis Yarvin (whose erstwhile nom de plume “Mencius Moldbug” we will, for the time being, continue to mention), has posted a new essay calling for a temporary dictatorship to combat the Wuhan coronavirus. After a discussion of the many, many shortcomings, weaknesses, and debilities of our national government, and of democracy in general — which no longtime reader of Yarvin should by now have any reason to quibble with — he proposes a Coronavirus Authority with “plenary” power: in other words, an absolute sovereign.

It’s all a little over the top, even for Mr. Yarvin, who seems increasingly unconcerned with connecting his possible worlds, as robustly conceived as they always are, with any possible future of the actually existing one.

Here we go:

The strongest possible response will come from a new agency, built as a startup. This Coronavirus Authority will scale up faster than any existing organization can execute. It will use the old agencies only where it finds them useful. And it will dissolve itself once the virus is beaten.

And all the CVA needs to do its job is plenary (unconditional) authority over all federal, state, local and private actors. In theoretical terms, its sovereignty is absolute — but both temporary (limited in time, to the end of the war) and partial (applied only to its specific mission or scope). A small thing!

Dissolve itself? Hm. Is it common for absolute sovereigns to abdicate? My own understanding has always been that those wielding power generally develop a taste for it; even the limited accretions of power that we have bent the Constitution to grant various bureaucracies during the great crises of the past have proven to be very sticky indeed. (The authoritative work on this topic is Crisis and Leviathan, by Robert Higgs; now would be a good time for everyone, especially Mr. Yarvin, to read it.) I think also that it is terribly optimistic to grant any governing entity unlimited power to manage an existential crisis while imagining that you can constrain its “scope”; the scope of any aspect of State power can be relied upon to expand at every opportunity, and almost never to contract.

But whatever the pros and cons of Mr. Yarvin’s proposed dictatorship, it certainly won’t fly in the United States. In his closing remarks, Yarvin reminds us of the distinctions the Roman made between dictator and tyrant, but both arouse an instinctive revulsion in the American soul (or at least they did until recently). As Patrick Henry said: “Guard with jealous attention the public liberty. Suspect everyone who approaches that jewel.” And so we do, or at least enough of us to make any sort of temporary dictatorships a casus belli.

This essay is marred, too, by an uncharacteristic note of petulance; at one point, for example, Mr. Yarvin calls upon Donald Trump to “do the decent thing and resign”. Really? What then? Is he so fond of Mike Pence, who has for some time now been tasked with orchestrating the Federal response that, Mr. Yarvin explains, has failed so predictably, and so spectacularly? Or should they both resign, and hand the White House to Nancy Pelosi? Or should we have a special election right away, while everybody is locked in their houses? Such carelessness is oddly un-Moldbuggian.

I’ve long been an admirer of Curtis Yarvin’s work. His writing has influenced my own thinking over the years, and I thank him for that. But he has always been better at description than prescription, and perhaps more so than ever in this latest essay.

Read it here.

Sign Of The Times

Just to remind you, readers, as you contemplate the millenarian tableau unfolding before us: yes, there is also a comet. (Of course.)

Question

I’ll confess that all this self-isolation has hardly been difficult for me. I’m a homebody by nature anyway, and having an excuse not to go anywhere suits me fine. I’ve been reading a lot, walking in the woods, cooking, and spending a lot of time on various musical projects downstairs in the studio.

One thing I have not been doing is paying much attention to the news. In boringly typical fashion, the media have taken up this crisis as the latest cudgel to bash Donald Trump for allegedly botching the U.S. response. Now I know of course that they can’t be trusted; if he were healing the sick by laying on of hands, they’d arraign him for inadequate “social isolation”. But even a stopped clock is right twice a day.

So, what do you think? Did Mr. Trump fail bigly here? I can’t be bothered to figure it out for myself: I have a nice South Asian curry to prepare in the kitchen, and a song that needs mixing downstairs.

Rashomon, Redux

In response to Friday’s post about the different emotional reactions of Democrats and Republicans to the Wuhan-virus pandemic, our longtime commenter, the indefatigable JK, posted a link to a thoughtful essay on the topic. I though it worth promoting to a post of its own, so here it is.

Rashomon

Make of this what you will:

Pronoia

With a hat-tip to our pal Bill Keezer, here’s a rumination by Victor Davis Hanson on the challenge facing Donald Trump in the coming weeks and months.

Sure, Whatever

A Genius, Perhaps, And I’m Not Kidding

As a person with a long career in the music biz, I am often asked who I think is interesting, and worth giving a listen (keeping in mind that there is a lot of interesting music out there that most people simply wouldn’t “get”). I often mention King Crimson, because Fripp and company have maintained such a high standard for such a long time (and of course there’s the Gurdjieff connection, which I won’t go into here) — and then there’s Steven Wilson, and his band Porcupine Tree. But I am starting to think that the really great creative mind of this era is Devin Townsend.

I won’t link to anything in particular, as his work is so various. Just go and snoop around.

And I Think To Myself, What A Wonderful World

Kind of a slow news day today, but here are a couple of items:

First, we’ve all heard that things seems to be getting better in China, with Wuhan-virus deaths tapering off. We’ve heard it, that is, but we also know that the Chinese government, which lies about everything, is almost certainly lying about this too. (As the Sage of Baltimore once said, “It is hard to believe that a man is telling the truth when you know that you would lie if you were in his place.”) A story making the rounds today reports that for some reason, there are now 21 million fewer cellphone users in China today than there were in December, which is, to say the least, suggestive. Have a look here.

Also, our betters in the Capitol have been having a difficult time slapping together an emergency-relief bill to ease our suffering a little as we nosedive into the abyss. In this video clip, Tucker Carlson explains why:

Overkill?

I’m coming increasingly to the conclusion that our reaction to this Wuhan virus, if it keeps the economy comatose for any appreciable length of time, will do more damage than anything the disease itself might have wrought.

On the more benign end of the scale, we have at minimum a crisis that has already been invoked to justify emergency powers and extraordinary government action. This is, in general, a ratchet: it is rare for governments to relinquish all of the authority they arrogate during emergencies — and so the State grows bigger and more powerful, crisis by crisis. (I’ve previously mentioned the book Crisis and Leviathan, by Robert Higgs, which examines in scholarly detail the action of this monotonic process in the United States over the previous century. I recommend it to you all.)

Giving that Leviathan another shot of growth hormone would be bad enough — and of course we have already wiped out perhaps a trillion or more of wealth, including the life-savings of countless older people who have no chance to start over — but there could be far worse consequences if this lockdown persists for months or longer. The worst case is very bad indeed: that one day not far off we will find that we have given such a terrible, shocking injury to the organic balance of our civilization that it really will begin to break down and die.

Here are some things I think you should read:

— First, an article by Peter Hitchens that’s been making the rounds today.

— Next, an item linked in the Hitchens piece: an article, by a professor of epidemiology and biological data science, about the poor quality of the data we are using to make these enormously consequential choices.

— Third, a piece by Richard Epstein also suggesting we might be doing more harm than good.

— Here, too, is Heather Mac Donald’s attempt to put this outbreak in perspective.

Finally, with a hat-tip to the indefatigable ‘JK’: have you thought about what a real collapse of America’s social order might look like? This fellow has. (Pour yourself a drink first.)

The War That Wasn’t

People have been likening the economic devastation caused by this health crisis to the effects of war. Here’s a thought that occurred to me today: in the aftermath of wars (or other great disasters), a major part of the economic recovery consists of rebuilding all the infrastructure that’s been destroyed. (After World War II, the American economy was greatly stimulated by the need to rebuild a shattered Europe.)

That won’t be happening here. Our infrastructure is all intact — we’ve just stopped using it.

Rolling The Dice

The great Black Swan of our age has alighted upon our shores, and it catches us at the end of a great historical anomaly: an era of peace, safety and prosperity of such uncommon length that most of us have never known anything else. (This goes a long way, as I’ve argued elsewhere, to explaining why we’ve become so pathetically soft and sensitive.)

It being until last month unimaginable that we might actually be liable to the periodic calamities that have gnawed at mankind’s bones since before the dawn of history, we are stricken with sudden, shocking fear, and will do anything — anything — to address the immediate threat. And so we have brought the great engine of Western life to a full stop, that we may retreat to our comfortable homes and bar the door. This may, indeed, “flatten the curve”, and slow the spread of Wuhan virus to the point where medical services are not overwhelmed. In doing so, however, might we not greatly extend the life of this pandemic, causing it to last months or years, rather than weeks or months?

High civilizations, and their economies, are very much like living organisms; the movement of goods and services, and the daily pulse of productive activity, are like the blood that nourishes the body’s cells. What we have done to fight this virus is, in effect, is to bring our civilization’s heartbeat almost to a standstill, to what must surely be the very threshold of death. The result will be that cells throughout the body will begin to die.

This virus is believed to have a mortality rate in the low single digits; perhaps 3%. Most people who get it will be fine. But what will be the effects of the death by asphyxia of the livelihoods (and life savings) of scores of millions of people? What are the odds of food shortages, riots, and staggering increases in crime, suicide, and homelessness?

Are we really making the right choice here? I don’t know the answer. Do you?

You Go To War With The Army You Have

A young person, someone I am very fond of and have known for many years, wrote me today with a harsh assessment of Donald Trump, surprised and disappointed that I would defend such a man against some of the charges recently leveled against him in the press. Mr. Trump, in my correspondent’s opinion, is “a horrible person – a wretched, vile, insidious, selfish, soul-blackened human.” There was much more. The gist was that Mr. Trump’s character rendered him unfit to be president.

Having nothing much else to write here today, I thought I’d post the letter I wrote in response. Here it is, in slightly edited form:

  *       *       *

Dear ______,

I make no case that Donald Trump is any kind of a saint. He is enormously vain (as all presidents are, with the possible exception of Calvin Coolidge), he lacks dignity and gravitas, he calls people childish names, he can be vulgar (though surely no more so than LBJ, Clinton, and a host of others), he is a philanderer (though of course JFK and Clinton put him to shame in that department, with the latter likely being guilty of actual rape). He is, as you say, not one to show much in the way of humility (though of course he is a dwarf in that regard compared to his immediate predecessor, whom Mike Bloomberg — Mike Bloomberg! — called “the most arrogant man he’d ever met”).

He is, however, the duly elected president of the United States, elevated to office by a vast segment of the traditional American nation who rightly have felt despised and marginalized for a long time now by their globalist, “progressive” overlords — a scornful and condescending secular priesthood who occupy, by powerful means of enforcement, the commanding heights of media, academia, popular culture, and the enormous edifice of the unelected, administrative state. Donald Trump was seen by these “Deplorables” — and rightly so — as their last hope against a leftist juggernaut that sought to trample into dust all of the founding norms and traditions of the American nation, to throw open the borders, to distend and distort the Constitution into gelatinous goo, and to crush all resistance by a combination of judicial activism, executive fiat and suffocating social ostracism.

Trump’s voters understood that the First and Second Amendments, those great bulwarks of liberty, were under increasingly withering assault; they had to look no further than Canada, Britain, and Europe — where the people are forcibly disarmed, and criticism of government policy is now enough to land you in jail — to see what lay ahead if the eight-year catastrophe of the Obama administration were to be repeated by re-installing those despicable grifters the Clintons. They saw in Donald Trump, for all of his obvious flaws (and yes, they are just as obvious to me as they are to you), a man who genuinely loved the free and self-confident America of his youth, who saw the nation’s long story, though of course tainted by sin and error (as all national stories are), as a story of the triumph of the human spirit, guided by a set of transcendent principles rooted in the natural, God-given dignity of every human being, and given form by a Constitution unlike any ever seen in history: the product of the coming together at a unique moment in the development of mankind by men of genius (compared to whom, by the way, our current crop of “statesmen”, including both Trump and his predecessors, are intellectual gnats).

Donald Trump clearly, if only intuitively, understood the existential horror of this century-long acceleration of consolidating, totalizing statism, the effect of which is to reduce men to children, and to crush from existence the essential mediating layer of “civil society” — the great web of voluntary and independent association that forms the sinews and ligaments of healthy, organic societies — replacing it with an atomizing, vertical order in which every man and woman depends first and foremost upon the great State above, from which all blessings — and all guidance — must flow.

Alexis de Tocqueville understood this liability of the American system very clearly, as early as 1830. In Democracy in America he wrote an astonishingly prescient passage. Read it carefully — read it more than once — because it has come true in our time:

“I think, then, that the species of oppression by which democratic nations are menaced is unlike anything that ever before existed in the world; our contemporaries will find no prototype of it in their memories. I seek in vain for an expression that will accurately convey the whole of the idea I have formed of it; the old words despotism and tyranny are inappropriate: the thing itself is new, and since I cannot name, I must attempt to define it.

I seek to trace the novel features under which despotism may appear in the world. The first thing that strikes the observation is an innumerable multitude of men, all equal and alike, incessantly endeavoring to procure the petty and paltry pleasures with which they glut their lives. Each of them, living apart, is as a stranger to the fate of all the rest; his children and his private friends constitute to him the whole of mankind. As for the rest of his fellow citizens, he is close to them, but he does not see them; he touches them, but he does not feel them; he exists only in himself and for himself alone; and if his kindred still remain to him, he may be said at any rate to have lost his country.

Above this race of men stands an immense and tutelary power, which takes upon itself alone to secure their gratifications and to watch over their fate. That power is absolute, minute, regular, provident, and mild. It would be like the authority of a parent if, like that authority, its object was to prepare men for manhood; but it seeks, on the contrary, to keep them in perpetual childhood: it is well content that the people should rejoice, provided they think of nothing but rejoicing. For their happiness such a government willingly labors, but it chooses to be the sole agent and the only arbiter of that happiness; it provides for their security, foresees and supplies their necessities, facilitates their pleasures, manages their principal concerns, directs their industry, regulates the descent of property, and subdivides their inheritances: what remains, but to spare them all the care of thinking and all the trouble of living?

Thus it every day renders the exercise of the free agency of man less useful and less frequent; it circumscribes the will within a narrower range and gradually robs a man of all the uses of himself. The principle of equality has prepared men for these things;it has predisposed men to endure them and often to look on them as benefits.

After having thus successively taken each member of the community in its powerful grasp and fashioned him at will, the supreme power then extends its arm over the whole community. It covers the surface of society with a network of small complicated rules, minute and uniform, through which the most original minds and the most energetic characters cannot penetrate, to rise above the crowd. The will of man is not shattered, but softened, bent, and guided; men are seldom forced by it to act, but they are constantly restrained from acting. Such a power does not destroy, but it prevents existence; it does not tyrannize, but it compresses, enervates, extinguishes, and stupefies a people, till each nation is reduced to nothing better than a flock of timid and industrious animals, of which the government is the shepherd.

I have always thought that servitude of the regular, quiet, and gentle kind which I have just described might be combined more easily than is commonly believed with some of the outward forms of freedom, and that it might even establish itself under the wing of the sovereignty of the people.”

For standing against all of this, Donald Trump has been the subject of a continuous conspiracy of what can only be called regicide ever since he came down that escalator, beginning with the former administration’s bringing to bear the power of the FBI, the intelligence agencies, and the FISA courts (on a fraudulent basis) to spy on his campaign and to entrap members of his team. Following on that was the years-long charade of the Mueller investigation, followed by a ridiculous (and obviously doomed) attempt at impeachment, while the media, throughout, did everything they could to whip up a hateful frenzy. It is to Trump’s credit that he did not crack or crumble under this relentless personal assault, and this cataract of false charges spanning years; I’m sure nearly anyone else would have. When the Wuhan virus first appeared, he took quick steps to restrict travel from China; for this he was excoriated as a “racist” (the Left’s all-purpose cudgel for anyone they hate). Who could blame a person for hitting back?

Finally I will say that Donald Trump, before becoming a target by becoming President, was generally admired for his charitable outreach, and his work to bridge racial divides. He was befriended by Jesse Jackson and many other influential black leaders. I know someone who has worked closely with Mr. Trump for many years and knows him intimately — and he says that you never met a nicer and more considerate guy, and that Trump doesn’t have a “racist” or anti-Semitic bone in his body. Mr. Trump is attracting unprecedented support among black voters — something like 35-40 percent! — because they have begun at last to understand that for all these years they have been used and hoodwinked by the Democratic machine, and taken for granted as reliable votes, despite the structure of black life having collapsed under decades on the Democrat plantation.

So: how can I choose to defend such a person? I’ll answer that with an anecdote:

During the Civil War, Abraham Lincoln, exasperated with the celebrated general George McClellan’s persistent reluctance to engage the enemy, finally appointed Ulysses S. Grant to command the Union army. McClellan was everything a Union general should be; he was a West Point star, a gentleman, a snappy dresser, and a widely admired theorist of war and strategy. Grant was everything McClellan was not: he was an ill-mannered drunkard, slovenly in his personal habits, careless of his appearance, and had in his past a long succession of personal failures. But he was willing to endure heavy casualties in order to keep the pressure on Lee, and had won some impressive victories.

His fellow officers couldn’t stand the man, though, for many of the same reasons that genteel conservatives can’t stand Trump (not least because he was not one of them). Finally, a group of senior officers went to the White House to demand that Lincoln fire him. Lincoln understood their grievances, but knew that Grant was his best hope of victory. He bowed his head and said:

“I cannot spare this man. He fights.”

And so it is with Donald Trump. For all his flaws, I cannot spare this man. He fights.

I hope this helps you understand how I see all of this. I hope you understand also that I do not see any of it in simplistic terms, that at almost 64 years old I have had a lot of time to study history and gain perspective, and that I have come to many of my present views completely against my will; it is simply that my growing understanding of human nature and human affairs has brought me here whether I like it or not. Like you, I only want what’s best for the country and its people: I want our people to be happy, to flourish, and to live in peace and freedom. Those things are not easily achieved — and what’s worse, once they have been achieved, it is very easy to become complacent about them: to imagine, after a long period of peace and prosperity, that they are the natural state of Man, a default state to which things will naturally revert. Nothing, though, could be farther from the truth. The conditions that give rise to order and liberty are terribly rare, and infinitely precious, and to tamper with them as carelessly as we have in America for the past several decades, in the expectation that by sufficient well-intentioned tweaking we can create an artificial Utopia, is folly on the grandest scale. The Gods of the Copybook Headings are never far away.

Common Sense In A Time Of Hysteria

Here’s a brief video from an infectious-disease specialist. Well worth watching.

Back

Having survived our trip to Charleston (a beautiful place, as we expected), we are now hunkered down in the remote precincts of our little peninsula in the North Atlantic.

Self-isolation comes naturally to me. Confining myself to the basement music studio, a comfy chair with a book to read, and contemplative hikes in the nearby woodland trails will be bearable, to say the least.

Stay healthy, everyone.

Service Notice

The lovely Nina and I are off to Charleston, SC for a few days. (We’d heard it’s nice, so we thought we’d go and see for ourselves.) Back next week.

American Juche

Over at American Greatness, Chris Buskirk discusses what Wuhan coronavirus should teach us about self-reliance.

Here.

Well!

How about that Joe Biden? Two weeks ago — just two weeks! — he was all washed up. Now he’s the last man standing. Amazing.

The problem, though, is that nobody really thinks he is fit for purpose. His accelerating slide into a pitiable and disqualifying caducity is increasingly plain to see, every time he goes out to “press the flesh”. Moreover, he is in for some serious problems in a general election against Donald Trump; over the years he has pushed a lot of skeletons into his closet. That business with Hunter and Ukraine will be just the beginning.

Most important of all: look at the enthusiasm Mr. Trump is able to generate everywhere he goes. Is there anyone anywhere who feels enthusiastic about Joe Biden? Can you imagine this befuddled old man speaking extemporaneously, for hours, in packed stadiums, to jubilant applause?

So: Mr. Biden may have taken the primaries, but what will happen at the convention? Is the DNC really going to take its chances with grumpy old Joe? If not — then what?

Scotland

Och aye. (Full screen recommended.)

Going Viral

I haven’t commented much on this Wuhan coronavirus outbreak. Clearly it is a serious issue, but it is just as clear that it is being whipped up as much as possible by our domestic media to create fear and chaos, in the interest of hanging a millstone around Donald Trump’s neck. When the swine flu afflicted over a billion people in 2009, and caused over 12,000 fatalities in the U.S. alone, I don’t remember anything like this sort of commotion in the media — and there was no attempt at all to use it as a cudgel to beat Barack Obama with.

That said, it appears that the fatality rate for the Wuhan virus is at least an order of magnitude higher than the swine flu’s was. But having said that, it may be that fatality rates are higher in the earlier days of these outbreaks, in that they cull the old and weak in short order. I don’t know enough about it to say.

Also, it would be silly to say that all the hysteria is just a matter of the American media’s hatred of Trump; the virus has had a devastating effect on the movement of people and goods around the world. It’s still early days, too, so nobody can really say whether it’s going to become a truly historic global catastrophe or start fizzling out in another few months.

I guess what’s obvious here is that I don’t have any expertise or special insight on this topic — which is why I haven’t written more about it. (I do think, as I said not long ago, that this painful episode will be a chastening lesson in the perils of connecting everything too tightly to everything else, and I’ll remind you once again to read, if you haven’t already, Curtis Yarvin’s provocative piece “The Missionary Virus“, over at The American Mind.) One positive effect might be that the U.S. will begin to bring home some of the manufacturing it has so blithely outsourced over the past few decades; our dependence on China for so many essentials, including a huge proportion of the drugs we need, will be revealed to have been terribly unwise.

What do you think about it all, readers? I’d like to know. Please consider this an open forum.

Idiocracy

Making the rounds today:
 

These imbeciles are our cultural overlords. Perhaps this will serve as a reminder that they only have what power we give them.

What Have We Learned?

The billionaire Michael Bloomberg is a world-famous former three-term mayor (and wealthiest resident) of America’s principal city. He also commands a global media empire. He just spent half a billion dollars in an attempt to win the coming election, and accomplished nothing more than to win a primary in American Samoa.

So: next time you hear someone whingeing about “money in politics” or Citizens United v. FEC, you can point this out. The same goes for that “Russia hijacked the 2016 election” nonsense: even at the upper limit of what the Russians are alleged to have spent to buy media influence, it was a hundredth of what Bloomberg shelled out.

There is no question that it costs money to run a political campaign, but the idea that there is any dependable linear correlation between money spent and votes cast should, at this point, be revealed as obvious nonsense. It should also be seen, by any self-respecting voter, as a patronizing insult.

Impeach This

I don’t know how Victor Davis Hanson manages to produce essays and articles at the rate he does; it’s awfully impressive in terms of volume alone. It’s even more impressive when they are as meaty as the one he published yesterday at American Greatness: a blistering recap of the Obama administration’s eight-year spree of executive malfeasance.

Read it here.

A Remarkable Man

We must note the passing of Freeman Dyson, one of the greatest minds of our era. He died yesterday, at 96, after a fall.

Read about the life of this extraordinary man here.

Are We Loving Modernity Yet?

As the world sinks deeper into panic over the coronavirus outbreak, I’ll remind you again to have a look at Curtis Yarvin’s paean to global decoupling, published last month at The American Mind. (I’ll drop a link also to a far briefer item of my own, from 2018.)

Not long ago — in my own lifetime — an eruption of disease in central China would have caused not a ripple in American life; likely almost none of us would even have known about it. Today everyplace on Earth is in immediate and intimate contact with everyplace else, and every malign influence arising in any squalid corner of the globe can spread through all the world’s nations like a venereal disease through a Wild West mining settlement.

What have we got in return for shrinking the world in this way? Cheap manufactured goods, mostly, and a couple of new aisles at the supermarket. What price have we paid? Gutting of domestic production; titanic trade deficits with nations that despise us; intellectual-property theft on a hitherto unimaginable scale; a brittle global economy in which problems anywhere instantly become a problem everywhere; accelerating demographic replacement everywhere in the West; an extinction catastrophe among the world’s smallest and most fragile cultures and languages; organic local communities giving way everywhere to an atomizing, superficial, consumerist monoculture that is the death of all real diversity — and now this bloody virus.

A bad deal, if you ask me — and if there is any upside to this crisis, it may be that thoughtful people will look at this unholy new world we’ve bought, and start feeling a little buyer’s remorse.

It Can Happen Here. And It’s Happening Now.

Here’s a chilling item from Rod Dreher about the green shoots of totalitarianism now rising in our academies. How we arrived at this place — how this became possible, and what led to its becoming actual at our specific point in history — is an important question about the great cycles of human societies. But we are here, now.

Macbeth Does Murder Sleep

John Batchelor’s series of conversations with historian Michael Vlahos about civil war continues this week with a discussion of regicide.

Readers may recall a post here last June describing a tripartite taxonomy of civil war. Professor Vlahos suggests a similar classification of regicides: those that seek to replace not just the nation’s leader, but also its system of government; those that merely seek to take over the existing system; and those assassinations that seek merely to destroy and disrupt.

He points out also that regicide as a means of political change never gives a good result: if nothing else, it produces a permanent and bitterly divisive grievance in that part of the nation that was loyal to the murdered leader.

The conversation is in two parts (about twenty minutes in all), here and here.

More Than This

Naturalism asks us to believe that we are just a pile of protons, electrons, etc., pushed and pulled willy-nilly by mindless attractions and repulsions — or even that we are, at bottom, nothing more than a set of solutions to some fundamental equations.

Yet we think and dream; we feel love and grief. We taste joy and sorrow, despair and ecstasy.

Seriously? Can that really be? How? Why?

Over at the Orthosphere, Richard Cocks wonders too.